Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
101,809 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,146 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | Kerry Acocella | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:37 UTC | 1.0d | +3.0% | +4.3% | -6.4% |
| PANW | insider_sale_intent | Nikesh Arora | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:37 UTC | 1.0d | -4.0% | +4.5% | -19.2% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Brian Armstrong | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:36 UTC | 1.0d | +7.7% | -12.4% | +51.9% |
| LAD | insider_sale_intent | DEBOER SIDNEY B | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:28 UTC | 1.0d | +10.3% | +1.2% | -8.4% |
| ESTC | insider_sale_intent | Herzog Carolyn | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:21 UTC | 1.0d | -5.4% | -1.3% | -22.4% |
| FICO | insider_sale_intent | Covert Stephanie | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:15 UTC | 1.0d | -0.9% | +3.6% | -5.3% |
| MSI | insider_sale_intent | YAZDI CYNTHIA | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:15 UTC | 1.0d | -5.0% | -4.5% | -3.2% |
| NXPI | insider_sale_intent | Jensen Christopher L | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:14 UTC | 1.0d | +0.8% | -6.9% | -1.8% |
| EXR | insider_sale_intent | Saffire Joseph | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:14 UTC | 1.0d | +5.4% | +2.8% | -11.6% |
| GTLB | insider_sale_intent | BOSTROM SUSAN L | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:13 UTC | 1.0d | -4.5% | -4.4% | -26.6% |
| CRWD | insider_sale_intent | Podbere Burt W. | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:13 UTC | 1.0d | +0.8% | +12.2% | +16.1% |
| PRDO | insider_sale_intent | Hurst Andrew | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:12 UTC | 1.0d | -1.6% | -2.1% | -9.0% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:06 UTC | 1.0d | +1.6% | +9.0% | +11.8% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | Atlas Venture Fund X, L.P. | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:03 UTC | 1.0d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | Atlas Venture Opportunity Fund I, L.P. | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 23:00 UTC | 1.0d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | OrbiMed Genesis Master Fund, L.P. | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:58 UTC | 1.0d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:55 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +9.0% | +11.8% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | OrbiMed Private Investments VI, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:53 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Duda | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:49 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +9.0% | +11.8% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Horizon Charitable Foundation | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +6.2% | +10.4% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | OrbiMed Private Investments VIII, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:42 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| HPE | insider_sale_intent | RUSSO FIDELMA | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -9.0% | -7.5% |
| HPE | insider_sale_intent | Black Thomas E Jr | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:30 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -9.0% | -7.5% |
| DLB | insider_sale_intent | YEAMAN FAMILY TRUST UAD 5/14/2009 | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -5.3% | -13.7% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | +8.4% | +35.6% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Marianne Lake | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +3.5% | +3.6% | +9.7% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | KEN QING XIE | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | +3.9% | +10.7% | +11.4% |
| TDY | insider_sale_intent | MAIN SUE | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +2.1% | -10.8% |
| PSA | insider_sale_intent | REYES JOHN | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | +3.0% | -10.1% |
| IOT | insider_sale_intent | BOSTROM SUSAN L | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | -7.7% | -7.7% | -9.6% |
| GCT | insider_sale_intent | DCM IV LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:52 UTC | 0.9d | +10.3% | +54.8% | +210.0% |
| MTSI | insider_sale_intent | DONGHYUN T HWANG | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | -5.5% | -9.6% |
| LECO | insider_sale_intent | CHRISTOPHER MAPES | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Chesky Brian | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -7.9% | +2.0% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | Lisman Michael | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +0.2% | +6.8% |
| MANH | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS E. NOONAN | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -5.1% | +0.8% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Horizon Charitable Foundation | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +6.2% | +10.4% |
| RCL | insider_sale_intent | A WILHELMSEN A S | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID OBSTLER | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | +4.3% | -6.4% |
| SNA | insider_sale_intent | ALDO PAGLIARI | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -1.0% | -6.6% |
| VRDN | insider_sale_intent | Humer Kristian | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +6.3% | +13.6% | -20.3% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | White William Richard | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +4.3% | -4.7% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MILLER BRIAN K | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -0.2% | -8.2% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Xu Tony | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +2.2% | +20.9% |
| FISV | insider_sale_intent | Chiarello Guy | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -0.0% | +1.5% |
| DOCN | insider_sale_intent | Guy Jeffrey Scott | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +9.8% | +4.0% | +8.6% |
| GRBK | insider_sale_intent | DME Capital Management, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -4.0% | -1.7% |
| GRBK | insider_sale_intent | DME Capital Management, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -4.0% | -1.7% |
| GRBK | insider_sale_intent | DME Capital Management, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -4.0% | -1.7% |
| GRBK | insider_sale_intent | DME Advisors, LP | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -4.0% | -1.7% |
| ENVA | insider_sale_intent | Fisher David | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +4.2% | +4.5% | +5.9% |
| TDY | insider_sale_intent | VanWees Jason | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | +2.1% | -10.8% |
