Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,466 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMI | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 14:29 UTC | 0.6d | -2.9% | +0.6% | +9.0% |
| MGA | ownership_5pct | PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 14:14 UTC | 0.6d | +0.5% | +3.7% | -6.2% |
| MRNS | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 14:13 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| TRUP | ownership_5pct | FLOSSBACH VON STORCH SE | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 13:37 UTC | 0.6d | -1.4% | -25.2% | +1.7% |
| LII | insider_sale_intent | Torres John D | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 13:21 UTC | 0.6d | +4.2% | +8.4% | +4.1% |
| RLNDF | ownership_5pct | Pinehurst Partners LLC | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 13:02 UTC | 0.5d | +0.1% | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| RLNDF | ownership_5pct | Sindres Jean-Claude | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 13:01 UTC | 0.5d | +0.1% | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| RLNDF | ownership_5pct | di Savoia Emanuele Filiberto | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 13:00 UTC | 0.5d | +0.1% | +4.7% | +6.8% |
| TTC | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:58 UTC | 0.5d | -1.6% | -4.5% | -6.6% |
| SHW | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:53 UTC | 0.5d | -2.3% | +4.7% | +3.5% |
| PH | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:50 UTC | 0.5d | -1.1% | -3.0% | -2.5% |
| NI | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:40 UTC | 0.5d | +1.9% | +5.7% | +13.8% |
| MMM | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:39 UTC | 0.5d | -2.2% | +1.1% | -1.8% |
| MTH | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:38 UTC | 0.5d | -4.9% | +5.2% | -4.3% |
| HXL | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:37 UTC | 0.5d | +1.5% | -4.4% | -13.9% |
| XOM | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:29 UTC | 0.5d | -1.3% | +4.8% | +2.9% |
| CMC | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:28 UTC | 0.5d | +3.0% | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| CRS | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:26 UTC | 0.5d | -3.0% | -1.8% | +15.5% |
| BBY | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:23 UTC | 0.5d | +0.5% | -3.5% | -13.1% |
| REX | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:21 UTC | 0.5d | -0.8% | -7.2% | +0.1% |
| ADM | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:16 UTC | 0.5d | -2.5% | +12.3% | +11.1% |
| AIR | ownership_5pct | STATE STREET CORP | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 12:12 UTC | 0.5d | +0.2% | -0.4% | -6.3% |
| SDGR | ownership_5pct | Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 11:18 UTC | 0.5d | -8.6% | -14.9% | -2.4% |
| LII | activist_13d | NORRIS JOHN W III | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 10:03 UTC | 0.4d | +4.2% | +8.4% | +4.1% |
| HCTI | ownership_5pct | L1 Capital Global Opportunities Master Fund, Ltd. | 2025-02-04 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 08:11 UTC | 0.3d | -23.2% | -45.4% | -66.5% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Wong Leila | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:23 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Etienvre Yann L | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:20 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Chawla Mandeep | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:20 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | MIONIS ROBERT | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:20 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Phillips Jason | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:18 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Cooper Todd C | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:16 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CLS | insider_sale_intent | Agrawal Alok K. | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 02:15 UTC | 1.1d | -9.8% | -34.4% | -25.9% |
| CRWD | insider_sale_intent | PK GIVING TRUST | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 00:23 UTC | 1.0d | +4.3% | -15.4% | +8.1% |
| CRWD | insider_sale_intent | DK GIVING TRUST | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-04 00:02 UTC | 1.0d | +4.3% | -15.4% | +8.1% |
| GTE | ownership_5pct | Encompass Capital Advisors LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 23:50 UTC | 1.0d | -2.6% | -17.8% | -24.1% |
| ADCT | ownership_5pct | BlackRock, Inc. | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 23:10 UTC | 1.0d | -16.4% | +10.9% | -15.0% |
| RSI | insider_sale_intent | ROOSILEHT EINAR | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 23:05 UTC | 1.0d | -0.8% | -24.6% | -16.0% |
| SUNS | ownership_5pct | Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:47 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -2.0% | -4.6% |
| SNX | insider_sale_intent | Richard T. Hume | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -2.8% | -11.2% |
| PANW | insider_sale_intent | Lee Klarich | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | +2.6% | +9.7% |
| RBRK | insider_sale_intent | Arvind Nithrakashyap | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -16.1% | +7.1% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Brian Armstrong | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | -18.8% | -22.9% |
| PANW | insider_sale_intent | Nikesh Arora | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | +2.6% | +9.7% |
| IMNM | ownership_5pct | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | -7.9% | -12.0% | -24.3% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | Taylor Teresa | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:06 UTC | 0.9d | +8.4% | +16.0% | +14.2% |
| STAI | ownership_5pct | Silverback Capital Corp | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:05 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +41.3% | +19.0% |
| GRDN | activist_13d | Bindley Capital Partners I, LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -13.6% | -14.9% | +19.5% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Chesky Brian | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | +7.9% | -0.1% |
| MORN | insider_sale_intent | Mansueto Joseph D | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -4.1% | -2.9% |
| EWTX | ownership_5pct | Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | -11.9% | +0.2% | -44.4% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -6.0% | -9.7% |
| INSM | insider_sale_intent | Lewis William | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -2.6% | -9.4% |
