Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
103,965 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,185 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | CHI-FUNG CHENG & YUHUA HUANG | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | -4.3% | -6.0% | -8.8% |
| FIVN | insider_sale_intent | Burkland Michael | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 19:47 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +3.4% | -18.8% |
| DELL | insider_sale_intent | ELIAS HOWARD D | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 18:02 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | -3.7% | +31.4% |
| VERX | insider_sale_intent | Westphal Jeffery | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 17:06 UTC | 0.7d | -3.3% | +4.3% | +21.7% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Scarpelli Michael | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 17:00 UTC | 0.7d | -2.8% | -2.6% | -10.0% |
| MCK | insider_sale_intent | TYLER BRIAN S. | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 16:54 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | -8.2% | +5.1% |
| VRT | insider_sale_intent | O' Doherty Philip | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 16:29 UTC | 0.7d | +3.3% | +4.1% | +53.4% |
| PGR | insider_sale_intent | Sauerland John P | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 15:43 UTC | 0.7d | -0.1% | -6.7% | +8.5% |
| BAOS | insider_sale_intent | Deng Guan Investment Limited | 2023-06-29 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 15:40 UTC | 0.7d | +0.4% | -1.3% | -34.4% |
| MKSI | insider_sale_intent | Gamma Holding Company Limited | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 01:51 UTC | 1.1d | -1.3% | -3.4% | -16.5% |
| MKSI | insider_sale_intent | Carlyle Partners VI Cayman Holdings, L.P. | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 01:50 UTC | 1.1d | -1.3% | -3.4% | -16.5% |
| MKSI | insider_sale_intent | CEP IV Participations S.a r.l., SICAR | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-29 01:48 UTC | 1.1d | -1.3% | -3.4% | -16.5% |
| KMX | insider_sale_intent | Shamim Mohammad | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:51 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -6.5% | -16.3% |
| KMX | insider_sale_intent | Daniels Jon G | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -6.5% | -16.3% |
| BNTX | insider_sale_intent | ATHOS KG | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -2.7% | -2.8% |
| CSGP | insider_sale_intent | SCOTT WHEELER | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -11.3% | -12.9% |
| TOL | insider_sale_intent | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -1.6% | -2.9% |
| CMC | insider_sale_intent | Smith Barbara | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +5.1% | -2.9% |
| IRON | insider_sale_intent | Novo Holdings A/S | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | +2.1% | +2.7% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Sciarra Paul Cahill | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:55 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +0.4% | -2.3% |
| FDX | insider_sale_intent | CARTER ROBERT B | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +3.5% | +8.9% |
| XPEL | insider_sale_intent | Adams Mark | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -8.8% | -6.3% |
| GKOS | insider_sale_intent | Burns Thomas William | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -2.3% | +4.5% | +9.4% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | CHINA WALDEN VENTURE INV. II, LP | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -6.7% | -7.8% | -12.6% |
| UBER | insider_sale_intent | DARA KHOSROWSHAHI | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +11.7% | +10.2% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID OBSTLER | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +16.5% | -5.9% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | NOUBAR B AFEYAN | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -8.1% | -16.1% |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | THE LOUISE M CORTEZI FAMILY TRUST | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | -6.3% | +12.8% |
| NAVI | insider_sale_intent | REMONDI JOHN F | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -5.2% |
| LLY | insider_sale_intent | LILLY ENDOWMENT INC | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 19:23 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -6.6% | +19.3% |
| LEGH | insider_sale_intent | Hodgson Curtis Drew | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 18:24 UTC | 0.8d | -4.0% | -4.0% | -14.1% |
| AVXL | insider_sale_intent | MISSLING CHRISTOPHER U | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 16:11 UTC | 0.7d | +3.1% | -0.2% | -13.2% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | Bancel Stephane | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 15:04 UTC | 0.6d | -2.8% | -8.1% | -16.1% |
