Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,717 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,964 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -6.0% | +4.0% |
| MRVL | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +3.2% | -5.2% | -10.3% |
| AWN | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ICE | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -3.8% | +9.4% |
| SPGI | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -4.3% | +7.1% |
| CPAY | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -14.3% | -1.6% |
| VST | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | -13.3% | -19.8% |
| GOOGL | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -1.6% | -11.5% |
| GOOGL | new_position | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -1.6% | -11.5% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -3.3% | -8.8% |
| OSIS | insider_sale_intent | DEEPAK CHOPRA &NANDINI CHOPRA JT TEN | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -4.3% | -0.4% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS HERRINGTON | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | -3.3% | -8.8% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | GLENN D FOGEL & AMY J ROBERTS JT TEN | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | +2.6% | -8.1% |
| HON | insider_sale_intent | DARIUS ADAMCZYK | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -0.9% | -8.6% |
| NBIX | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW C ABERNETHY | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -8.1% | -3.0% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | ALEXIS T LEQUOC | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | -6.3% | -9.8% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | KEN QING XIE | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | -4.0% | +16.8% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | SUNDAR PICHAI | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -1.6% | -11.5% |
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | ATTICUS ENTERPRISES LLC | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | -11.4% | -5.6% |
| MYGN | insider_sale_intent | DIAZ PAUL J | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -4.9% | -5.8% | +9.3% |
| GTLB | insider_sale_intent | SYTSE SIJBRANDIJ REVOCABLE TRUST U/T/A DTD 02/21/2019 | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -26.6% | -24.8% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | NOUBAR B AFEYAN | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +24.1% | +0.5% | -39.7% |
| KEX | insider_sale_intent | William M. Waterman | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Sharp Evan | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -1.0% | -32.7% |
| STE | insider_sale_intent | TOKICH MICHAEL J | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -9.6% | -4.3% |
| KO | insider_sale_intent | HENRIQUE GNANI BRAUN | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | -3.8% | +4.9% |
| SG | insider_sale_intent | Nicolas Jammet | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -2.1% | -9.1% | +12.4% |
| ICLR | insider_sale_intent | JOHN CLIMAX | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | -3.3% | -3.1% |
| JBLU | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -7.8% | -12.5% | -27.6% |
| JBLU | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -7.8% | -12.5% | -27.6% |
| UAN | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -14.6% | -15.4% |
| UAN | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -14.6% | -15.4% |
| IFF | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -6.6% | -4.0% |
| IFF | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -6.6% | -4.0% |
| REGN | insider_sale_intent | YANCOPOULOS GEORGE | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +4.5% | +16.6% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Ullal Jayshree | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -5.3% | +2.8% | +5.4% |
| QCOM | insider_sale_intent | AMON CRISTIANO R | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | +4.9% | +12.0% | -15.7% |
| SYM | insider_sale_intent | COREY C DUFRESNE | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | -9.6% | -29.6% | -57.0% |
| GCT | insider_sale_intent | DCM IV LP | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -10.1% | -20.5% | -43.3% |
| BROS | insider_sale_intent | JEMLEY LIVING TRUST | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -8.8% | +0.6% | -18.8% |
| MRCY | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +1.3% | -13.4% | +23.2% |
| RG6 | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NWSA | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | -1.4% | -1.0% |
| ALITEUR | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ALITEUR | new_position | Starboard Value | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| V | insider_sale_intent | Fabara Paul D | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -6.6% | -9.4% |
| FISV | insider_sale_intent | Chiarello Guy | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -5.5% | +4.3% |
| SG | insider_sale_intent | Jonathan Neman | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -2.1% | -9.1% | +12.4% |
| NVDA | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +10.5% | +35.3% | +26.9% |
| IBIT | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +3.5% | -1.3% | -13.6% |
| ON 0 05/01/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| HDB | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +5.3% | +3.3% |
| BKNG 0.75 05/01/25 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TLT | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| MTCH | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -5.5% | -6.1% | +7.0% |
