Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
101,880 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,146 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:13 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -4.1% | +30.7% |
| FICO | insider_sale_intent | MCMORRIS MARC F | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:13 UTC | 0.9d | +3.1% | +5.9% | +14.0% |
| ACHC | insider_sale_intent | Hollinsworth John S. | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:12 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -4.1% | -0.9% |
| ANIP | insider_sale_intent | Shanmugam Muthusamy | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:11 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -3.6% | +2.7% |
| COUR | insider_sale_intent | Ng Andrew Y. | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:06 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -4.0% | -25.6% |
| PUMP | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -14.3% | -23.5% |
| AD | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -14.5% | -32.9% |
| HTZWW | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +13.1% | -16.3% |
| XLU | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | -1.3% | -11.5% |
| APO 6.75 07/31/26 | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TDS | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -11.8% | -37.9% |
| RRX | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | +19.9% | +26.1% |
| TMUS | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| USX1 | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| OPCH | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +3.8% | +3.7% |
| UBER | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +10.3% | +34.3% |
| UBER | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +10.3% | +34.3% |
| J | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -10.7% | -12.2% | -3.8% |
| J | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -10.7% | -12.2% | -3.8% |
| ICE | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +6.4% | +12.4% |
| ICE | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +6.4% | +12.4% |
| META | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -4.1% | +30.7% |
| META | new_position | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -4.1% | +30.7% |
| MSFT | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -4.5% | -2.0% |
| NTNX | insider_sale_intent | RAJIV RAMASWAMI | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | +12.6% | +36.4% |
| CMCSA | insider_sale_intent | Brian L. Roberts | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -0.2% | -13.9% |
| SYY | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% |
| SYY | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% |
| WEN | position_increase | Trian Fund Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +1.4% | -13.3% |
| DIS | position_increase | Trian Fund Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | -5.0% | +7.7% |
| NX | insider_sale_intent | William and Iris Griffiths | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -2.5% | -0.6% |
| DOCN | insider_sale_intent | YANCEY SPRUILL | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:39 UTC | 0.9d | +4.8% | +25.3% | +36.3% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Blecharczyk Nathan | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +9.4% | +7.3% |
| WEN | insider_sale_intent | TRIAN FUND MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +1.4% | -13.3% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MARR JOHN S JR | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Tang Stanley | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +1.9% | +10.4% |
| AMPH | insider_sale_intent | PETERS WILLIAM J | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -6.4% | -17.6% |
| SA2D | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CCK | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | +2.3% | -25.6% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | Valladares Jorge | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | -2.0% | +8.0% |
| AMH | insider_sale_intent | CORRIGAN JACK E | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -6.3% | -16.2% |
| FAST | insider_sale_intent | DANIEL FLORNESS | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +2.6% | +6.7% |
| IBOC | insider_sale_intent | SANCHEZ ANTONIO R JR | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | +3.5% | +0.5% |
| GDDY | insider_sale_intent | TSAN-CHEN CHEN | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +9.3% | +7.9% |
| QLYS | insider_sale_intent | SUMEDH SHRINAND THAKAR | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +8.9% | -17.4% |
| VRSN | insider_sale_intent | Demetrios James Bidzos | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | -4.7% | -17.5% |
| UBER | insider_sale_intent | DARA KHOSROWSHAHI | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +10.3% | +34.3% |
| AWM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ARM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +10.2% | +23.4% | +120.0% |
| AAPL | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +0.3% | -14.4% |
| TSM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -0.5% | +17.3% |
| DON | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | +3.7% | -2.0% |
| IWM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +5.4% | +1.7% |
| CTLTEUR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NRA | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NRA | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| IBB | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +6.9% | +3.6% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID OBSTLER | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +7.2% | +7.0% |
| XYL | insider_sale_intent | PATRICK DECKER | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +6.0% | +12.4% |
| IWR | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +3.6% | +0.7% |
| BLMN | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +3.0% | -3.2% |
| BLMN | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +3.0% | -3.2% |
| IWN | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | +5.6% | -1.0% |
| ACTG | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| ACTG | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| AQN | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +6.6% | -6.3% |
| CBOE | insider_sale_intent | Tilly Edward T | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -5.6% | -5.7% |
| CLBT | insider_sale_intent | ARTHUR VEINSTEIN | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +5.1% | -1.8% | +30.9% |
| CXM | insider_sale_intent | DIANE K ADAMS | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -29.9% | -26.8% |
| GOOGL | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -6.3% | -7.2% |
| HHH | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +6.2% | -8.1% |
| HHH | new_position | Pershing Square | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +6.2% | -8.1% |
| CMCSA | insider_sale_intent | The Aileen K. and Brian L. Roberts Foundation | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -0.2% | -13.9% |
| BATRK | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +2.7% | +1.7% |
| SIRIEUR | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LLYVA* | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LLYVK* | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| 22941EUR | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LM0C | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PH | insider_sale_intent | Joseph R. Leonti TTEE Joseph R. Leonti Family Trust | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +0.9% | +10.0% |
| VLY | insider_sale_intent | Joseph Chillura | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | +21.6% | -14.3% |
| REGN | insider_sale_intent | MURPHY ANDREW J | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | +3.6% | +8.1% |
| BEKE | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -5.9% | -22.6% |
| CZR | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -1.7% | -20.1% |
| PDD | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | +24.9% | +6.7% |
| FDX | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +5.0% | -18.8% |
| MSFT | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -4.5% | -2.0% |
| META | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -4.1% | +30.7% |
| CHTR | insider_sale_intent | Rutledge Thomas | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:52 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -13.8% | -41.4% |
| MHK | insider_sale_intent | LORBERBAUM JEFFREY S | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | +17.3% | +22.2% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Gebbia Joseph | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:39 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +9.4% | +7.3% |
| SYY | insider_sale_intent | Grade Joel T. | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | -0.5% | +2.0% |
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | WOMBLE DUSTIN R | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| WSM | insider_sale_intent | ALBER LAURA | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +11.3% | +22.1% | +29.2% |
| ACEL | insider_sale_intent | Rubenstein Gordon | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 19:52 UTC | 0.8d | -7.2% | -13.0% | -15.5% |
| NOW | insider_sale_intent | MILLER JEFFREY A | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 19:42 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
| NSP | insider_sale_intent | RAWSON RICHARD G | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 19:19 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -1.8% | -25.0% |
| EQR | insider_sale_intent | NEITHERCUT DAVID J | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 17:48 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MTSI | insider_sale_intent | OCAMPO JOHN L | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 17:42 UTC | 0.7d | +1.6% | +8.6% | -7.0% |
| MEDP | insider_sale_intent | Medpace Investors, LLC | 2023-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-11-14 17:40 UTC | 0.7d | -3.1% | +1.3% | +27.2% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.