Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
106,519 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,296 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TYL | insider_sale_intent | MARR JOHN S JR | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 19:11 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -6.6% | -10.9% |
| FSLR | insider_sale_intent | POST WILLIAM J | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 18:54 UTC | 0.8d | -4.3% | -16.1% | -18.0% |
| UFPI | insider_sale_intent | MISSAD MATTHEW J | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 18:37 UTC | 0.8d | -3.2% | +0.5% | +12.5% |
| TSCO | insider_sale_intent | Mills Robert D | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 17:01 UTC | 0.7d | -1.9% | -8.4% | -7.6% |
| TKR | insider_sale_intent | Kyle Richard G | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 16:51 UTC | 0.7d | -2.4% | +6.8% | -4.5% |
| SMPL | insider_sale_intent | Ratzan Brian K. | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 15:55 UTC | 0.7d | -3.4% | -9.7% | -13.8% |
| TSCO | insider_sale_intent | Barton Kurt D | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 15:55 UTC | 0.7d | -1.9% | -8.4% | -7.6% |
| MCK | insider_sale_intent | TYLER BRIAN S. | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 15:10 UTC | 0.6d | -0.1% | -4.8% | -1.3% |
| LMAT | insider_sale_intent | LeMaitre George W | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 14:48 UTC | 0.6d | -4.8% | -1.4% | -18.8% |
| HUBS | insider_sale_intent | Halligan Brian | 2023-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-16 14:18 UTC | 0.6d | +2.0% | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | Peterson Douglas L. | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 23:31 UTC | 1.0d | +0.1% | +3.9% | +0.6% |
| LEN | insider_sale_intent | Jeffrey J. McCall | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 22:56 UTC | 1.0d | -6.9% | -2.7% | +0.5% |
| CXT | insider_sale_intent | Alcala Alejandro | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 22:43 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +1.6% | +11.1% |
| CXT | insider_sale_intent | MITCHELL MAX H | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 22:37 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +1.6% | +11.1% |
| CR | insider_sale_intent | MITCHELL MAX H | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 22:21 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -2.1% | +8.8% |
| SHLS | insider_sale_intent | Dean Solon | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +1.3% | -21.5% |
| MSI | insider_sale_intent | BROWN GREGORY Q | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -10.7% | -10.6% |
| CLBT | insider_sale_intent | Tirosh Osnat | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:39 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +10.1% | +35.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Mary E. Erdoes | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -1.4% | +5.0% |
| STE | insider_sale_intent | Breeden Richard C | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -3.9% | -5.0% | +2.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Ashley Bacon | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -1.4% | +5.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Lori Beer | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -1.4% | +5.0% |
| GSHD | insider_sale_intent | Serena Jones | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| CLH | insider_sale_intent | Alan S McKim | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +3.1% | +15.3% |
| SNX | insider_sale_intent | Richard T. Hume | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:58 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +1.5% | +3.3% |
| CTLTEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| J | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -5.3% | +12.1% |
| DENUSD | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TECK/B | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VST | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -3.9% | +16.9% |
| MU | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +0.1% | -6.6% |
| WCC | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | +24.1% | +11.1% |
| AMD | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +5.6% | +14.5% | -1.9% |
| BABA | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -4.0% | -7.2% |
| CRM | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| CRM | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| HCA | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -3.9% | -10.4% |
| HCA | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -3.9% | -10.4% |
| DWDPEUR | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| DWDPEUR | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GOOGL | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| GOOGL | new_position | Third Point | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| CMRC | insider_sale_intent | GGV CAPITAL V L.P. | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | +7.9% | +25.3% | +40.9% |
| GEHC | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:41 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | -6.2% | -16.6% |
| GEHC | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:41 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | -6.2% | -16.6% |
| MA | insider_sale_intent | Mastercard Foundation | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -8.2% | -3.7% |
| BRKR | insider_sale_intent | LAUKIEN FRANK H | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -5.3% | -18.1% |
| AMLX | insider_sale_intent | PATRICK YERAMIAN | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -16.8% | -33.9% |
| DOCN | insider_sale_intent | CARLY BRANTZ | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +6.2% | +34.0% | -4.1% |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | NICHOLAS D CORTEZI TRUST | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -6.5% | -11.0% | -4.5% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID IAN GOULDEN | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -1.3% | -6.9% | +13.2% |
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | Farquhar Trust | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +13.6% | +23.0% | +26.7% |
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | Cannon-Brookes Head Trust | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +13.6% | +23.0% | +26.7% |
| RSVR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | +2.2% | -7.3% | -23.3% |
| HST | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | -7.0% | -12.2% |
| BILL 0 04/01/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| H | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -3.9% | -7.3% | -5.1% |
| PANW 0.375 06/01/25 | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VNQ | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| NDQ | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NDQ | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | SAVILLE PAUL C | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -5.6% | -6.9% | -3.1% |
| GOOGL | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| GOOGL | new_position | Pershing Square | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| GOOG | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | -3.1% | -0.1% |
| GOOG | new_position | Pershing Square | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | -3.1% | -0.1% |
| FLYW | insider_sale_intent | Orgel Rob | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +3.5% | +0.6% | -2.3% |
| ILMN | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -3.9% | -23.6% |
| LNG | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | -4.9% | +4.8% |
| SWX | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +3.2% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| INGR | insider_sale_intent | JORGEN KOKKE | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -10.4% | -17.7% |
| CPNG | insider_sale_intent | Hanseung Kang | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | -0.8% | +9.2% |
| VTS | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | +15.1% | +21.3% | +15.4% |
| DGED | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| COF | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | +11.4% | +14.9% | +8.4% |
| MTCH | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +9.2% | +29.7% | +34.8% |
| ARKK | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +4.6% | +10.5% | +2.1% |
| TSLA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +10.6% | +45.8% | +27.9% |
| NVDA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +4.1% | +38.1% | +41.3% |
| XLF | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | -2.3% | +0.1% |
| FDX | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -0.4% | +12.9% |
| FDX | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -0.4% | +12.9% |
| META | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +10.1% | +15.7% |
| UBER | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.3% | +7.9% | +9.0% |
| UBER | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.3% | +7.9% | +9.0% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +4.2% | +11.6% |
| LEGH | insider_sale_intent | Hodgson Curtis Drew | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 19:25 UTC | 0.8d | -3.4% | -7.2% | -9.2% |
| ENTG | insider_sale_intent | Shaner William James | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 18:58 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +11.8% | -4.4% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | Steven I Sarowitz | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 18:57 UTC | 0.8d | +3.2% | +5.0% | +8.7% |
| ATEC | insider_sale_intent | Hunsaker Craig E | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 17:51 UTC | 0.7d | -2.4% | -1.7% | -12.8% |
| AER | insider_sale_intent | Aengus Kelly | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 17:08 UTC | 0.7d | +2.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| AVT | insider_sale_intent | GALLAGHER PHILIP R | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 16:22 UTC | 0.7d | +2.9% | +10.8% | +2.5% |
| PHM | insider_sale_intent | Chadwick John J. | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 16:09 UTC | 0.7d | -6.2% | -1.3% | +11.7% |
| BNTX | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | +9.2% | -0.9% | -5.3% |
| BABA | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | -7.6% | -4.0% | -7.2% |
| ANETEUR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FXI | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | -5.3% | -6.1% | -14.3% |
| TOST | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | +8.6% | +15.1% | +16.9% |
| WRBY | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | -0.3% | -5.2% | -0.3% |
| HUBS | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2023-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | +1.7% | -0.1% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.