Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
103,942 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,185 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | BENNETT ROSENTHAL | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | +7.4% | +11.1% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | AMIT AGARWAL | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +4.6% | +3.1% | +17.9% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | GLENN D FOGEL & AMY J ROBERTS JT TEN | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | -2.3% | -3.1% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID IAN GOULDEN | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | -2.3% | -3.1% |
| HLLY | insider_sale_intent | Holley Parent Holdings, LLC | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -4.0% | -10.8% | -35.8% |
| COUR | insider_sale_intent | Ng Andrew Y. | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +7.1% | +16.1% | +25.4% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | Selipsky Adam | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 18:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | +2.7% | +5.5% |
| QRVO | insider_sale_intent | BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 17:47 UTC | 0.7d | +4.4% | -2.5% | -5.1% |
| BOOT | insider_sale_intent | Conroy James Grant | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 16:57 UTC | 0.7d | -0.0% | -6.3% | -25.1% |
| TOST | insider_sale_intent | Comparato Christopher P | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 16:13 UTC | 0.7d | -8.8% | -14.9% | -39.3% |
| BLNK | insider_sale_intent | The Farkas Group | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | -19.6% | -27.3% | -25.9% |
| HUBS | insider_sale_intent | Halligan Brian | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 15:40 UTC | 0.7d | +0.0% | -0.9% | -13.2% |
| FLYW | insider_sale_intent | Ellis Michael G | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 15:31 UTC | 0.7d | +2.2% | +0.1% | -29.9% |
| RMD | insider_sale_intent | Farrell Michael J. | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 13:56 UTC | 0.6d | -7.5% | -17.5% | -17.4% |
| ALV | insider_sale_intent | Leif Johansson | 2023-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 13:33 UTC | 0.6d | +2.6% | +5.4% | +8.1% |
| APG | insider_sale_intent | Juno Lower Holdings L.P. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 01:46 UTC | 1.1d | -1.6% | -6.6% | +0.9% |
| ADMA | insider_sale_intent | LENZ BRIAN | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 00:50 UTC | 1.0d | -10.7% | -17.2% | -15.3% |
| ADMA | insider_sale_intent | Grossman Adam S | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 00:47 UTC | 1.0d | -10.7% | -17.2% | -15.3% |
| MHK | insider_sale_intent | LORBERBAUM JEFFREY S | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-15 00:18 UTC | 1.0d | -2.0% | -6.5% | -14.7% |
| UBER | insider_sale_intent | Jill Hazelbaker | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 23:33 UTC | 1.0d | +1.7% | +7.9% | +18.8% |
| ANIP | insider_sale_intent | CAREY STEPHEN P. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +1.1% | -16.3% |
| CRCT | insider_sale_intent | Ashish Arora | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 22:07 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | -3.9% | -21.9% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Kids' Fund III Series A, LP | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 22:06 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | +9.3% | -8.0% |
| TER | insider_sale_intent | Mehta Sanjay | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | -5.4% | -14.6% |
| VST | insider_sale_intent | Moore Stephanie Zapata | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +7.6% | +14.7% |
| QS | insider_sale_intent | Jeffrey B. Straubel | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -0.3% | -21.2% |
| MED | insider_sale_intent | BROWN JEFFREY J | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | -9.5% | -28.9% |
| BNTX | insider_sale_intent | ATHOS KG | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +18.2% | +6.0% | -7.1% |
| ANIP | insider_sale_intent | Shanmugam Muthusamy | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +1.1% | -16.3% |
| U | insider_sale_intent | VPARTNERS III (ISRAEL), L.P. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -0.6% | -20.0% |
| SMCI | insider_sale_intent | KAO GEORGE | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.8% | -2.9% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | Atlas Venture Fund X, L.P. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | -4.1% | -8.2% |
| U | insider_sale_intent | VPARTNERS III (CAYMAN), L.P. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -0.6% | -20.0% |
| MA | insider_sale_intent | Mastercard Foundation | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:59 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| LIDR | insider_sale_intent | KPCB HOLDINGS INC | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -12.0% | -27.8% | -38.8% |
| TWLO | insider_sale_intent | DALZELL RICHARD L | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +3.9% | -4.3% |
| STLD | insider_sale_intent | Graham Christopher A | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -3.3% | +3.8% |
| ACA | insider_sale_intent | Antonio Carrillo | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -6.0% | -10.0% |
| JANX | insider_sale_intent | Godfrey Wayne | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | -14.8% | -40.7% |
