Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,368 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,925 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | AMIT AGARWAL | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +3.2% | +7.8% | +19.6% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS TAIRA | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | +4.7% | +27.1% | +27.4% |
| NMAX | ownership_5pct | Naples Investment Holdco LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | +6.5% | -23.8% | -57.8% |
| PATH | insider_sale_intent | ASHIM A GUPTA | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | +4.9% | +3.8% | -18.2% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | SPENCER NEUMANN | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -1.0% | +0.1% | -11.7% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | OLIVIER POMEL | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +3.2% | +7.8% | +19.6% |
| PFGC | insider_sale_intent | GEORGE HOLM | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | +2.6% | +2.4% | +8.0% |
| RBRK | insider_sale_intent | JOHN AND SANDRA THOMPSON TRUST | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | +5.3% | +28.6% | +13.2% |
| PATH | insider_sale_intent | ICE VULCAN HOLDING LIMITED | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | +4.9% | +3.8% | -18.2% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | BHJC Trust | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | +4.7% | +27.1% | +27.4% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | P RAGHAVAN & S P RAGHAVAN CO-TTEE RAGHAVAN LIVING TRUST U/A DTD 01/12/2000 | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | -6.5% | -3.9% | +6.1% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | MARK JENKINS | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +4.7% | +27.1% | +27.4% |
| VIK | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD MARNELL | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +4.4% | +26.0% |
| VIK | insider_sale_intent | MILTON HUGH | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +4.4% | +26.0% |
| VIK | insider_sale_intent | LEAH B TALACTAC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +4.4% | +26.0% |
| KDP | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT J. GAMGORT 1999 TRUST U/ADTD 12/17/1999 | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | -2.1% | -9.8% | -12.3% |
| BL | insider_sale_intent | Partin Mark | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +13.0% | +16.6% | +0.3% |
| NUE | insider_sale_intent | Topalian Leon J | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -5.9% | -5.7% | +0.4% |
| ITGR | insider_sale_intent | Dziedzic Joseph W | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -5.3% | -9.8% | -27.9% |
| SYRE | ownership_5pct | TANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -6.3% | +4.5% | -6.0% |
| STT | insider_sale_intent | THE JOHN & LISA PLANSKY REV TRUST | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +4.0% | +2.0% | +12.3% |
| DOCS | insider_sale_intent | ANNA COLLINS BRYSON | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -15.0% | -14.7% |
| SNAP | insider_sale_intent | Murphy Robert C. | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -6.1% | -0.9% |
| BIRD | ownership_5pct | Ghost Angel LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | +37.5% | +74.6% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Charles Giancarlo | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -4.5% | -1.4% | +19.3% |
| NTRA | insider_sale_intent | STEVEN L CHAPMAN | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -3.0% | -25.8% |
| CW | insider_sale_intent | Farkas K Christopher | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +8.0% | +19.7% | +25.9% |
| BSX | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL F MAHONEY | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -6.9% | -11.2% |
| UTHR | insider_sale_intent | PAUL MAHON | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +4.9% | -13.6% |
| ISRG | insider_sale_intent | JAMI NACHTSHEIM | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | -0.9% | -21.6% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | HASTINGS REED | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | -1.0% | +0.1% | -11.7% |
| BSX | insider_sale_intent | ARTHUR C BUTCHER | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -6.9% | -11.2% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | Peterson Douglas L. | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 19:26 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -3.9% | -1.6% |
| OMF | insider_sale_intent | Shulman Douglas H. | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 18:41 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| VLTO | insider_sale_intent | Aquino Melissa | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 17:24 UTC | 0.7d | +2.0% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| MGRC | insider_sale_intent | HANNA JOSEPH F | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 17:13 UTC | 0.7d | +0.9% | +0.9% | -2.3% |
| RLMD | ownership_5pct | Squadron Capital Management LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 16:21 UTC | 0.7d | +15.3% | +85.8% | +55.5% |
| NMIH | insider_sale_intent | Pollitzer Adam | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 15:35 UTC | 0.7d | +1.1% | +0.3% | -13.0% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Kleinerman Christian | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 15:30 UTC | 0.7d | +4.3% | +19.6% | +11.4% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Aguilar Moses Victor Javier | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 15:24 UTC | 0.6d | -1.4% | -1.2% | -18.4% |
| VST | insider_sale_intent | Moldovan Kristopher E. | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 15:12 UTC | 0.6d | -2.1% | +21.2% | +41.0% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Dageville Benoit | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 14:56 UTC | 0.6d | +4.3% | +19.6% | +11.4% |
| SBAC | insider_sale_intent | LANGER JACK | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 14:38 UTC | 0.6d | -0.5% | -9.9% | -17.2% |
| ADI | insider_sale_intent | ROCHE VINCENT | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 14:07 UTC | 0.6d | +4.9% | +4.8% | +1.1% |
| FDS | insider_sale_intent | Snow Frederick Philip | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 13:46 UTC | 0.6d | +5.0% | -5.0% | -19.7% |
| RUN | ownership_5pct | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 12:17 UTC | 0.5d | +29.1% | +8.4% | +20.1% |
