Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
106,567 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,300 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL | insider_sale_intent | Crawford Frederick John | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 17:16 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | -5.4% | +4.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY A LAURO | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 17:02 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS G MCFALL | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 16:14 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | LINDSAY FRENCH, DAVID O'REILLY TTEE U/A/D 08-21-2003 AS AMEND LINDSAY O'REILLY FRENCH SETTLR | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | PHILIP HOPPER | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 16:11 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | DAVID E O'REILLY TTEE DAVID E O'REILLY TRUST U/A DTD 2/26/88 | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 16:08 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| GGG | insider_sale_intent | MITAU LEE R | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 15:03 UTC | 0.6d | -1.9% | -3.5% | -10.5% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL READ | 2023-05-02 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 14:58 UTC | 0.6d | -2.4% | -8.3% | -12.5% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | MJH Partners II LLC | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 00:38 UTC | 1.0d | +3.3% | +10.3% | +31.6% |
| PCOR | insider_sale_intent | CRAIG COURTEMANCHE | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 00:10 UTC | 1.0d | +7.4% | +13.9% | +15.9% |
| G | insider_sale_intent | NALLICHERI TYAGARAJAN | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-02 00:02 UTC | 1.0d | -8.9% | -16.1% | -24.3% |
| GSHD | insider_sale_intent | Desiree Coleman | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 23:24 UTC | 1.0d | +2.2% | -6.2% | +0.7% |
| AN | insider_sale_intent | LAMPERT EDWARD S | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 23:06 UTC | 1.0d | +0.2% | -5.1% | +7.6% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | BRIAN NICCOL | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:50 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -1.3% | -15.7% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | HENRY BOATWRIGHT | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:34 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -1.3% | -15.7% |
| ANET | insider_sale_intent | Charles Giancarlo | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:20 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +20.8% | +21.4% |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | SAVILLE PAUL C | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -8.0% | -2.9% |
| XPOF | insider_sale_intent | Geisler Anthony | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:07 UTC | 0.9d | -12.5% | -22.4% | -45.5% |
| MTH | insider_sale_intent | Michael R. Odell | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | 0.0% | -9.2% | +7.4% |
| V | insider_sale_intent | MAHON TULLIER KELLY | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | CHRISTOPHER BRANDT | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -1.3% | -15.7% |
| UTZ | insider_sale_intent | Roger K. Deromedi | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -16.6% | -21.9% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | LAURIE SCHALOW | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:57 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -1.3% | -15.7% |
| MSFT | insider_sale_intent | Althoff Judson | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:54 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | +6.5% | -2.5% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | HASTINGS REED | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:47 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +24.3% | +25.4% |
| GATX | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT LYONS | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | +5.9% | +1.6% |
| TEL | insider_sale_intent | MITTS HEATH A | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:36 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -2.3% | +5.8% |
| MU | insider_sale_intent | SUMIT SADANA | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +8.9% | +0.4% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD ROBERT DELUCA | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -8.6% | -19.7% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | HASTINGS REED | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | +4.6% | +24.3% | +25.4% |
| LIN | insider_sale_intent | ANGEL STEPHEN F | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | -6.3% | -5.9% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | BARRY BRUNO | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | -6.8% | -9.9% |
| BRKR | insider_sale_intent | LAUKIEN FRANK H | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -12.0% | -19.3% |
| PCAR | insider_sale_intent | SCHIPPERS HARRIE | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | -5.7% | +9.3% |
| ACGL | insider_sale_intent | Rajeh Maamoun | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -11.0% | -8.2% |
| XEL | insider_sale_intent | Carter Brett C | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -0.0% | -10.7% | -18.2% |
| MANH | insider_sale_intent | JAMES S GANTT | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +6.8% | +2.2% |
| V | insider_sale_intent | KELLY ALFRED F JR | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| IMAX | insider_sale_intent | Richard Gelfond | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 19:39 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -16.0% | -18.3% |
| CMG | insider_sale_intent | Baldocchi Albert S | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 19:38 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | -1.3% | -15.7% |
| KMB | insider_sale_intent | Hsu Michael D. | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 19:32 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | -10.9% | -20.4% |
| GGG | insider_sale_intent | Merengo Claudio | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 19:06 UTC | 0.8d | -2.5% | -6.0% | -11.4% |
| IRDM | insider_sale_intent | NIEHAUS ROBERT H | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.4% | -8.3% | -31.1% |
| MU | insider_sale_intent | Sadana Sumit | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 18:06 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | +8.9% | +0.4% |
| VKTX | insider_sale_intent | Lian Brian | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 17:48 UTC | 0.7d | +6.9% | +1.9% | -43.7% |
| PTC | insider_sale_intent | Moret Blake D. | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 17:32 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | +5.1% | +4.8% |
| NOW | insider_sale_intent | ELMER RUSSELL S | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 16:51 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | +19.7% | +17.0% |
| LIN | insider_sale_intent | Bichara Guillermo | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 16:34 UTC | 0.7d | -1.5% | -6.3% | -5.9% |