| WMT | insider_sale_intent | Furner John R. | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 14:59 UTC | 0.6d | -0.6% | -0.9% | +7.6% |
| CHWY | insider_sale_intent | Marte Mario Jesus | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | -5.2% | -16.8% | -50.9% |
| SE | insider_sale_intent | Bright Magic Investments Ltd | 2023-06-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-28 11:08 UTC | 0.5d | -3.4% | +12.5% | -22.4% |
| NXST | insider_sale_intent | Blake Russell | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 23:02 UTC | 1.0d | +0.2% | +5.2% | -13.1% |
| STX | insider_sale_intent | Naik Ravi | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 22:26 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -1.7% | +7.5% |
| HSY | insider_sale_intent | HERSHEY TRUST CO TRUSTEE IN TRUST FOR MILTON HERSHEY SCHOOL | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 22:20 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -10.3% | -16.4% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Sciarra Paul Cahill | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -3.6% | -5.3% |
| CPRT | insider_sale_intent | JOHNSON WILLIS J | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -5.9% | -2.0% |
| TTD | insider_sale_intent | GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREY | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | +10.9% | -1.6% |
| IOT | insider_sale_intent | Bicket John | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:39 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.2% | -5.8% |
| IOT | insider_sale_intent | Biswas Sanjit | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.2% | -5.8% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Morgenfeld Todd R | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -3.6% | -5.3% |
| AI | insider_sale_intent | ABBO EDWARD Y | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +9.5% | +7.4% | -29.1% |
| ATEC | insider_sale_intent | Hunsaker Craig E | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -7.7% | -26.0% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Sciarra Paul Cahill | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -3.6% | -5.3% |
| BBY | insider_sale_intent | SCHULZE RICHARD M | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -4.0% | -13.8% |
| BBY | insider_sale_intent | SCHULZE RICHARD M | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:54 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -4.0% | -13.8% |
| TSLA | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW BAGLINO | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +7.2% | -0.7% | -4.1% |
| WMT | insider_sale_intent | The Walton Family Foundation, Inc. | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -1.8% | +6.5% |
| BEKE | insider_sale_intent | PROPITIOUS GLOBAL HOLDINGS LIMITED | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -6.1% | +15.3% | +6.8% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | Adam Thorngate-Gottlund | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -9.4% | -8.7% | -12.2% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | William Joseph Brennan | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -9.4% | -8.7% | -12.2% |
| AOS | insider_sale_intent | WULF GENE C | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -4.2% | -6.5% |
| IPGP | insider_sale_intent | Valentin Gapontsev Trust II | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | -7.4% | -24.1% |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | THE LOUISE M CORTEZI FAMILY TRUST | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | -5.3% | +13.3% |
| CMC | insider_sale_intent | Smith Barbara | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 19:55 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | +3.6% | -1.7% |
| EMR | insider_sale_intent | Flavin Lisa | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 18:57 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.9% | +11.0% |
| CSGP | insider_sale_intent | SIMURO FRANK | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 18:10 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -13.3% | -12.5% |
| TOST | insider_sale_intent | Comparato Christopher P | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 17:39 UTC | 0.7d | -0.3% | -7.9% | -14.3% |
| VRT | insider_sale_intent | O' Doherty Philip | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 17:24 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | +6.4% | +57.0% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Gebbia Joseph | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 17:23 UTC | 0.7d | -0.3% | +15.4% | +7.0% |
| DRI | insider_sale_intent | LEE EUGENE I JR | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 16:31 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -0.5% | -10.0% |
| MAS | insider_sale_intent | Sznewajs John G | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 16:26 UTC | 0.7d | -3.5% | +3.1% | -3.8% |