| CNDT | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -2.9% | -22.6% |
| CRM | insider_sale_intent | AMY WEAVER | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| MNST | insider_sale_intent | MJCF HALL FAMILY TRUST | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:31 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -4.0% | -4.3% |
| NSUSD | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RSVR | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +2.6% | +8.5% | +8.2% |
| RGLD | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.0% | -0.7% | -2.7% |
| AVGO | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +2.6% | +1.8% | +13.3% |
| JETS | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -10.8% | -20.4% |
| SNAP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -5.9% | +18.4% |
| XOP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | +3.7% | -3.9% |
| XBI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | -3.7% | -15.5% |
| FQI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FIS | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | +0.2% | -5.1% |
| PSX | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | +7.7% | +1.8% |
| HYG | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | -0.8% | +1.0% |
| ET | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +4.3% | +6.3% | +7.8% |
| NRA | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CB1A | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LBRDK | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -3.9% | -0.5% | -10.9% |
| 8IN | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XLV | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -3.4% | -5.7% |
| OIH | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | +4.8% | -4.7% |
| SU | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +5.9% | +11.9% | +10.4% |
| NSP | insider_sale_intent | SARVADI PAUL J | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -4.5% | +7.1% |
| AIT | insider_sale_intent | Schrimsher Neil A | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -1.3% | +1.6% | +6.1% |
| MRVL | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW AND LAURA MURPHY FAMILY TRUST | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | -7.2% | -9.2% |
| FSLR | insider_sale_intent | GEORGES ANTOUN | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | -10.6% | -13.1% | -32.8% |
| BR | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS DESCHUTTER | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | +2.7% | -1.0% |
| NPWR/WS | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FIS | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | +0.2% | -5.1% |
| BKIEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| HTZWW | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -1.3% | -9.2% | -52.5% |
| VST | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | +7.6% | +14.7% |
| MU | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | +8.2% | +14.9% |
| WCC | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -0.9% | -8.4% |
| OPCH | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | -1.6% | -18.0% |
| UBER | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +7.9% | +18.8% |
| AMD | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -4.0% | -5.9% | +5.1% |
| ATVIEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| DENUSD | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| J | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | -3.5% | -1.4% |
| ICE | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | +1.1% | -4.2% |
| NVDA | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +5.0% | +2.0% | +10.9% |
| NVDA | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +5.0% | +2.0% | +10.9% |
| BABA | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -5.6% | -9.9% |
| BABA | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -5.6% | -9.9% |
| TSM | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | -1.4% | +6.0% |
| TSM | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | -1.4% | +6.0% |
| MSFT | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +3.8% | +14.4% |
| AMZN | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| AMZN | new_position | Third Point | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | THE LOUISE M CORTEZI FAMILY TRUST | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | +4.0% | +9.6% | +1.2% |
| QLYS | insider_sale_intent | SUMEDH SHRINAND THAKAR | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +0.3% | +15.9% |
| RBLX | insider_sale_intent | THE BASZUCKI FAMILY FOUNDATION | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -9.5% | -8.5% | +30.4% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | ALEXIS T LEQUOC | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +6.9% | +8.5% | +18.0% |
| ARRY | insider_sale_intent | Patel Nipul M. | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | +21.9% | -34.3% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | ADAM BLITZER | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | +6.9% | +8.5% | +18.0% |
| RBLX | insider_sale_intent | DAVID BRENT BASZUCKI | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -9.5% | -8.5% | +30.4% |
| MU | insider_sale_intent | MEHROTRA SANJAY | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | +8.2% | +14.9% |
| CP | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -0.5% | -11.5% |
| CP | new_position | Pershing Square | 2023-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-14 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -0.5% | -11.5% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.