Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,863 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,129 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTG | insider_sale_intent | Thompson Steven M. | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -6.8% | +6.5% |
| R | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT FATOVIC | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -8.9% | +2.0% |
| KO | insider_sale_intent | JOHN MURPHY | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -2.6% | +5.9% |
| ENVA | insider_sale_intent | Fisher David | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | -11.8% | +18.3% |
| R | insider_sale_intent | JOHN DIEZ | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -8.9% | +2.0% |
| NPO | insider_sale_intent | Childress John M II | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -7.1% | -6.2% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL MAROONE | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:48 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -14.1% | +11.4% |
| CSGP | insider_sale_intent | LISA C. RUGGLES | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:47 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -17.7% | -22.6% |
| MC | insider_sale_intent | KEN D MOELIS | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | -7.0% | +8.9% |
| AJG | insider_sale_intent | BAX WILLIAM L | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -0.7% | +9.8% |
| AXON | insider_sale_intent | Isner Joshua | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -6.5% | -8.5% | +18.6% |
| FSLR | insider_sale_intent | Chapman Richard D | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +51.1% | +12.0% |
| SEIC | insider_sale_intent | Alfred Paul West Jr | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -7.8% | -8.2% |
| AXON | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY C KUNINS | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | -6.5% | -8.5% | +18.6% |
| SKYW | insider_sale_intent | Steel Wade J | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | -3.6% | -5.4% | -10.0% |
| SLGN | insider_sale_intent | LEWIS ROBERT B | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -7.2% | -1.0% |
| MTB | insider_sale_intent | WALTERS KIRK W | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -10.6% | +2.4% |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | SAVILLE PAUL C | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -5.2% | +9.1% |
| INVH | insider_sale_intent | Young Charles D. | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | Cha Cha Trust DBA Cha Cha LLC | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | -6.2% | -13.6% | -16.2% |
| SYM | insider_sale_intent | COREY C DUFRESNE | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | +3.6% | -16.1% | -51.9% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | Mega Air Trust DBA Mega Air LLC | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -6.2% | -13.6% | -16.2% |
| TW | insider_sale_intent | WILLIAM HULT | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -8.0% | +1.9% |
| TXRH | insider_sale_intent | Gregory N Moore Ttee Moore Family Trust Dtd 06/07/1996 | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| WMB | insider_sale_intent | PICKLE DEBBIE L. | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +2.5% | +7.8% |
| PEP | insider_sale_intent | RAMKUMAR KRISHNAN | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -10.6% | -6.6% |
| SNEX | insider_sale_intent | Nguyen Xuong | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | -11.1% | -3.9% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | APOLLO OPPORTUNITY FOUNDATION | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | +1.5% | -10.4% |
| FICO | insider_sale_intent | Rees Joanna | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | +4.6% | -4.1% | +26.7% |
| VECO | insider_sale_intent | William J Miller | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +3.6% | +12.7% | -5.9% |
| NTB | insider_sale_intent | Schrum Michael | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:59 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -9.1% | -3.4% |
| CHKP | insider_sale_intent | SHWED GIL | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:58 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | +0.4% | +16.8% |
| QCOM | insider_sale_intent | AMON CRISTIANO R | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:58 UTC | 0.8d | +4.8% | +11.9% | -12.9% |
| FLEX | insider_sale_intent | Advaithi Revathi | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | +9.1% | +0.4% |
| DUK | insider_sale_intent | JANSON JULIA S | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:17 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | -2.4% | +8.8% |
| FLEX | insider_sale_intent | Lundstrom Paul | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 19:17 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | +9.1% | +0.4% |
| CROX | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Hart | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 18:58 UTC | 0.8d | -3.3% | +4.8% | -11.8% |
| AGO | insider_sale_intent | Bailenson Robert | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 18:30 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | -9.7% | -8.1% |
| CTVA | insider_sale_intent | Eathington Samuel R | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 18:26 UTC | 0.8d | -3.4% | -13.0% | -13.3% |
| ALGT | insider_sale_intent | DeAngelo Scott Wayne | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 18:07 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -2.9% | -33.6% |
| CI | insider_sale_intent | Neville Everett | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 17:05 UTC | 0.7d | -4.4% | -5.7% | -8.2% |
| VRNS | insider_sale_intent | YAKOV FAITELSON | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 16:22 UTC | 0.7d | -4.8% | -6.6% | +19.6% |
| HCA | insider_sale_intent | Cuffe Michael S. | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 16:18 UTC | 0.7d | -2.8% | -0.1% | +8.1% |
| TDW | insider_sale_intent | Hudson Daniel A. | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 15:55 UTC | 0.7d | -0.9% | -4.7% | -20.4% |
| SCHW | insider_sale_intent | Schwab-Pomerantz Carolyn | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 15:21 UTC | 0.6d | +1.9% | -6.6% | -21.2% |
| HIG | insider_sale_intent | Bennett Jonathan R | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 15:17 UTC | 0.6d | -0.4% | -5.0% | +2.9% |
| BMRN | insider_sale_intent | BIENAIME JEAN JACQUES | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 14:54 UTC | 0.6d | -5.9% | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 14:44 UTC | 0.6d | -3.1% | -3.2% | -13.8% |
| TDW | insider_sale_intent | ROBOTTI ROBERT | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 14:03 UTC | 0.6d | -0.9% | -4.7% | -20.4% |
| HLP | insider_sale_intent | Hongli Development Ltd | 2024-05-09 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-09 10:32 UTC | 0.4d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| QSR | insider_sale_intent | Kobza Joshua | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 23:50 UTC | 1.0d | -4.4% | -11.1% | -6.2% |
