Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
101,161 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,146 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD | position_increase | Scion Asset Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 12:17 UTC | 0.5d | +0.3% | +15.7% | +44.0% |
| BABA | position_increase | Scion Asset Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 12:17 UTC | 0.5d | +1.7% | -2.9% | +11.8% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | JOHNSON GREGORY D | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 10:10 UTC | 0.4d | -0.2% | +3.8% | -9.6% |
| BMR | insider_sale_intent | Marker II LP | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 00:15 UTC | 1.0d | -9.8% | -33.8% | -49.6% |
| BBT | insider_sale_intent | VM GP VII LLC | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 23:20 UTC | 1.0d | -1.9% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| L | insider_sale_intent | TISCH ANDREW H | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 23:01 UTC | 1.0d | +0.2% | +2.2% | -2.3% |
| GOLD | insider_sale_intent | Michael Robert Wittmeyer | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RCL | insider_sale_intent | Bayley Michael W | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 22:47 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | +8.0% | +14.0% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | XIE FOUNDATION | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -8.4% | -20.9% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | APOLLO OPPORTUNITY FOUNDATION C/O KRISTIANE KINAHAN, SHARI VERSCHELL & LAUREN COAPE-ARNOLD | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 22:03 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -4.1% | -3.8% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | KEN QING XIE | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:59 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -8.4% | -20.9% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -0.2% | -4.7% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT M. DAVIS | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -5.4% | -1.2% |
| NICE | insider_sale_intent | BARAK EILAM | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | +7.5% | +3.3% | -5.1% |
| ICE | insider_sale_intent | BENJAMIN R JACKSON | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -3.7% | -5.4% |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | Ross Susan Williamson | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| APPF | insider_sale_intent | Mazza Matthew S | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -7.7% | +0.5% |
| EQIX | insider_sale_intent | CHARLES MEYERS | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +0.0% | -8.9% |
| EW | insider_sale_intent | BOBO DONALD E JR | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +4.7% | -1.8% |
| EW | insider_sale_intent | Szyman Catherine M. | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +4.7% | -1.8% |
| GATX | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT LYONS | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +2.6% | +2.0% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | Graff Michael | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -0.4% | +5.8% |
| XNCR | insider_sale_intent | Desjarlais John R | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +19.6% | +12.3% | -0.7% |
| SAIA | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS L. COL | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | +0.2% | -33.7% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | TOBY WILLIAMS | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -5.7% | -6.6% |
| ETN | insider_sale_intent | LEONETTI OLIVIER | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +5.8% | +16.8% |
| CBT | insider_sale_intent | Zhu Jeff Ji | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 19:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | +6.3% | +19.2% |
| ARDX | insider_sale_intent | Block Geoffrey A. | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 19:12 UTC | 0.8d | -6.8% | -15.3% | -22.0% |
| CCL | insider_sale_intent | Bernstein David | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 18:45 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | +3.9% | -9.3% |
| CSL | insider_sale_intent | D Christian Koch | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 18:15 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | +4.6% | +15.0% |
| CWGL | ownership_5pct | Elgethun Capital Management | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 18:11 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -2.7% | -5.5% |
| CBT | insider_sale_intent | Zhu Jeff Ji | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 17:15 UTC | 0.7d | +0.4% | +6.3% | +19.2% |
| PATK | insider_sale_intent | WELCH M SCOTT | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 16:17 UTC | 0.7d | +2.8% | +1.0% | -0.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | ROGERS CHARLES FRANCIS | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 16:09 UTC | 0.7d | -1.3% | +3.5% | -10.3% |
| CI | insider_sale_intent | Palmer Eric P | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 15:47 UTC | 0.7d | -0.7% | +1.8% | -4.8% |
| RVSN | insider_sale_intent | Foresight Autonomous Holdings Ltd. | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 14:11 UTC | 0.6d | -43.9% | -60.8% | -88.5% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | ANDREWS JONATHAN WYATT | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 14:05 UTC | 0.6d | -1.3% | +3.5% | -10.3% |
| LARK | ownership_5pct | Moreland Jane Ann | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 12:52 UTC | 0.5d | -4.5% | -8.8% | -9.8% |
| CHKP | insider_sale_intent | Shavit Shenhav Tal | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 11:09 UTC | 0.5d | -7.2% | -3.0% | -16.4% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | FLETCHER JEREMY ADAM | 2024-02-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 10:16 UTC | 0.4d | -1.3% | +3.5% | -10.3% |
| AMP | insider_sale_intent | Sweeney Joseph Edward | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-13 00:11 UTC | 1.0d | +1.3% | +4.6% | +6.1% |
| VTGN | ownership_5pct | StemPoint Capital LP | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 23:27 UTC | 1.0d | -2.4% | -24.2% | -14.0% |
| HON | insider_sale_intent | DARIUS ADAMCZYK | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 23:13 UTC | 1.0d | +2.2% | -2.5% | -0.9% |
| MOH | insider_sale_intent | Keim Mark Lowell | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:59 UTC | 1.0d | +0.6% | -1.1% | -17.5% |
| WFRD | insider_sale_intent | Benjamin C. Duster | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +6.2% | +12.0% | +22.1% |
| FSLY | insider_sale_intent | Todd Nightingale | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | -37.6% | -48.5% | -66.6% |
