Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
106,567 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,300 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYCR | insider_buy | MILLER SCOTT DAVID (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | -4.1% | -18.3% |
| MA | insider_sale_intent | Mastercard Foundation | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +0.0% | +4.2% |
| BOTJ | insider_buy | DOYLE JULIE P (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | -6.9% | -29.7% |
| SHBI | insider_buy | Adkins Vance W. (EVP - CFO/Treasurer) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | -12.9% | -33.4% |
| 4DH | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BHC | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +12.9% | -9.9% | -17.5% |
| ASPS | insider_buy | Esterman Michelle D. (Chief Financial Officer) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -12.1% | -22.4% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | WEISS MICHAEL S (See Remarks) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| ASPS | insider_buy | RITTS GREGORY J. (Chief Legal/Compliance Officer) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -12.1% | -22.4% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | Rowinsky Eric K (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| CSPI | insider_buy | NERGES JOSEPH R (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +4.5% | -9.2% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | ROSENWALD LINDSAY A MD (President, CEO & Chairman) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| ASPS | insider_buy | ALDRIDGE JOHN G JR (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -12.1% | -22.4% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | Lu Lucy (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| ASPS | insider_buy | Shepro William B (Chairman and CEO) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | -12.1% | -22.4% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | LOBELL J JAY (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| NWSA | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -10.9% | -2.3% |
| NWS | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | -10.9% | -2.7% |
| AYX 1 08/01/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TDOC 1.25 06/01/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| QTWO 0.75 06/01/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FNV | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | +12.6% | +14.0% |
| QTWO 0.125 11/15/25 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BL 0 03/15/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| OKTA 0.375 06/15/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RNG 0 03/15/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| U 0 11/15/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +6.5% | +7.2% | +1.8% |
| RPD 0.25 03/15/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CFLT 0 01/15/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SMH | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | +4.4% | +1.7% |
| LBRDK | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -10.2% | -19.0% |
| EQIX | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| XLF | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -10.3% | -11.8% |
| PANW 0.375 06/01/25 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| JNK | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | +3.9% | -0.1% |
| HYG | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +4.0% | -0.3% |
| HYG | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +4.0% | -0.3% |
| XLI | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -1.1% | -4.3% |
| XLI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -1.1% | -4.3% |
| PINS | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | +9.3% | -14.2% |
| FBIO | insider_buy | Jin David (Chief Financial Officer) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -7.3% | -0.3% | -9.3% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -8.3% | -29.6% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -8.3% | -29.6% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -8.3% | -29.6% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -8.3% | -29.6% |
| CZR | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -14.4% | -20.1% |
| EXE | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | -6.5% | -3.6% |
| DIS | new_position | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -9.3% | -15.8% |
| UBER | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -6.8% | +3.8% |
| CRM | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | +13.5% | +21.7% |
| HCA | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | +2.4% | +5.9% |
| HCA | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | +2.4% | +5.9% |
| JBLU 0.5 04/01/26 | new_position | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FIS | new_position | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -17.3% | -17.0% |
| DWDPEUR | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TJX | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| TJX | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| IFF | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -9.1% | -14.9% |
| IFF | new_position | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -9.1% | -14.9% |
| MSFT | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | +9.2% | +16.1% |
| MSFT | new_position | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | +9.2% | +16.1% |
| AIG | now_top10 | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -17.7% | -13.2% |
| AIG | new_position | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -17.7% | -13.2% |
| BBWI | position_increase | Third Point | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | -14.6% | -21.6% |
| LPX | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -9.4% | -13.0% | -6.3% |
| 7HP | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| APLD | insider_buy | Cummins Wes (CEO; Chairman) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:44 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -29.6% | +128.2% |
| CSBB | insider_buy | BAKER ROBERT K (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | +6.1% | +0.4% |
| CSBB | insider_buy | BAKER ROBERT K (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | +6.1% | +0.4% |
| THFF | insider_buy | Jensen Susan M (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | -7.9% | -23.7% |
| IWR | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -5.4% | -8.3% |
| ACTG | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +3.9% | +2.0% | -6.4% |
| IWM | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.6% | -6.5% | -9.8% |
| IWN | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -8.2% | -13.3% |
| IWN | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -8.2% | -13.3% |
| SPLKCHF | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SPLKCHF | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VRT | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.7% | -12.9% | -3.4% |
| VRT | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.7% | -12.9% | -3.4% |
| CRM | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +13.5% | +21.7% |
| CRM | new_position | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +13.5% | +21.7% |
| GDDY | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -3.7% | -10.9% |
| RGCO | insider_buy | Nester Paul W (President & CEO) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 19:42 UTC | 0.8d | +3.9% | +6.0% | -24.8% |
| LGTO | insider_buy | Pratt Brian (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 19:23 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BOTJ | insider_buy | SYREK MICHAEL A (President - Bank of the James) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 19:17 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | -6.9% | -29.7% |
| QNTO | insider_buy | CLARKE JAMES J (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.9% | -3.5% | -22.8% |
| PRPL | insider_buy | Coliseum Capital Management, LLC (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 18:31 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | -35.9% | -22.1% |
| SCHW | insider_sale_intent | Schwab Charles R. | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 18:25 UTC | 0.8d | +1.3% | -24.5% | -36.0% |
| CLFD | insider_buy | HAYSSEN CHARLES N (Director) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 16:50 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | -19.4% | -42.1% |
| OLB | insider_buy | Herzog John E (10% Owner) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 16:30 UTC | 0.7d | -8.0% | +1.8% | -26.2% |
| CMPR | insider_buy | Keane Robert S (CEO, Chairman) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 16:25 UTC | 0.7d | +0.7% | -5.5% | +33.9% |
| CMPR | insider_buy | Keane Robert S (CEO, Chairman) | 2023-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2023-02-14 16:25 UTC | 0.7d | +0.7% | -5.5% | +33.9% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.