| ROAD | insider_sale_intent | Matteson Mark R | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 19:54 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | -6.7% | +8.3% |
| AAON | insider_sale_intent | VBT Irrevocable Trust DTD 12/21/2022 | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 19:21 UTC | 0.8d | +6.6% | +2.5% | +13.4% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Capuano Anthony | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 17:56 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | +2.4% | +3.0% |
| KEYS | insider_sale_intent | Gooi Soon Chai | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 17:26 UTC | 0.7d | +2.9% | -2.4% | -10.8% |
| CME | insider_sale_intent | Durkin Bryan T | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 16:33 UTC | 0.7d | -0.9% | -5.9% | -4.0% |
| TGT | insider_sale_intent | Ward Laysha | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 16:29 UTC | 0.7d | -1.0% | +0.6% | +10.4% |
| WSO | insider_sale_intent | CESAR L. ALVAREZ | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 16:13 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | -2.3% | -9.5% |
| COR | insider_sale_intent | COLLIS STEVEN H | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 15:09 UTC | 0.6d | -1.9% | +6.2% | +8.1% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | Stockbridge Partners LLC | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 14:24 UTC | 0.6d | -2.9% | +0.2% | +6.8% |
| ZS | insider_sale_intent | Darling Scott C | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 13:11 UTC | 0.6d | +1.6% | +6.4% | -19.1% |
| CNI | insider_sale_intent | Donald Keith Reardon | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 12:57 UTC | 0.5d | +1.9% | +2.9% | -1.4% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Mann Roy | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 12:41 UTC | 0.5d | +4.6% | +6.2% | +10.4% |
| SE | insider_sale_intent | City Jet Ltd | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 11:17 UTC | 0.5d | -6.3% | -6.1% | +45.9% |
| SE | insider_sale_intent | KUOK Khoon Hua | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 11:09 UTC | 0.5d | -6.3% | -6.1% | +45.9% |
| NVMI | insider_sale_intent | Wilson Adrian Stuart | 2023-12-12 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 06:26 UTC | 0.3d | +0.2% | +0.9% | +20.1% |
| ESTC | insider_sale_intent | Kulkarni Ashutosh | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 02:35 UTC | 1.1d | -5.4% | -1.3% | -22.4% |
| USFD | insider_sale_intent | Sachem Head Capital Management LP | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 02:19 UTC | 1.1d | -0.2% | +1.5% | +12.0% |
| AFRM | insider_sale_intent | GIC Private Limited | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:48 UTC | 1.0d | +2.6% | -9.1% | -33.2% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | Eduardo Vivas | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:40 UTC | 1.0d | +13.7% | +6.0% | +57.3% |
| AMP | insider_sale_intent | CRACCHIOLO JAMES M | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:39 UTC | 1.0d | +0.3% | -0.9% | +4.1% |
| FICO | insider_sale_intent | Covert Stephanie | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:36 UTC | 1.0d | -0.9% | +3.6% | -5.3% |
| S | insider_sale_intent | David Bernhardt | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:33 UTC | 1.0d | +2.4% | -5.6% | -23.9% |
| NXPI | insider_sale_intent | Ronald Martino | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-12 00:08 UTC | 1.0d | +0.8% | -6.9% | -1.8% |
| KROS | insider_sale_intent | The Biotech Growth Trust PLC | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:44 UTC | 1.0d | +13.8% | +72.7% | +107.2% |
| HOV | insider_sale_intent | Ara K. Hovnanian | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:30 UTC | 1.0d | +7.3% | +11.9% | -13.3% |
| NTNX | insider_sale_intent | RAJIV RAMASWAMI | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:27 UTC | 1.0d | -0.4% | +6.4% | +27.5% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Fred Ehrsam | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:09 UTC | 1.0d | +12.7% | -9.5% | +56.0% |
| PANW | insider_sale_intent | Nikesh Arora | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:09 UTC | 1.0d | -1.7% | +3.3% | -17.3% |
| SAIC | insider_sale_intent | KEENE NAZZIC S | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 23:00 UTC | 1.0d | -5.2% | -2.4% | +0.7% |
| PSA | insider_sale_intent | REYES JOHN | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:56 UTC | 1.0d | +5.3% | +4.9% | -7.5% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | BRIAN NICCOL | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:46 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -5.2% | +7.0% |
| IDYA | insider_sale_intent | Paul Stone | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | +19.4% | +26.7% |
| ROK | insider_sale_intent | Moret Blake D. | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:38 UTC | 0.9d | +6.7% | +4.2% | -12.3% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | Shikin Vasily | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:36 UTC | 0.9d | +17.5% | +11.9% | +62.9% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Ullal Jayshree | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +6.5% | +12.2% |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | Follette James | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | +4.1% | +1.0% | -8.5% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:07 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +8.9% | +35.9% |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | Perotti Daniel Stanley | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +4.1% | +1.0% | -8.5% |
| IESC | insider_sale_intent | Cleveland Todd M | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:59 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -7.1% | +11.8% |
| CMRE | insider_sale_intent | CHRISTOS KONSTANTAKOPOULOS | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:49 UTC | 0.9d | +7.5% | +11.9% | +9.6% |
| MTB | insider_sale_intent | BARNES JOHN P | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| ADSK | insider_sale_intent | STACY J SMITH | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | BARTON RICHARD N | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | +4.2% | +3.2% | +21.0% |
| SCHL | insider_sale_intent | Else-Mitchell Rose | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -9.4% | -8.5% | -19.4% |
| MTB | insider_sale_intent | BARNES JOHN P | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| ESTC | insider_sale_intent | SHAY-SHALOM BANON | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | -6.9% | -22.8% |
| MMYT | insider_sale_intent | DEEP KALRA | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -0.0% | +27.5% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MARR JOHN S JR | 2023-12-11 00:00 UTC | 2023-12-11 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +2.1% | -8.8% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.