Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,466 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKO | activist_13d | Silver Lake West HoldCo, L.P. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 02:31 UTC | 1.1d | -1.7% | -7.3% | -3.6% |
| TKO | activist_13d | Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 02:00 UTC | 1.1d | -1.7% | -7.3% | -3.6% |
| AAMI | ownership_5pct | Azora Capital LP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 01:38 UTC | 1.1d | +3.9% | +2.6% | +23.4% |
| CYH | ownership_5pct | CastleKnight Master Fund LP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 01:26 UTC | 1.1d | -2.0% | -14.9% | +17.5% |
| WT | ownership_5pct | Azora Capital LP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 00:56 UTC | 1.0d | -3.6% | -3.6% | +1.7% |
| COR | insider_sale_intent | Walgreens Boots Alliance Holdings LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-07 00:55 UTC | 1.0d | -2.9% | +10.9% | +16.6% |
| ATRA | ownership_5pct | Panacea Innovation Ltd | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 23:34 UTC | 1.0d | -16.1% | -26.8% | -21.9% |
| AMP | insider_sale_intent | William Fredrick Truscott | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 23:15 UTC | 1.0d | +0.1% | -3.5% | -2.3% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Smith Michael Alexander | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:43 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Schaeffer Orlov S Nicole | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:39 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Lewis William | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:34 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Flammer Martina M.D. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:25 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Bonstein Sara | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:21 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Adsett Roger | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| EVR | insider_sale_intent | HYMAN EDWARD S | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -20.8% | -15.2% |
| CRNC | ownership_5pct | Van Berkom & Associates Inc. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | -6.6% | -26.6% | -30.1% |
| SCSC | insider_sale_intent | BAUR MICHAEL L | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | +2.3% | +10.5% |
| IT | insider_sale_intent | Dawkins Alwyn | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:59 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -4.4% | -12.5% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | Peters Gregory K | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | -4.3% | +18.2% |
| BR | insider_sale_intent | BRETT A KELLER | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +1.6% | +4.7% |
| CRVL | insider_sale_intent | Steven J. Hamerslag | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -1.2% | +2.6% |
| VPG | ownership_5pct | Portolan Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +4.5% | +1.2% | +9.9% |
| TSLA | insider_sale_intent | KIMBAL J MUSK | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -28.8% | -11.7% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -7.8% | -11.2% |
| FLEX | insider_sale_intent | Hartung Michael P | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -14.4% | -5.1% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | -11.3% | -25.7% | -21.2% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -11.3% | -25.7% | -21.2% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -11.3% | -25.7% | -21.2% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -11.3% | -25.7% | -21.2% |
| KD | insider_sale_intent | Khurana Vineet | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -10.5% | -5.4% |
| JCI | insider_sale_intent | JOHN DONOFRIO | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -4.7% | +11.1% |
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT KIPP DEVEER | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -17.4% | -6.9% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | STRIVE MASIYIWA | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | -4.3% | +18.2% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Singh Sumit | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -3.2% | +12.3% |
| ICE | insider_sale_intent | BENJAMIN JACKSON | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +8.4% | +13.0% |
| MXF | ownership_5pct | GATES FOUNDATION TRUST | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | +7.6% | +20.6% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Reeder David | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -3.2% | +12.3% |
| JCI | insider_sale_intent | GEORGE R OLIVER SR. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -4.7% | +11.1% |
| KD | insider_sale_intent | Sebold Edward | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -10.5% | -5.4% |
| AXP | insider_sale_intent | STEPHEN J SQUERI | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | -11.9% | -4.1% |
| VLY | insider_sale_intent | MENDELSON AVNER | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -9.3% | -7.7% |
| FXHO | insider_sale_intent | Capital Vista LTD | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCEW | ownership_5pct | Sin Yuk Hung | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -18.8% | -27.7% | -12.7% |
| NCEW | ownership_5pct | Yip Chi Keung | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -18.8% | -27.7% | -12.7% |
| NCEW | ownership_5pct | Asia International Securities Exchange Co., Ltd. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -18.8% | -27.7% | -12.7% |
| NCEW | ownership_5pct | Ngan Ching Shun | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -18.8% | -27.7% | -12.7% |
| LLY | insider_sale_intent | LILLY ENDOWMENT INC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | +1.5% | -10.4% |
| SNAP | insider_sale_intent | Spiegel Evan | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | -11.4% | -18.7% |
| DYAI | ownership_5pct | Francisco Trust under agreement dated February 28, 1996 | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -7.2% | -29.0% |
| RLNDF | ownership_5pct | McClory Grant | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +7.5% | +5.8% |
| PZZA | ownership_5pct | River Road Asset Management, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 20:57 UTC | 0.9d | +28.9% | +30.6% | +7.6% |
| SBCF | ownership_5pct | North Reef Capital Management LP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| INDV | ownership_5pct | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 19:53 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +9.4% | +21.4% |