| VLO | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | -7.5% | -9.3% |
| XRT | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -3.1% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| XLF | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | -6.3% | -1.0% |
| SU | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -11.1% | -0.1% |
| SU | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -11.1% | -0.1% |
| 22941EUR | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LM0C | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | Perotti Daniel Stanley | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -4.7% | -0.1% |
| LYFT | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -8.4% | -20.4% | -39.1% |
| BA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -5.4% | -6.0% | -6.8% |
| UPS | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -6.5% | -12.7% | -18.6% |
| KWEB | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -6.4% | -13.6% | -21.3% |
| JD | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -8.4% | -18.2% | -19.7% |
| FXI | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -4.7% | -12.3% | -14.5% |
| ADBE | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | +4.0% | +9.4% |
| BIDUN | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BIDUN | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PDD | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +7.7% | -0.1% | -1.1% |
| PDD | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +7.7% | -0.1% | -1.1% |
| ORCL | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | +12.2% | +7.7% |
| ORCL | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | +12.2% | +7.7% |
| BABA | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -6.3% | -15.6% | -7.1% |
| RVTY | insider_sale_intent | Tereau Daniel R | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 19:54 UTC | 0.8d | +3.7% | -4.5% | +5.2% |
| CRWD | insider_sale_intent | Podbere Burt W. | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 19:53 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +11.7% | -27.8% |
| LEVI | insider_sale_intent | Haas Margaret E. | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 19:44 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | +2.3% | -19.0% |
| SCOR | ownership_5pct | Irrevocable Larson Family Investment Trust | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 19:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -12.7% | -49.0% |
| TREX | insider_sale_intent | Rudolph Jacob T. | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 19:26 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -9.1% | -33.7% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MARR JOHN S JR | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 18:48 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | -7.7% | +14.5% |
| EMN | insider_sale_intent | LICH BRAD A | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 18:40 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -3.5% | -6.7% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | HAAS ALESIA J | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 18:10 UTC | 0.8d | +10.4% | +19.6% | -2.1% |
| STLD | insider_sale_intent | Graham Christopher A | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 18:05 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -9.7% | -18.4% |
| WSM | insider_sale_intent | ALBER LAURA | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:59 UTC | 0.8d | -8.6% | -6.0% | -16.8% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | Selipsky Adam | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:57 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | -3.3% | -8.8% |
| AJG | insider_sale_intent | HOWELL DOUGLAS K | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:56 UTC | 0.8d | -1.3% | -1.0% | +6.7% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | Hoge Stephen | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:41 UTC | 0.7d | +24.1% | +0.5% | -39.7% |
| SM | insider_sale_intent | SULLIVAN WILLIAM D | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:31 UTC | 0.7d | -0.3% | -8.0% | -11.1% |
| AAON | insider_sale_intent | Thompson Rebecca | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:20 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | +2.7% | +13.4% |
| UPST | insider_sale_intent | Gu Paul | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:19 UTC | 0.7d | -9.1% | -16.1% | +38.5% |
| LDI | insider_sale_intent | Hsieh Anthony Li | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:07 UTC | 0.7d | -7.7% | -22.6% | +22.6% |
| VRT | insider_sale_intent | Roger Fradin | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 17:01 UTC | 0.7d | +4.6% | -11.4% | -23.5% |
| VMI | insider_sale_intent | Schapper Aaron M | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 16:56 UTC | 0.7d | -1.8% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| SCHW | insider_sale_intent | Schwab Charles R. | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 16:40 UTC | 0.7d | -6.8% | -10.2% | -20.9% |
| RPM | insider_sale_intent | Gordon Russell L | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | -4.2% | -1.8% |
| SYK | insider_sale_intent | Glenn Boehnlein | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 16:13 UTC | 0.7d | -0.6% | -0.3% | -3.8% |
| WAT | insider_sale_intent | KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER A | 2024-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-15 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | -6.1% | -21.9% | -10.9% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.