Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
116,425 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 16,029 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCAP | insider_buy | HUBER DANA L. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| FCAP | insider_buy | HUBER DANA L. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| FCAP | insider_buy | HUBER DANA L. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| FCAP | insider_buy | HUBER DANA L. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| RMCF | insider_buy | GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART GEYGAN (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:33 UTC | 0.9d | -5.9% | -13.5% | -10.1% |
| RMCF | insider_buy | GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART GEYGAN (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:33 UTC | 0.9d | -5.9% | -13.5% | -10.1% |
| OGE | insider_buy | RAINBOLT DAVID E (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +7.0% | +8.4% |
| RIV | insider_buy | Swanson David (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -2.5% | +3.0% |
| TMCWW | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -60.8% | -55.2% |
| INGN | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -4.0% | -1.8% |
| OPCH | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SMFRUSD | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ACHR | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +20.6% | -44.1% |
| 75Z | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| JXN | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | +12.1% | +31.1% |
| CF | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -1.2% | +18.6% |
| LFG1USD | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AES | position_increase | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -3.4% | -7.5% |
| ATVIEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ALITEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CSGP | now_top10 | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -6.6% | -15.5% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Third Point | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -4.0% | -6.2% |
| ITW | insider_buy | Henderson Jay L (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +2.0% | -4.1% |
| ITW | insider_buy | Henderson Jay L (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +2.0% | -4.1% |
| EHTH | insider_buy | WOLF DALE B (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -12.7% | -40.8% |
| EHTH | insider_buy | WOLF DALE B (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -12.7% | -40.8% |
| EHTH | insider_buy | Hass A John (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -12.7% | -40.8% |
| EHTH | insider_buy | SOISTMAN FRANCIS S JR (Chief Executive Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -12.7% | -40.8% |
| EHTH | insider_buy | Russell Erin L (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -12.7% | -40.8% |
| CLNN | insider_buy | MATLIN DAVID J (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | +2.8% | -36.7% |
| CLNN | insider_buy | MATLIN DAVID J (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | +2.8% | -36.7% |
| THR | insider_buy | NESSER JOHN T III (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -10.9% | -3.5% |
| RC | insider_buy | Petro Andrea (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -2.6% | +1.0% |
| CMT | insider_buy | DUVALL DAVID L. (Chief Executive Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -8.1% | -6.9% |
| FYBR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | -13.6% | -14.1% |
| APA | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -15.7% | +14.3% |
| HTAEUR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CTXSEUR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XLP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +5.8% | +8.8% |
| BTU | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +10.1% | -6.7% | +59.8% |
| LQD | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
| SC | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| SC | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| XOP | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -11.3% | +6.9% |
| CFBK | insider_buy | O'Dell Timothy T (CEO) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -7.2% | +5.0% |
| UEPS | insider_buy | Meyer Christopher G.B. (Group Chief Executive Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| UEPS | insider_buy | Meyer Christopher G.B. (Group Chief Executive Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SWX | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +1.1% | +0.7% |
| XRXCHF | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XRXCHF | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| HRI | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -13.4% | -11.9% |
| FND | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -4.8% | -11.2% | -18.4% |
| CHV | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BNY | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | -0.6% | +10.8% |
| USEG | insider_buy | Slack Stephen (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| USEG | insider_buy | Keys Randall D (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| OVV | new_position | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | -9.4% | +19.6% |
| WMT | new_position | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +1.1% | -1.9% |
| AR | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | -12.0% | +5.5% |
| EQT | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -2.1% | +11.5% |
| KSS | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -3.4% | -18.7% | +6.6% |
| ALITEUR | new_position | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GT | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -14.1% | -24.3% |
| XOP | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -11.3% | +6.9% |
| DHI | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +6.2% | -9.0% |
| M | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | -23.8% | -14.2% |
| M | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | -23.8% | -14.2% |
| INM | insider_buy | Johnson Shane Aaron (SVP, GM of BayMedica LLC) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +26.7% | +3.5% | -10.5% |
| CZNC | insider_buy | Lehman Terry L (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:53 UTC | 0.8d | +2.0% | -3.0% | +2.6% |
| OHI | insider_buy | Anand Kapila K (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:48 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -3.8% | +8.5% |
| HGBL | insider_buy | DOVE ROSS (CEO) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:31 UTC | 0.8d | +5.4% | -14.4% | -3.2% |
| YELL | insider_buy | DOHENY MATTHEW A. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:25 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BANX | insider_buy | Stolper Michael (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -1.2% | +3.4% |
| HGBL | insider_buy | Hexner Michael (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:13 UTC | 0.8d | +5.4% | -14.4% | -3.2% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| LIVC | insider_buy | Vahabzadeh Amir (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +29.8% | -11.3% |
| VAXX | insider_buy | Palm Ulo (Chief Medical Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:52 UTC | 0.8d | +9.0% | -56.0% | -55.6% |
| VAXX | insider_buy | Reese Lou (Executive Chairman) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:48 UTC | 0.8d | +9.0% | -56.0% | -55.6% |
| VAXX | insider_buy | Hu Mei Mei (See Remarks) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:48 UTC | 0.8d | +9.0% | -56.0% | -55.6% |
| EAF | insider_buy | Germain Jean-Marc (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:42 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -9.6% | -20.2% |
| CDTX | insider_buy | Stein Jeffrey (President & CEO) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:41 UTC | 0.8d | -8.7% | -16.7% | -46.0% |
| CDTX | insider_buy | Shah Preetam (CFO & CBO) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:38 UTC | 0.8d | -8.7% | -16.7% | -46.0% |
| APTX | insider_buy | HOMBACH ROBERT J. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:37 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| APTX | insider_buy | HOMBACH ROBERT J. (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:37 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RBNC | insider_buy | Mabry William Lawson (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:22 UTC | 0.8d | +3.0% | -2.9% | +6.3% |
| HFC | insider_buy | MYERS FRANKLIN (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:12 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ARC | insider_buy | MEALY MARK W (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:02 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +8.8% | +13.0% |
| ARC | insider_buy | MEALY MARK W (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 18:02 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +8.8% | +13.0% |
| VIRX | insider_buy | ROYSTON IVOR (CEO & President) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 17:59 UTC | 0.8d | -15.8% | -37.0% | -42.8% |
| PETQ | insider_buy | Smith Michael A (EVP - Products) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 17:59 UTC | 0.8d | -11.8% | -18.2% | -20.5% |
| HSKA | insider_buy | Wilson Kevin S. (CEO and President) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 17:42 UTC | 0.7d | -2.6% | -12.6% | -22.6% |
| MPAA | insider_buy | Bryan David (Director) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 17:30 UTC | 0.7d | -8.4% | -10.8% | -13.6% |
| TYME | insider_buy | Galaini Barbara (See Remarks) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 16:51 UTC | 0.7d | -18.5% | -22.1% | -58.7% |
| TYME | insider_buy | Biehl James (Chief Legal Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 16:49 UTC | 0.7d | -18.5% | -22.1% | -58.7% |
| TYME | insider_buy | PORFIDO FRANK L. (Chief Financial Officer) | 2021-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2021-11-15 16:48 UTC | 0.7d | -18.5% | -22.1% | -58.7% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.