| RUN | ownership_5pct | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 12:17 UTC | 0.5d | +29.1% | +8.4% | +20.1% |
| AER | insider_sale_intent | Juhas, Peter | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 11:44 UTC | 0.5d | +3.1% | +3.4% | -10.2% |
| AER | insider_sale_intent | Kelly Aengus | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 11:43 UTC | 0.5d | +3.1% | +3.4% | -10.2% |
| MITI | activist_13d | Leath Mack Rimmer Jr. | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 11:27 UTC | 0.5d | +7.5% | -31.8% | -69.9% |
| SGMA | ownership_5pct | TCW GROUP INC | 2025-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 06:01 UTC | 0.3d | +5.9% | +97.9% | +91.8% |
| UPXI | ownership_5pct | GSR Growth Investments LP | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-01 00:55 UTC | 1.0d | -29.1% | -27.4% | -77.3% |
| FGL | ownership_5pct | Avondale Capital, LLC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -5.7% | -25.9% | -21.4% |
| PPTA | ownership_5pct | Encompass Capital Advisors LLC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -6.1% | -11.6% |
| PLAY | ownership_5pct | Patient Capital Management, LLC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +11.2% | +9.7% | +37.2% |
| MOH | insider_sale_intent | Joseph M. Zubretsky | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:48 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | -11.1% | -63.3% |
| BL | insider_sale_intent | Partin Mark | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +10.7% | +11.7% | -1.1% |
| SLRN | activist_13d | Madison Avenue Partners, LP | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | -5.8% | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AZZ | insider_sale_intent | Thomas E. Ferguson | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +3.3% | +1.0% | +9.7% |
| TT | insider_sale_intent | Simmons Donald E. | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | +3.5% | -0.8% |
| ROOT | insider_sale_intent | Ribbit Capital IV, L.P. | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | -5.3% | -27.5% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Ek | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +7.6% | +5.5% | -8.8% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | MATHIAS DOPFNER | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | +1.4% | -10.7% |
| ISRG | insider_sale_intent | AMY L LADD | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | +0.8% | -19.5% |
| DHR | insider_sale_intent | Riley Christopher Paul | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 19:41 UTC | 0.8d | -2.1% | -9.9% | -12.5% |
| IGI | ownership_5pct | UBS Group AG | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 19:31 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | -5.8% | -10.3% |
| AMRX | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 17:56 UTC | 0.8d | -4.8% | -10.3% | -11.7% |
| IDAI | ownership_5pct | DQI Holdings Inc. | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 17:54 UTC | 0.8d | +10.4% | -1.1% | +12.1% |
| INO | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:24 UTC | 0.6d | -4.9% | +5.0% | -37.2% |
| KROS | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:23 UTC | 0.6d | -5.0% | -5.5% | -14.6% |
| OOMA | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:23 UTC | 0.6d | +6.5% | +1.9% | -21.9% |
| NBBK | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:23 UTC | 0.6d | +2.4% | -8.8% | -14.3% |
| NFE | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:22 UTC | 0.6d | +6.7% | -61.2% | -63.2% |
| SMC | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:15 UTC | 0.6d | +2.6% | -10.9% | -23.6% |
| PHUN | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +0.2% | -6.5% | -22.6% |
| SNDK | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:13 UTC | 0.6d | +11.3% | +8.4% | +13.9% |
| INVE | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:13 UTC | 0.6d | -5.4% | -7.0% | -9.6% |
| STNG | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:13 UTC | 0.6d | +4.9% | -1.8% | +11.0% |
| QXO | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:12 UTC | 0.6d | +3.9% | +19.1% | +33.3% |
| RAPT | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:11 UTC | 0.6d | -13.8% | -3.6% | +30.4% |
| GPOR | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:11 UTC | 0.6d | +6.9% | +6.3% | -16.3% |
| PRMB | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 15:10 UTC | 0.6d | -3.0% | -8.4% | -30.4% |
| AMTB | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:59 UTC | 0.6d | +3.9% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| KODK | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:58 UTC | 0.6d | +6.4% | -15.4% | -9.4% |
| FLOC | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:58 UTC | 0.6d | +5.4% | -14.7% | -25.1% |
| FBIZ | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:58 UTC | 0.6d | +0.4% | -5.2% | -14.3% |
| GOLF | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | +2.4% | -2.7% | +5.1% |
| AMRK | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | -15.7% | -20.2% | -27.2% |
| AKBA | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | +8.4% | +29.9% | +42.8% |
| CLNE | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | +14.4% | +9.4% | +20.2% |
| DBD | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:56 UTC | 0.6d | +1.0% | -0.6% | +6.1% |
| BLFY | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:56 UTC | 0.6d | +3.0% | -13.5% | -25.4% |
| FFWM | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:56 UTC | 0.6d | +0.6% | -7.9% | -19.5% |
| CNH | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:55 UTC | 0.6d | +0.4% | -4.3% | -9.4% |
| EQBK | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:54 UTC | 0.6d | +1.8% | -5.7% | -16.4% |
| APEI | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:54 UTC | 0.6d | +9.1% | +18.5% | +12.3% |
| DCGO | ownership_5pct | VANGUARD GROUP INC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:53 UTC | 0.6d | +4.7% | -38.4% | -52.4% |
| NMIH | insider_sale_intent | Leatherberry William J | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 14:34 UTC | 0.6d | +4.1% | +2.8% | -10.7% |
| RYES | ownership_5pct | Equinox Partners Investment Management LLC | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 12:02 UTC | 0.5d | -20.3% | +80.7% | +115.8% |
| HSAI | activist_13d | Sun Kai | 2025-04-30 00:00 UTC | 2025-04-30 11:38 UTC | 0.5d | -9.3% | +1.4% | -4.9% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.