| PLTR | insider_sale_intent | THIEL PETER | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 23:07 UTC | 1.0d | +0.8% | +6.4% | +39.2% |
| L | insider_sale_intent | Lizzie & Jonathan Tisch Family Foundation | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:35 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -5.9% | -2.5% |
| L | insider_sale_intent | Jonathan M. Tisch Family Foundation | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -5.9% | -2.5% |
| L | insider_sale_intent | TISCH JONATHAN M | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:29 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -5.9% | -2.5% |
| ST | insider_sale_intent | Sullivan Martha N. | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -10.3% | -18.3% |
| MSI | insider_sale_intent | NIEWIARA JAMES A | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +0.8% | +11.6% |
| CME | insider_sale_intent | Piell Hilda Harris | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -9.5% | -5.5% |
| UFPI | insider_sale_intent | Bruce A Meriono | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -5.9% | -3.7% |
| CNA | insider_sale_intent | Franzetti Daniel Paul | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:07 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -2.9% | +8.0% |
| SFM | insider_sale_intent | Konat Nicholas | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:04 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | -0.9% | +26.3% |
| FCN | insider_sale_intent | Gunby Steven Henry | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -5.7% | -2.1% |
| TDC | insider_sale_intent | Cione Todd | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -3.3% | -23.9% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Mary E. Erdoes | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -1.9% | +2.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Jennifer Piepszak | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -1.9% | +2.0% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Fred Ehrsam | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -7.0% | +15.7% | -9.5% |
| SKYW | insider_sale_intent | Childs Russell A | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -5.0% | -8.7% |
| OSIS | insider_sale_intent | JAMES B HAWKINS | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | JAMES DANFORTH QUAYLE | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:31 UTC | 0.8d | -3.7% | -13.2% | +10.1% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | LISA SU | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | +5.1% | +2.2% | -14.7% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | NOUBAR B AFEYAN | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | +6.5% | +18.1% | -33.6% |
| VITL | insider_sale_intent | RUSSELL DIEZ-CANSECO | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | +5.5% | -22.6% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | RYAN SCOTT KEETON | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -3.7% | -13.2% | +10.1% |
| CRNX | insider_sale_intent | Struthers Richard Scott | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +3.4% | -11.9% | -6.4% |
| OWL | insider_sale_intent | Blue Owl Exchange LP | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -8.3% | -9.7% |
| TDW | insider_sale_intent | Rubio Samuel R | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -4.0% | -23.7% |
| AXG | insider_sale_intent | Vulcan Worldwide Holdings Limited | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CROX | insider_sale_intent | MICHELLE POOLE | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | +7.3% | -8.1% |
| DKNG | insider_sale_intent | Robins Jason | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -16.6% | -33.9% |
| BFAM | insider_sale_intent | STEPHEN KRAMER | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -2.1% | -8.5% | +14.3% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | MARTIN B KELLY | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | +3.3% | -9.1% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | APOLLO OPPORTUNITY FOUNDATION | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | +3.3% | -9.1% |
| GMED | insider_sale_intent | Davidar David D | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 19:59 UTC | 0.8d | -2.3% | -0.1% | +10.9% |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | ROSIER WILLIAM GRADY | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 19:25 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -4.6% | +8.1% |
| COF | insider_sale_intent | Karam Celia | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 18:52 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -3.7% | -7.8% |
| DORM | insider_sale_intent | BERMAN STEVEN L | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 18:46 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | -5.6% | +11.6% |
| OLED | insider_sale_intent | BROWN JULIA J | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 18:28 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | +4.1% | -5.6% |
| DORM | insider_sale_intent | BERMAN MARC H | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 18:26 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | -5.6% | +11.6% |
| WING | insider_sale_intent | McGrath Albert G | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 18:18 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | -3.5% | -9.4% |
| CB | insider_sale_intent | Keogh John W | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 17:09 UTC | 0.7d | +2.6% | +2.4% | +4.0% |
| HIG | insider_sale_intent | Costello Beth Ann | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:52 UTC | 0.7d | -0.8% | -3.0% | +4.5% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MOORE H LYNN JR | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:40 UTC | 0.7d | -0.4% | -4.0% | +16.6% |
| MPWR | insider_sale_intent | Xiao Deming | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT SHEARER | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -1.7% | -2.1% | -7.0% |
| MPWR | insider_sale_intent | Tseng Saria | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:31 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| MPWR | insider_sale_intent | Sciammas Maurice | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:21 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| MPWR | insider_sale_intent | Hsing Michael | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 16:11 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| MPWR | insider_sale_intent | BLEGEN THEODORE | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| RMD | insider_sale_intent | Sandercock Brett | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 15:33 UTC | 0.7d | -0.2% | -5.4% | -2.9% |
| FRPT | insider_sale_intent | Macchiaverna Stephen | 2024-05-08 00:00 UTC | 2024-05-08 14:46 UTC | 0.6d | +5.9% | +6.3% | +5.0% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.