Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
106,592 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,300 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -0.8% | +10.6% |
| TSM | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -0.8% | +10.6% |
| OXY | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -12.8% | -18.8% |
| BCDA;BCDAW | insider_buy | Altman Peter (President and CEO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BCDA;BCDAW | insider_buy | Altman Peter (President and CEO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AR | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -5.5% | -29.2% |
| GOOG | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -5.4% | -5.9% |
| LPCN | insider_buy | Patel Mahesh V. (CEO and President) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:58 UTC | 0.9d | +10.7% | +8.8% | +17.8% |
| HMN | insider_buy | BRADLEY THOMAS A (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NCR | insider_buy | Welling Glenn W. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ecia | insider_buy | Geary Peter D (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +8.3% | +4.4% | -16.0% |
| ARLO | insider_buy | Summers Grady (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 19:03 UTC | 0.8d | -6.3% | -21.4% | +0.2% |
| WHLR | insider_buy | Steamboat Capital Partners, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 18:38 UTC | 0.8d | -5.5% | -18.3% | -24.0% |
| WHLR | insider_buy | Steamboat Capital Partners, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 18:38 UTC | 0.8d | -5.5% | -18.3% | -24.0% |
| GTN | insider_buy | LaPlatney D Patrick (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 18:22 UTC | 0.8d | -6.1% | +1.1% | +5.6% |
| QNGY | insider_buy | GEM Global Yield LLC SCS (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 17:52 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RCG | insider_buy | Kesslen Jay H (Vice-President & CCO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 17:36 UTC | 0.7d | -0.6% | -1.6% | -15.8% |
| RCG | insider_buy | Kesslen Jay H (Vice-President & CCO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 17:36 UTC | 0.7d | -0.6% | -1.6% | -15.8% |
| DNAY | insider_buy | Nelson Todd Robert (President & CEO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:44 UTC | 0.7d | -11.1% | -25.9% | +14.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:39 UTC | 0.7d | -2.7% | +0.4% | -33.4% |
| LCI | insider_buy | LEPORE PATRICK G (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LCI | insider_buy | Crew Timothy C (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 16:14 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BTU | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +1.1% | +2.1% | -1.7% |
| TXG | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -13.5% | -9.4% | +24.1% |
| AVTR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -0.9% | +3.0% | +12.1% |
| RUN | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -1.6% | +2.2% | -24.6% |
| OPEN | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -20.4% | -29.5% | +2.4% |
| FWONKUSD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TSM | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +2.2% | -0.8% | +10.6% |
| NEE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +1.1% | +6.2% | -11.2% |
| CEG | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +2.6% | -1.8% | -11.3% |
| CARR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -1.1% | -2.0% | -0.5% |
| ENVX | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -20.2% | -24.6% | -43.8% |
| OVV | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -4.9% | -9.7% | -22.6% |
| OPCH | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -0.0% | +7.1% | -1.1% |
| BLDR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -5.2% | +8.8% | +25.9% |
| SHOP | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -12.2% | -6.8% | +9.3% |
| NET | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -20.6% | -10.8% | +18.2% |
| GME | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -5.0% | -23.2% | -24.6% |
| RXRX | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -22.1% | -26.4% | -37.0% |
| NFE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +1.9% | -6.5% | -15.5% |
| ARCH1USD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ALNY | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -2.6% | +9.3% | -0.3% |
| NTRA | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +3.3% | +13.8% | +42.0% |
| AMR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -1.7% | -7.4% | +3.7% |
| PXDEUR | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| META | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -5.2% | +1.4% | +44.4% |
| PPG | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +1.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% |
| PANW | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +5.4% | -3.8% | +3.0% |
| SE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -14.4% | +0.2% | +4.3% |
| WDAY | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -9.3% | +11.3% | +13.9% |
| TECK/B | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VRT | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -6.4% | -7.6% | +6.2% |
| VRT | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -6.4% | -7.6% | +6.2% |
| DDOG | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -16.3% | -6.8% | -7.2% |
| DDOG | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -16.3% | -6.8% | -7.2% |
| LW | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +5.7% | +8.2% | +20.4% |
| LW | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +5.7% | +8.2% | +20.4% |
| K6B | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AMZN | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -6.2% | -8.4% | -3.7% |
| AMZN | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | -6.2% | -8.4% | -3.7% |
| LLY | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +2.8% | +5.1% | -9.4% |
| STNL | insider_buy | Leykum Charles S. (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:57 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| STNL | insider_buy | CSL Sentinel Holdings, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:55 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RAND | insider_buy | Jaroslawsky Cari L (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:43 UTC | 0.6d | +7.4% | +4.6% | -4.1% |
| RAND | insider_buy | Jaroslawsky Cari L (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:43 UTC | 0.6d | +7.4% | +4.6% | -4.1% |
| CIA | insider_buy | Shields Gerald (President & CEO) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:38 UTC | 0.6d | -17.1% | -33.6% | -22.6% |
| CIA | insider_buy | MORGAN JAMES KEITH (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:33 UTC | 0.6d | -17.1% | -33.6% | -22.6% |
| GF | insider_buy | Hatje Holger (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:32 UTC | 0.6d | -1.8% | -1.6% | +10.7% |
| GF | insider_buy | Hatje Holger (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:32 UTC | 0.6d | -1.8% | -1.6% | +10.7% |
| CLMT | insider_buy | Carter James S (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:22 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ENTX | insider_buy | Ellis Sean (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:17 UTC | 0.6d | +25.2% | +18.8% | +66.7% |
| FALC | insider_buy | Brooks Robert Todd (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:14 UTC | 0.6d | -8.7% | -42.2% | -25.7% |
| ENTX | insider_buy | Toledano Miranda Jayne (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:13 UTC | 0.6d | +25.2% | +18.8% | +66.7% |
| FBNC | insider_buy | McLamb Carlie C Jr (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:10 UTC | 0.6d | +4.4% | -7.5% | -13.0% |
| GIM | insider_buy | Saba Capital Management, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:07 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| EOSE | insider_buy | Mastrangelo Joe (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:03 UTC | 0.6d | -20.1% | -16.0% | +13.0% |
| EMO | insider_buy | Saba Capital Management, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 14:03 UTC | 0.6d | +0.8% | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| EOSE | insider_buy | Bornstein Jeffrey S (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:56 UTC | 0.6d | -20.1% | -16.0% | +13.0% |
| EOSE | insider_buy | Stidolph Russell Monoki (Director) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:49 UTC | 0.6d | -20.1% | -16.0% | +13.0% |
| ROIV | insider_buy | Dexcel Pharma Technologies Ltd. (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:40 UTC | 0.6d | -11.5% | +32.9% | +54.6% |
| DGICA | insider_buy | DONEGAL MUTUAL INSURANCE CO (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:09 UTC | 0.6d | -1.0% | -8.9% | -2.0% |
| DGICA | insider_buy | DONEGAL MUTUAL INSURANCE CO (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:09 UTC | 0.6d | -1.0% | -8.9% | -2.0% |
| DGICA | insider_buy | DONEGAL MUTUAL INSURANCE CO (10% Owner) | 2022-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2022-11-14 13:09 UTC | 0.6d | -1.0% | -8.9% | -2.0% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.