| EAF | activist_13d | Undavia Nilesh | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:14 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +21.5% | +33.9% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:14 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +2.8% | -3.6% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | MARTIN B KELLY | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 22:03 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -3.7% | -5.0% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Brian Armstrong | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +15.1% | +62.2% | +38.4% |
| HON | insider_sale_intent | Darius Adamczyk | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -2.5% | -0.9% |
| DINO | insider_sale_intent | Michael Jennings | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -4.2% | -8.6% |
| PCAR | insider_sale_intent | SCHIPPERS HARRIE | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +5.6% | -2.9% |
| ITW | insider_sale_intent | SANTI ERNEST SCOTT | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | +1.0% | -6.7% |
| MSTR | insider_sale_intent | RICKERTSEN CARL J | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:51 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | +140.2% | +82.9% |
| AME | insider_sale_intent | Burke William Joseph | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | +4.0% | -5.8% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | JAMES C. ZELTER | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:49 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -3.7% | -5.0% |
| TRI | insider_sale_intent | Paul Fischer | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:49 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | -0.7% | +4.2% |
| RTX | insider_sale_intent | Wesley Kremer | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -2.3% | +11.2% |
| AXP | insider_sale_intent | LAUREEN E SEEGER | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +0.9% | +9.3% |
| KEX | insider_sale_intent | Grzebinski David W | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +1.3% | +30.5% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | STEVEN BEAUCHAMP | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | -3.4% | -4.0% |
| MTD | insider_sale_intent | Kelly Michael A | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +7.9% | +23.0% |
| MSTR | insider_sale_intent | CARL RICKERTSEN | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | +140.2% | +82.9% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | LEIDEN JEFFREY M | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -6.0% | -3.2% |
| SEIC | insider_sale_intent | SANJAY KUMAR SHARMA | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| BTU | insider_sale_intent | Elliott Investment Management L.P. (1) | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -4.3% | -15.3% |
| HLT | insider_sale_intent | SCHUYLER MATTHEW W | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +4.1% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| UBER | insider_sale_intent | DEREK ANTHONY WEST | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +10.2% | +8.3% | -11.6% |
| ROKU | insider_sale_intent | THE WOOD REVOCABLE TRUST U/A DTD 12/01/2017 | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -29.6% | -32.3% | -37.0% |
| AXP | insider_sale_intent | STEPHEN SQUERI | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +0.9% | +9.3% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | JOHN WHITTLE | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -6.5% | -6.2% | -19.5% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | ALEXIS T LEQUOC | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -5.1% | -11.1% | -17.6% |
| CL | insider_sale_intent | Wallace Noel R. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +1.6% | +7.7% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS HERRINGTON | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +1.8% | +4.7% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | CHUNG (BVI) CO LTD | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -16.6% | -25.5% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | ZHAN (BVI) CO LTD. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -16.6% | -25.5% |
| BWA | insider_sale_intent | CALAWAY TONIT M | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -0.7% | +15.2% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Xu Tony | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | +9.7% | -7.7% |
| SNEX | insider_sale_intent | Lyon Charles M | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | -1.9% | +8.6% |
| EW | insider_sale_intent | SELLERS ROBERT W.A. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +4.0% | -6.0% |
| MS | insider_sale_intent | ANDY SAPERSTEIN | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +1.9% | +13.2% |
| MS | insider_sale_intent | JPG 2023 CC GRAT | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +1.9% | +13.2% |
| AXP | insider_sale_intent | ANNA MARRS | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +0.9% | +9.3% |
| RMBS | insider_sale_intent | XIANZHI S FAN | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +6.2% | -1.0% |
| PSX | insider_sale_intent | Harbison Richard G | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +2.9% | -5.7% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Special Opportunities Fund I AIV, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Executive Fund XI, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Fund XI-A, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Fund X-A, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Fund XI, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Special Opportunities Fund I, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| DT | insider_sale_intent | Thoma Bravo Fund X, L.P. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| CRM | insider_sale_intent | SRINIVAS TALLAPRAGADA | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | +3.8% | -7.7% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | Steven I Sarowitz | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | -3.4% | -4.0% |
| ITW | insider_sale_intent | SCHEUNEMAN RANDALL J | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 20:59 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | +1.0% | -6.7% |
| FN | insider_sale_intent | Olson Rollance E. | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 18:13 UTC | 0.8d | -3.7% | -2.4% | +13.3% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | Arbuckle Stuart A | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 17:44 UTC | 0.7d | +0.2% | -6.0% | -3.2% |
| AON | insider_sale_intent | Davies Christa | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 17:13 UTC | 0.7d | -1.0% | -1.7% | -13.9% |
| PI | insider_sale_intent | MECKLAI HUSSEIN | 2024-02-12 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-12 16:15 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +16.8% | +56.9% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.