Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
103,942 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,185 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMO | insider_sale_intent | Williamson Stephen | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 15:24 UTC | 0.6d | -0.1% | +0.6% | -12.9% |
| ADI | insider_sale_intent | ROCHE VINCENT | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 14:56 UTC | 0.6d | -3.0% | -5.6% | -11.1% |
| BYD | insider_sale_intent | Thompson Stephen S. | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 14:19 UTC | 0.6d | +0.1% | -1.4% | -11.6% |
| TOST | insider_sale_intent | Narang Aman | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 14:17 UTC | 0.6d | +14.7% | +8.7% | -14.8% |
| FDS | insider_sale_intent | Snow Frederick Philip | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 14:13 UTC | 0.6d | -1.8% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| SFNC | insider_sale_intent | Bass Dean O. | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 13:26 UTC | 0.6d | -1.3% | -9.6% | -20.3% |
| PERI | insider_sale_intent | Gerstel Doron | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 11:47 UTC | 0.5d | +1.7% | -5.1% | -20.6% |
| HUBB | insider_sale_intent | Bakker Gerben | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 11:39 UTC | 0.5d | -1.4% | +4.4% | -6.7% |
| INMD | insider_sale_intent | Kreindel Michael | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 10:54 UTC | 0.5d | -1.8% | -10.0% | -49.2% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Mann Roy | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 10:36 UTC | 0.4d | -7.2% | +6.8% | -15.0% |
| LRCX | insider_sale_intent | Corrreia Christina | 2023-08-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-08-01 10:33 UTC | 0.4d | +1.0% | +2.4% | -7.2% |
| RS | insider_sale_intent | Smith William A II | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 22:34 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| DMRA | insider_sale_intent | OrbiMed Private Investments VII, LP | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 22:31 UTC | 0.9d | -5.8% | -78.0% | -72.2% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | Peterson Douglas L. | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -0.1% | -4.5% |
| LSTR | insider_sale_intent | Beacom Joseph J | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | -3.5% | -9.2% |
| VRSN | insider_sale_intent | STRUBBE TODD B | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | +0.1% | +2.4% |
| GSHD | insider_sale_intent | Mark E. Jones | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:51 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +6.6% | +7.1% |
| TEL | insider_sale_intent | CURTIN TERRENCE R | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -6.5% | -10.0% |
| WAB | insider_sale_intent | David L. DeNinno | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:45 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -3.6% | -2.7% |
| GSHD | insider_sale_intent | Mark E. Jones | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +6.6% | +7.1% |
| R | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT FATOVIC | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +0.8% | +2.9% |
| ICLR | insider_sale_intent | STEPHEN CUTLER | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +4.1% | +7.8% | +4.2% |
| TSCO | insider_sale_intent | Cynthia T. Jamison-Marcy | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +1.1% | -5.7% |
| ON | insider_sale_intent | SIMON KEETON | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | -7.3% | -30.9% |
| MAT | insider_sale_intent | Thompson Amanda J | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | +5.3% | -3.1% |
| CRM | insider_sale_intent | AMY WEAVER | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| MTH | insider_sale_intent | Sferruzza Hilla | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:47 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -6.0% | -16.2% |
| SIG | insider_sale_intent | JAMIE L SINGLETON | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:41 UTC | 0.9d | +5.1% | -8.8% | -3.6% |
| LEGH | insider_sale_intent | Shipley Douglas M | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | -3.1% | -3.0% | -15.0% |
| PCAR | insider_sale_intent | Pigott John | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -2.8% | +5.7% |
| MBIN | insider_sale_intent | Rogers Randall D. | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | -8.2% | +2.6% |
| PKG | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT SCHNEIDER | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +1.3% | -1.2% | +8.6% |
| JEF | insider_sale_intent | JOSEPH STEINBERG | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | +1.0% | -2.1% |
| EA | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW WILSON TTEE WILSON FAMILY 2015 TRUST | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -8.2% | -10.1% | -2.1% |
| TCOM | insider_sale_intent | MIN FAN | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -0.2% | -4.2% |
| CDNS | insider_sale_intent | LIP-BU TAN | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| AN | insider_sale_intent | Lower Joseph T | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +0.7% | -10.6% |
| ABBV | insider_sale_intent | GONZALEZ RICHARD A | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| ABBV | insider_sale_intent | GONZALEZ RICHARD A | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Janzaruk Matthew W. | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 19:46 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | -0.2% | +4.8% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Purushothaman Balaji | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 19:44 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | -0.2% | +4.8% |
| TXN | insider_sale_intent | CARRIE S. COX | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | -4.8% | -3.9% | -11.9% |
| NUE | insider_sale_intent | Laxton Stephen D | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 19:02 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -0.4% | -5.0% |
| FELE | insider_sale_intent | SENGSTACK GREGG C | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 18:53 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +1.5% | -3.7% |
| STAG | insider_sale_intent | Benjamin S. Butcher | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 17:54 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +3.7% | +0.3% |
| GEHC | insider_sale_intent | Kevin O'Neill | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 17:45 UTC | 0.7d | -3.1% | -8.2% | -10.0% |
| CARR | insider_sale_intent | Jurgen Timperman | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 17:32 UTC | 0.7d | -2.3% | -3.2% | -11.8% |
| MBIN | insider_sale_intent | Rogers Mary H. | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 16:27 UTC | 0.7d | +1.8% | -8.2% | +2.6% |
| ROIV | insider_sale_intent | Venker Eric | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 16:25 UTC | 0.7d | -2.8% | -1.7% | -20.5% |