| ASO | insider_sale_intent | Maini Manish | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 15:52 UTC | 0.7d | +0.6% | +6.4% | -9.9% |
| SIG | insider_sale_intent | Edelman Oded | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 13:09 UTC | 0.6d | +2.3% | +20.8% | +12.4% |
| CHKP | insider_sale_intent | Dor Dorit | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 11:12 UTC | 0.5d | -1.8% | -1.5% | +6.8% |
| SE | insider_sale_intent | Velmar Co Ltd | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 10:22 UTC | 0.4d | -4.0% | +6.9% | -24.3% |
| JD | insider_sale_intent | Fortune Rising Holdings Ltd | 2023-06-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 10:04 UTC | 0.4d | -2.8% | +11.8% | -14.8% |
| MDGL | insider_sale_intent | Keith R. Gollust | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-27 00:04 UTC | 1.0d | -1.3% | -12.0% | -29.6% |
| MDGL | insider_sale_intent | Wyandanch Partners LP | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 23:58 UTC | 1.0d | +6.8% | -5.7% | -24.9% |
| HQY | insider_sale_intent | Jon Kessler | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +0.3% | +23.5% |
| DV | insider_sale_intent | Nicola Allais | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 21:27 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | +2.7% | -25.4% |
| ZTO | insider_sale_intent | ZTO WJL HOLDING LIMITED | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | -0.8% | -4.3% |
| XP | insider_sale_intent | ITB Holding Ltd. | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | +13.8% | +5.6% |
| NAVI | insider_sale_intent | REMONDI JOHN F | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -2.1% | -6.1% |
| STX | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY D NYGAARD | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -3.7% | +5.2% |
| UBER | insider_sale_intent | DARA KHOSROWSHAHI | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | +2.6% | +3.0% |
| WMT | insider_sale_intent | John D Rainey | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -0.7% | +7.6% |
| DRI | insider_sale_intent | EUGENE LEE | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +1.3% | -10.8% |
| DRI | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS J MILANES | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +1.3% | -10.8% |
| GFS | insider_sale_intent | Caulfield Thomas | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 17:40 UTC | 0.7d | -0.8% | -5.9% | -8.5% |
| VRT | insider_sale_intent | O' Doherty Philip | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 17:09 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | +2.6% | +51.3% |
| MAS | insider_sale_intent | Sznewajs John G | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 16:30 UTC | 0.7d | -3.1% | +5.0% | -5.2% |
| OSG | insider_sale_intent | Herzog David L | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 15:59 UTC | 0.7d | +2.1% | -3.0% | +8.0% |
| DBI | insider_sale_intent | Rawlins Roger | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 15:50 UTC | 0.7d | +0.8% | -2.2% | +23.1% |
| BZ | insider_sale_intent | Techwolf Limited | 2023-06-26 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-26 11:27 UTC | 0.5d | -3.0% | +10.1% | -2.4% |
| SOUN | insider_sale_intent | JAMES M HOM | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 20:48 UTC | 0.9d | +9.0% | -45.1% | -57.3% |
| ORCL | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL J BOSKIN | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -6.3% | -7.5% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | CHINA WALDEN VENTURE INV. II, LP | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 20:36 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | -8.0% | -13.7% |
| HSY | insider_sale_intent | HERSHEY TRUST CO TRUSTEE IN TRUST FOR MILTON HERSHEY SCHOOL | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -5.9% | -12.9% | -20.7% |
| FCFS | insider_sale_intent | AFF SERVICES, INC | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | +0.5% | +7.1% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Fang Andy | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 19:49 UTC | 0.8d | +4.1% | +11.4% | +2.0% |
| TYRA | insider_sale_intent | Bensen Daniel | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 19:42 UTC | 0.8d | -8.4% | -17.5% | -15.4% |
| ADBE | insider_sale_intent | Rao Dana | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 19:10 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | +1.7% | +6.2% |
| ADBE | insider_sale_intent | WARNOCK JOHN E | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 19:02 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | +1.7% | +6.2% |
| AI | insider_sale_intent | Behzadi Houman | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 18:52 UTC | 0.8d | +14.4% | +23.4% | -24.3% |
| MCD | insider_sale_intent | Erlinger Joseph M. | 2023-06-23 00:00 UTC | 2023-06-23 18:32 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | -4.7% | -6.7% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.