| DOV | insider_sale_intent | Cerepak Brad M | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 19:43 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -3.0% | -7.0% |
| LOCO | ownership_5pct | LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 19:41 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | -4.6% | -19.0% |
| SLRC | ownership_5pct | THORNBURG INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 18:47 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +8.8% | +0.8% |
| RVNC | ownership_5pct | GLAZER CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 18:19 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ATSG | ownership_5pct | GLAZER CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 18:14 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +7.7% | +6.9% |
| USB | insider_sale_intent | Richard Jodi L | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 17:57 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -4.5% | -4.2% |
| PFSB | ownership_5pct | Peru Federal Savings Bank Employee Stock Ownership Plan Trust | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 17:45 UTC | 0.7d | -1.5% | +2.6% | +0.8% |
| FSLR | ownership_5pct | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 17:34 UTC | 0.7d | -6.6% | -9.9% | -10.7% |
| MSTR | ownership_5pct | SUSQUEHANNA SECURITIES, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 17:32 UTC | 0.7d | +1.6% | -13.0% | +32.8% |
| KRG | ownership_5pct | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 17:12 UTC | 0.7d | -6.5% | +1.1% | +2.3% |
| TAL | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 16:58 UTC | 0.7d | +8.5% | +6.8% | -22.8% |
| FLXS | insider_sale_intent | DITTMER JERALD K | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 16:02 UTC | 0.7d | -3.0% | -13.9% | -34.3% |
| MGRC | ownership_5pct | River Road Asset Management, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | -1.8% | -0.6% | -2.5% |
| TDY | insider_sale_intent | MEHRABIAN ROBERT | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | -5.8% | +3.0% | +0.6% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Dageville Benoit | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 15:39 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -11.1% | +0.4% |
| EAT | insider_sale_intent | Comings Douglas N. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 15:12 UTC | 0.6d | -9.4% | -9.3% | -14.6% |
| GAN | ownership_5pct | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 14:53 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ODP | ownership_5pct | LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 14:52 UTC | 0.6d | -3.3% | -13.3% | -10.7% |
| QGEN | ownership_5pct | WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 14:38 UTC | 0.6d | -5.0% | +2.4% | +7.0% |
| ENOV | ownership_5pct | DIAMOND HILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 14:05 UTC | 0.6d | -1.7% | -8.8% | -19.1% |
| CPSH | ownership_5pct | Wax Asset Management, LLC | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 14:00 UTC | 0.6d | +12.1% | +0.4% | +17.0% |
| PRGO | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 13:27 UTC | 0.6d | -1.9% | +22.0% | +16.7% |
| OFG | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 13:26 UTC | 0.6d | -5.7% | -3.5% | +1.1% |
| UVV | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 13:23 UTC | 0.6d | -1.1% | +10.5% | +17.7% |
| OII | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 13:22 UTC | 0.6d | +1.7% | -15.0% | -17.1% |
| AGRO | ownership_5pct | Banco Santander, S.A. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 11:53 UTC | 0.5d | -0.0% | +19.7% | +0.4% |
| EQC | ownership_5pct | BlackRock, Inc. | 2025-02-06 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 10:28 UTC | 0.4d | +0.3% | +3.3% | -0.7% |
| INSE | ownership_5pct | Philotimo Fund, LP | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 01:23 UTC | 1.1d | +4.8% | -12.4% | -18.5% |
| BAM | activist_13d | BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 01:15 UTC | 1.1d | +1.8% | -11.3% | +3.8% |
| IMAB | activist_13d | CBC Investment I-Mab Ltd | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 01:09 UTC | 1.1d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PLBY | ownership_5pct | FIG Buyer GP, LLC | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-06 01:09 UTC | 1.1d | -8.6% | -34.9% | -41.8% |
| ABT | insider_sale_intent | Robert B. Ford | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 23:52 UTC | 1.0d | +2.2% | +14.7% | +11.5% |
| CW | insider_sale_intent | Lynn Bamford | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 23:06 UTC | 1.0d | -4.1% | -5.4% | +14.5% |
| TSHA | ownership_5pct | Octagon Capital Advisors LP | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 23:05 UTC | 1.0d | -3.0% | +11.2% | +33.0% |
| HFBL | ownership_5pct | Home Federal Bank Employees' Savings & Profit Sharing Plan & Trust | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 23:00 UTC | 1.0d | +3.7% | +5.1% | +8.0% |
| HLF | ownership_5pct | Long Focus Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:53 UTC | 0.9d | -3.4% | +73.5% | +36.7% |
| TYRA | insider_sale_intent | Canaan XI, LP | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:42 UTC | 0.9d | -7.5% | -15.3% | -17.0% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Sutphen Mona | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:35 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | -14.3% | +11.2% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Berg Katarina | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:31 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | -14.3% | +11.2% |
| PLD | insider_sale_intent | Ghazal Joseph | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | +7.0% | -3.7% |
| ENOV | ownership_5pct | DAVENPORT & Co LLC | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -13.1% | -19.5% |
| ENVB | ownership_5pct | INTRACOASTAL CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | -5.9% | +9.9% | -17.9% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -8.5% | -9.4% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Ek | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 21:51 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | -14.3% | +11.2% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Singh Sumit | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -10.2% | +5.4% |
| TYRA | insider_sale_intent | Canaan 2020 Plus Co-Investment LP - Series 7 | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -7.5% | -15.3% | -17.0% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Reeder David | 2025-02-05 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-05 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -10.2% | +5.4% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.