| ATO | insider_sale_intent | COCKLIN KIM R | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +5.5% | -2.2% | -1.1% |
| TMDX | insider_sale_intent | Waleed Hassanein | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +2.2% | -4.8% | +9.3% |
| GGG | insider_sale_intent | GILLIGAN J KEVIN | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 14:48 UTC | 0.6d | -2.5% | -6.0% | -11.4% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD DIERKER | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 14:33 UTC | 0.6d | -1.1% | -6.8% | -9.9% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW FARRELL | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 14:33 UTC | 0.6d | -1.1% | -6.8% | -9.9% |
| PEN | insider_sale_intent | Arani Bose | 2023-05-01 00:00 UTC | 2023-05-01 14:32 UTC | 0.6d | +11.9% | +9.0% | -14.2% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | MJH Partners II LLC | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-29 01:01 UTC | 1.0d | -2.3% | +5.1% | +19.2% |
| XPOF | insider_sale_intent | Geisler Anthony | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 23:39 UTC | 1.0d | -11.3% | -20.0% | -45.5% |
| XEL | insider_sale_intent | O'Connor Timothy John | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 23:34 UTC | 1.0d | -0.5% | -7.5% | -20.0% |
| CSGP | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW FLORANCE | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | +3.8% | -1.1% |
| PHM | insider_sale_intent | ANDERSON BRIAN P | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:58 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | -0.1% | +18.6% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | Marc Maurer | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:56 UTC | 0.9d | +6.7% | -15.9% | +0.7% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | Martin Hoffman | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:56 UTC | 0.9d | +6.7% | -15.9% | +0.7% |
| PHM | insider_sale_intent | OShaughnessy Robert | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:54 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | -0.1% | +18.6% |
| MHO | insider_sale_intent | SCHOTTENSTEIN ROBERT H | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | +4.8% | +38.0% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD ROBERT DELUCA | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | -5.7% | -19.2% |
| GRSD | insider_sale_intent | Kevin McCrystle | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT M. DAVIS | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | -5.7% | -19.2% |
| LLY | insider_sale_intent | LILLY ENDOWMENT INC | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +7.3% | +5.5% | +1.7% |
| EVTC | insider_sale_intent | Morgan M. Schuessler | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | +2.1% | -0.7% | +4.0% |
| PHM | insider_sale_intent | OShaughnessy Robert | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +3.7% | -0.1% | +18.6% |
| GRSD | insider_sale_intent | Edison Partners Management LLC | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| V | insider_sale_intent | PRABHU VASANT M | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | -5.3% | -6.9% |
| MTH | insider_sale_intent | Michael R. Odell | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -8.9% | +8.6% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | Patrick deMaynadier | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | -4.7% | -10.3% |
| ISRG | insider_sale_intent | MARK RUBASH | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +1.0% | -3.4% |
| EW | insider_sale_intent | SELLERS ROBERT W.A. | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | -4.3% | -16.6% |
| PG | insider_sale_intent | Jejurikar Shailesh | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 19:40 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -9.6% | -9.8% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | Steenbergen Ewout L | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 19:38 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +1.0% | -0.2% |
| VTR | insider_sale_intent | Cobb John D. | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 18:54 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -10.1% | -7.4% |
| USFD | insider_sale_intent | Kvasnicka Jay | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 16:49 UTC | 0.7d | +1.5% | +3.6% | +2.5% |
| REXR | insider_sale_intent | Schwimmer Howard | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 16:20 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | -2.4% | -11.3% |
| HCA | insider_sale_intent | Cuffe Michael S. | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 16:00 UTC | 0.7d | -1.5% | -7.5% | -13.6% |
| CHD | insider_sale_intent | Bradley Irwin | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 15:20 UTC | 0.6d | +0.6% | -4.7% | -10.3% |
| TMHC | insider_sale_intent | William H Lyon | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 15:09 UTC | 0.6d | +2.9% | -0.4% | +6.3% |
| CNMD | insider_sale_intent | Pelletier Johonna Marie | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 13:22 UTC | 0.6d | -1.8% | -4.2% | -16.2% |
| CNMD | insider_sale_intent | Berge Terence M | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 12:44 UTC | 0.5d | -1.8% | -4.2% | -16.2% |
| CNMD | insider_sale_intent | Jonas Daniel S | 2023-04-28 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 10:14 UTC | 0.4d | -1.8% | -4.2% | -16.2% |
| APO | insider_sale_intent | MJH Partners II LLC | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-28 01:00 UTC | 1.0d | -2.3% | +5.1% | +19.2% |
| STX | insider_sale_intent | Naik Ravi | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | +2.8% | -1.2% |
| V | insider_sale_intent | PRABHU VASANT M | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -5.6% | -8.1% |
| TSLA | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW BAGLINO | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +4.3% | +21.4% | +52.3% |
| NVR | insider_sale_intent | Malzahn Daniel David | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -4.8% | -2.5% |
| PHM | insider_sale_intent | Ryan Marshall | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -1.7% | +15.5% |
| ZM | insider_sale_intent | Tomb Gregory | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +5.9% | +8.9% |
| KMB | insider_sale_intent | Robert W. Decherd | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -8.8% | -20.6% |
| MANH | insider_sale_intent | STORY DENNIS B | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +7.1% | +4.6% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | Kewalramani Reshma | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | +3.0% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
| PINS | insider_sale_intent | Sharp Evan | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -7.9% | +5.1% | +15.6% |
| EME | insider_sale_intent | POMPA MARK A | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 19:34 UTC | 0.8d | -1.0% | -1.0% | +15.4% |
| UNH | insider_sale_intent | WITTY ANDREW | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 19:01 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | -3.5% | -7.2% |
| KO | insider_sale_intent | Quincey James | 2023-04-27 00:00 UTC | 2023-04-27 18:39 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | -7.8% | -13.2% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.