| WAB | insider_sale_intent | NEUPAVER ALBERT J | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | -2.0% | -3.6% | -2.7% |
| FLEX | insider_sale_intent | Advaithi Revathi | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | Matthew T Farrell | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 14:55 UTC | 0.6d | +0.8% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
| WAB | insider_sale_intent | KASSLING WILLIAM E | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 14:51 UTC | 0.6d | -2.0% | -3.6% | -2.7% |
| ISRG | insider_sale_intent | GUTHART GARY S | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 14:47 UTC | 0.6d | -4.8% | -0.5% | -11.6% |
| TMO | insider_sale_intent | Williamson Stephen | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 14:37 UTC | 0.6d | +3.5% | +3.6% | -11.8% |
| HWC | insider_sale_intent | HAIRSTON JOHN M | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 13:28 UTC | 0.6d | +3.9% | -2.9% | -11.9% |
| MEDP | insider_sale_intent | Brady Kevin M. | 2023-07-31 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-31 11:34 UTC | 0.5d | +4.6% | +7.2% | +3.2% |
| CME | insider_sale_intent | Sunil Cutinho | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 23:47 UTC | 1.0d | +6.3% | +3.8% | +15.6% |
| PCAR | insider_sale_intent | Pigott John | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 22:44 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -1.6% | +7.0% |
| CME | insider_sale_intent | Tully Sean | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 22:05 UTC | 0.9d | +6.3% | +3.8% | +15.6% |
| ENVA | insider_sale_intent | Cunningham Steven E | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | -4.7% | -17.7% |
| PII | insider_sale_intent | Eastman Stephen L. | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -14.0% | -26.9% |
| ROIV | insider_sale_intent | Ramaswamy Vivek | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -4.2% | -20.1% |
| APH | insider_sale_intent | LUC WALTER | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:58 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
| LIND | insider_sale_intent | Sven-Olof Lindblad | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:58 UTC | 0.9d | -11.0% | -19.0% | -41.0% |
| DHR | insider_sale_intent | Raskas Daniel | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:54 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +5.4% | -6.5% |
| ISRG | insider_sale_intent | GARY S GUTHART | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:51 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -2.4% | -10.2% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | Martin Hoffman | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -18.9% | -21.9% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | Marc Maurer | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -18.9% | -21.9% |
| APH | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD ADAM NORWITT | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
| MTB | insider_sale_intent | BARNES JOHN P | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | -6.5% | -11.3% |
| APH | insider_sale_intent | CRAIG LAMPO | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Francisco Ma. Fatima | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Jejurikar Shailesh | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| PCAR | insider_sale_intent | BARKLEY MICHAEL T | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | -1.6% | +7.0% |
| MCD | insider_sale_intent | OZAN KEVIN M | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +0.9% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| APH | insider_sale_intent | LANCE E DAMICO | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | THE LOUISE M CORTEZI FAMILY TRUST | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +3.8% | +13.6% | +14.3% |
| SAM | insider_sale_intent | JOHN C. GEIST | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| KNX | insider_sale_intent | KNIGHT KEVIN P | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 19:54 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | -7.2% | -10.9% |
| FTV | insider_sale_intent | McLaughlin Charles E | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 19:38 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +2.2% | -7.0% |
| EXP | insider_sale_intent | STEWART ROBERT S | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | +5.1% | +2.9% | -9.8% |
| DHR | insider_sale_intent | FILLER LINDA | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 19:25 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +5.4% | -6.5% |
| JOE | insider_sale_intent | FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 16:52 UTC | 0.7d | -0.6% | -0.5% | -17.2% |
| LII | insider_sale_intent | Young Douglas L | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 16:26 UTC | 0.7d | +4.2% | +3.0% | +7.9% |
| MHO | insider_sale_intent | CREEK PHILLIP G | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 16:13 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | -2.9% | -8.7% |
| WHR | insider_sale_intent | Bitzer Marc R | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 16:05 UTC | 0.7d | +0.6% | -1.2% | -18.3% |
| FTV | insider_sale_intent | Murphy Patrick K | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 15:33 UTC | 0.7d | +1.7% | +2.2% | -7.0% |
| MAS | insider_sale_intent | Straber Renee | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 15:05 UTC | 0.6d | +0.6% | -1.5% | -5.5% |
| MHO | insider_sale_intent | SCHOTTENSTEIN ROBERT H | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 14:40 UTC | 0.6d | +1.2% | -2.9% | -8.7% |
| PTC | insider_sale_intent | Moret Blake D. | 2023-07-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-28 12:28 UTC | 0.5d | -0.5% | +2.4% | +3.3% |
| LAD | insider_sale_intent | DEBOER BRYAN B | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 22:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +2.3% | -11.2% |
| MSCI | insider_sale_intent | Crum Scott A | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 22:11 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | +0.1% | -2.9% |
| LAD | insider_sale_intent | Holzshu Chris | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +2.3% | -11.2% |
| CME | insider_sale_intent | Cutinho Sunil | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | +5.0% | +5.1% | +18.0% |
| LAD | insider_sale_intent | DEBOER SIDNEY B | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +2.3% | -11.2% |
| PII | insider_sale_intent | Williams James P | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -13.4% | -27.0% |
| PII | insider_sale_intent | Dougherty Michael D. | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -13.4% | -27.0% |
| PII | insider_sale_intent | Speetzen Michael T | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -13.4% | -27.0% |
| PII | insider_sale_intent | Clark Dougherty Lucy | 2023-07-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-07-27 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -13.4% | -27.0% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.