| OESX | ownership_5pct | Acuitas Investments, LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | +2.9% | -5.4% |
| WMT | insider_sale_intent | John D. Rainey | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -1.3% | +4.9% |
| CYH | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | +5.6% | -4.7% | -3.9% |
| V | insider_sale_intent | MCINERNEY RYAN | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +4.7% | +7.8% |
| TDUP | insider_sale_intent | TRINITY VENTURES X LP | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -3.4% | +165.1% |
| PWP | insider_sale_intent | RED HOOK CAPITAL LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -8.8% | -14.9% | -28.1% |
| NTRA | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL BURKES BROPHY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | -14.0% | -3.9% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | ALEXIS LEQUOC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -18.7% | -20.4% |
| WIX | insider_sale_intent | ARYA TRUST PROPERTY HLDGS CO LTD | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -12.9% | -21.0% |
| TSLA | insider_sale_intent | VAIBHAV TANEJA | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -16.8% | -28.0% | -22.9% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | P RAGHAVAN & S P RAGHAVAN CO-TTEE RAGHAVAN LIVING TRUST U/A DTD 01/12/2000 | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -10.8% | -11.7% | -13.9% |
| JOBY | insider_sale_intent | SCIARRA MANAGEMENT TRUST U/A DTD12/21/2012 | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -8.8% | -12.4% | -13.8% |
| OSIS | insider_sale_intent | CHOPRA FAMILY TRUST U/A DTD 12/20/2004 | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | -2.8% | +17.5% |
| NET | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS J SEIFERT | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +22.5% | -1.7% | -5.9% |
| FFIV | insider_sale_intent | CHAD WHALEN | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | -3.2% | -4.8% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | ANN MATHER | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -4.1% | +21.2% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Singh Sumit | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | -4.3% | +5.7% |
| DOCS | insider_sale_intent | TIMOTHY CABRAL | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +27.0% | +17.1% | +4.0% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | MARK JENKINS | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +4.7% | -22.6% | +7.3% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Reeder David | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | -4.3% | +5.7% |
| TSCO | insider_sale_intent | Lawton III Harry A | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +6.3% | +1.7% |
| CRM | insider_sale_intent | AMY WEAVER | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -6.3% | -12.1% | -13.6% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | HASTINGS REED | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -4.1% | +21.2% |
| VIST | insider_sale_intent | Pablo Manuel Vera Pinto | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -10.2% | -9.4% |
| AMAL | insider_sale_intent | Workers United | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +5.5% | -7.4% | -6.2% |
| BSX | insider_sale_intent | ARTHUR C BUTCHER | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +2.2% | +7.4% |
| BYON | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 20:47 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -37.9% | -54.4% |
| PAYX | insider_sale_intent | GOLISANO B THOMAS | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 19:49 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | +5.8% | +7.2% |
| EAT | insider_sale_intent | Davis Cindy L | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 19:40 UTC | 0.8d | -13.2% | -21.0% | -21.9% |
| CCCC | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:59 UTC | 0.8d | -4.4% | -25.8% | -51.7% |
| ALLK | activist_13d | TANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:34 UTC | 0.8d | +6.9% | +5.0% | +36.8% |
| CORT | insider_sale_intent | Maduck Sean | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:33 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | -14.0% | +12.6% |
| AJG | insider_sale_intent | Hudson Scott R | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:32 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +13.7% | +15.4% |
| USB | insider_sale_intent | DOLAN TERRANCE R | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:32 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -1.6% | -5.8% |
| NOW | insider_sale_intent | ELMER RUSSELL S | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -9.3% | +2.4% |
| EAD | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:25 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +3.7% | +4.9% |
| COUR | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:21 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -1.6% | +16.2% |
| APLS | ownership_5pct | MORGAN STANLEY | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 18:09 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -7.2% | -26.7% |
| DYN | ownership_5pct | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 17:07 UTC | 0.7d | -9.2% | -12.4% | -25.4% |
| CNTY | ownership_5pct | RICE HALL JAMES & ASSOCIATES, LLC | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 17:03 UTC | 0.7d | -3.5% | -8.3% | -47.2% |
| NOW | insider_sale_intent | ELMER RUSSELL S | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:56 UTC | 0.7d | -0.7% | -9.3% | +2.4% |
| PMA | insider_sale_intent | Lam Chi Ming | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:34 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TMO | insider_sale_intent | Williamson Stephen | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:28 UTC | 0.7d | -6.7% | -4.3% | -23.0% |
| TVTX | insider_sale_intent | Dube Eric M | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:22 UTC | 0.7d | +12.0% | -5.4% | +1.4% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Degnan Christopher William | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | -3.5% | -12.6% | -4.1% |
| TSLA | insider_sale_intent | DENHOLM ROBYN M | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | -16.8% | -28.0% | -22.9% |
| ADP | insider_sale_intent | Bonarti Michael A | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | -0.2% | +4.1% | +7.0% |
| IRM | insider_sale_intent | Meaney William L | 2025-02-03 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-03 16:11 UTC | 0.7d | +4.3% | -13.4% | +3.4% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.