Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
97,820 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,812 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBS | ownership_5pct | BNDES Participacoes S.A. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +7.2% | +7.5% | -12.6% |
| WK | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +6.7% | +3.3% | +17.6% |
| JACK | ownership_5pct | Callodine Capital Management, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -9.2% | -7.7% | -30.2% |
| RRR | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +3.8% | -1.0% | -4.2% |
| ASND | insider_sale_intent | PEDERSEN ANNI LOTTE KIRSTINE SONDERBJERG | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -2.3% | -3.1% | -0.3% |
| CWH | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -1.0% | -39.4% |
| ARDT | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +3.7% | +0.6% | -29.9% |
| ASIC | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +5.3% | -6.4% | -17.3% |
| CTEV | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -22.9% | -42.7% |
| TTAN | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +10.5% | -18.6% |
| SABR | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +0.2% | -7.8% |
| RAL | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -6.3% | +4.5% |
| SE | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +4.4% | +4.1% | -25.4% |
| DOCU | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +5.2% | +12.7% | -9.9% |
| FLS | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +4.3% | +24.8% |
| RKT | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +3.4% | +9.5% | -11.9% |
| WDAY | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -2.4% | -5.7% | -5.6% |
| DHR | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -12.3% | +0.6% |
| FIX | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | +11.6% | +27.5% |
| META | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -4.2% | -3.4% | -26.8% |
| 07WA | new_position | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PRMB | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | -10.1% | -37.7% |
| CASY | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | +7.9% | +1.2% |
| MSFT | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -4.5% | -7.5% |
| TLN | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -6.0% | +5.8% | -10.5% |
| VST | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | +3.6% | -17.5% |
| VST | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | +3.6% | -17.5% |
| CSGP | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -4.3% | -28.0% |
| CSGP | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -4.3% | -28.0% |
| COF | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +1.6% | -3.8% |
| COF | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +1.6% | -3.8% |
| NVDA | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% |
| NVDA | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% |
| ABG | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +5.2% | -1.6% | -11.6% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | HERALD Y CHEN | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | +35.1% | +22.3% |
| FLYY | ownership_5pct | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -12.6% | -37.3% | -39.2% |
| CHA | ownership_5pct | Zhang Junjie | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +4.9% | -24.9% | -35.6% |
| HNGE | ownership_5pct | 11.2 Capital I, L.P. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -33.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Schaeffer Orlov S Nicole | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | +10.7% | +45.0% |
| CHA | ownership_5pct | Yin Dengfeng | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +4.9% | -24.9% | -35.6% |
| OKUR | ownership_5pct | HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +11.6% | -8.9% | +19.7% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | Ernest C. Garcia III | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +1.6% | -13.4% |
| IWM | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | +2.6% | +0.1% |
| TRIP | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -0.1% | -20.6% |
| IJH | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| IJH | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| CRM | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | -3.9% | -5.1% |
| CRM | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | -3.9% | -5.1% |
| BDX | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -7.0% | -5.4% |
| EGRX | ownership_5pct | J. Goldman & Co LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | +13.8% | -63.8% |
| POOL | ownership_5pct | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -0.5% | -27.6% |
| SGRY | ownership_5pct | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +3.4% | -8.0% | -37.3% |
| MAGN | ownership_5pct | Newtyn Management, LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -18.3% | -35.0% |
| CAI | ownership_5pct | J H Whitney VI L P | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +7.4% | -10.3% | -37.9% |
| CLW | ownership_5pct | SOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC/TN/ | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | -1.4% | -18.3% |
| OKUR | ownership_5pct | CANTOR FITZGERALD & CO. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +11.6% | -8.9% | +19.7% |
| LAMR | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
| DHI | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +1.1% | -17.6% |
| LEN | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +2.6% | -1.2% | -12.6% |
| NUE | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -4.3% | -4.2% |
| POOL | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -0.5% | -27.6% |
| UNH | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +9.9% | +5.6% |
| VRSN | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | +4.3% | -11.0% |
| BLRX | ownership_5pct | HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +2.3% | -10.9% |
| BTT | ownership_5pct | Karpus Management, Inc. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| GOCO | ownership_5pct | Link Signis Management, LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| HVMC | ownership_5pct | MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MHK | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +3.7% | +4.2% | -20.2% |
| GT | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -2.2% | -15.0% |
| WHR | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +6.0% | +0.9% | -29.2% |
| DAL | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | -6.5% | -5.0% |
| XYZ | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +4.1% | -2.6% | -22.3% |
| UAL | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +0.7% | -8.2% |
| IQV | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -4.8% | +12.6% |
| RTX | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +0.3% | +8.5% |
| MU | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | +28.8% | +91.6% |
| INTC | new_position | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +0.3% | +41.8% |
| TSM | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | +7.1% | +13.7% |
| MSFT | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -4.5% | -7.5% |
| NVDA | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% |
| NVDA | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% |
| NRA | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| UNH | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +9.9% | +5.6% |
| UNH | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +9.9% | +5.6% |
| XRAY | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:52 UTC | 0.8d | +5.6% | -4.2% | -24.4% |
| LXEO | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:51 UTC | 0.8d | +3.5% | +7.8% | +86.0% |
| NEOG | ownership_5pct | Gates Capital Management, Inc. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:48 UTC | 0.8d | +3.6% | -5.5% | +12.9% |
| AER | insider_sale_intent | Anderson Peter Deane | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:42 UTC | 0.8d | +5.3% | +3.7% | +16.5% |
| CHYM | ownership_5pct | Galileo (PTC) Ltd | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:32 UTC | 0.8d | -5.9% | -24.3% | -39.1% |
| LOVE | ownership_5pct | AWM Investment Company, Inc. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:30 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -10.2% | -37.4% |
| FTK | insider_sale_intent | Ryan Ezell | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -2.6% | +19.9% |
| PAVM | ownership_5pct | Sargent Investment Group, LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:19 UTC | 0.8d | +3.9% | -13.2% | -25.8% |
| DOOO | ownership_5pct | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:09 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | +12.3% | +9.4% |
| LSF | ownership_5pct | AWM Investment Company, Inc. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:09 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | -6.0% | -56.9% |
| EGG | ownership_5pct | Tay Chee Yang | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:02 UTC | 0.8d | -8.3% | -18.2% | -44.3% |
| EGG | ownership_5pct | Foo Chee Weng Desmond | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:02 UTC | 0.8d | -8.3% | -18.2% | -44.3% |
| CABA | ownership_5pct | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 19:02 UTC | 0.8d | -5.5% | +13.8% | +32.4% |
| AYTU | ownership_5pct | AWM Investment Company, Inc. | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 18:58 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +3.3% | -11.2% |
| SWZ | ownership_5pct | RIVERNORTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 18:41 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| WDC | ownership_5pct | MANAGED ACCOUNT ADVISORS LLC | 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-08-14 18:40 UTC | 0.8d | +2.3% | +34.9% | +105.2% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.