Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
107,285 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,572 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIS | new_position | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -2.1% | -16.9% |
| AR | new_position | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +8.2% | +7.3% | -3.3% |
| CVE | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +11.9% | +15.8% | +27.8% |
| CVE | position_increase | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +11.9% | +15.8% | +27.8% |
| CL | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| CL | new_position | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| DWDPEUR | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| OVV | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +12.6% | +15.9% | +23.5% |
| OVV | position_increase | Third Point | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +12.6% | +15.9% | +23.5% |
| ET | insider_buy | Whitehurst Bradford D. (CFO) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +7.3% | +11.2% | +11.8% |
| HCI | insider_buy | Politis Peter (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -8.8% | -3.8% | -18.1% |
| WERN | insider_buy | Tapio Carmen A (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:57 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -2.9% | -0.1% |
| ECL | insider_buy | GATES WILLIAM H III (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.7% |
| ECL | insider_buy | GATES WILLIAM H III (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.7% |
| ECL | insider_buy | GATES WILLIAM H III (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.7% |
| ECL | insider_buy | GATES WILLIAM H III (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.7% |
| ECL | insider_buy | GATES WILLIAM H III (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.7% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Sze David L (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| BCAB | insider_buy | SHORT JAY M PHD (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | -22.0% | -18.8% | -12.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| KIND | insider_buy | Greylock 16 GP LLC (Insider) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | -5.0% | +9.5% | -23.2% |
| UPLD | insider_buy | MCDONALD JOHN T (CEO) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -9.4% | -23.3% |
| UPLD | insider_buy | MCDONALD JOHN T (CEO) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -9.4% | -23.3% |
| ALLY | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -2.8% | -2.3% | -15.6% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -3.7% | -3.6% | -24.3% |
| BAC | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | +4.0% | +11.4% |
| DIS | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -4.0% | -2.1% | -16.9% |
| MPLX | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +4.5% | +9.7% | +12.5% |
| CZR | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -8.2% | -1.2% | +6.6% |
| NFLX | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -4.6% | +5.0% | +29.5% |
| BABA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | +5.1% | -15.3% |
| HCA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +7.6% | +12.5% |
| CRM | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -3.1% | -9.2% | -8.6% |
| KSS | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -13.8% | -7.6% | -1.1% |
| KSS | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -13.8% | -7.6% | -1.1% |
| CEG | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +2.0% | +15.8% | +23.2% |
| CEG | new_position | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +2.0% | +15.8% | +23.2% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -3.7% | -3.6% | -24.3% |
| BKGM | insider_buy | Ada Patricia Ann Perez (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 19:54 UTC | 0.8d | +4.0% | +10.6% | -92.1% |
| GRNA | insider_buy | Morningside Venture Investments Ltd (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:48 UTC | 0.8d | +5.6% | -48.0% | -44.9% |
| SIX | insider_buy | JAFFER REHAN (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | JAFFER REHAN (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | JAFFER REHAN (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | JAFFER REHAN (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | JAFFER REHAN (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:36 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | Ruchim Arik W (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | Ruchim Arik W (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | Ruchim Arik W (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | Ruchim Arik W (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| SIX | insider_buy | Ruchim Arik W (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:27 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
| CRDA CRDB | insider_buy | CRAWFORD JESSE C (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:07 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CRDA CRDB | insider_buy | CRAWFORD JESSE C (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 18:07 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GIM | insider_buy | Saba Capital Management, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:53 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GIM | insider_buy | Saba Capital Management, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:53 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| HUBG | insider_buy | Yablon Gary (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:48 UTC | 0.7d | +0.6% | -4.4% | +5.0% |
| BCOV | insider_buy | Edenbrook Capital, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:47 UTC | 0.7d | +0.2% | +6.1% | -11.6% |
| BCOV | insider_buy | Edenbrook Capital, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:47 UTC | 0.7d | +0.2% | +6.1% | -11.6% |
| FUSB | insider_buy | Elley Thomas S (VP,CFO,PAO,Treas,Asst Sec) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:33 UTC | 0.7d | +6.6% | +15.5% | +3.3% |
| JANL | insider_buy | Schulte Dominique (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:29 UTC | 0.7d | -6.6% | -2.3% | -25.1% |
| JANL | insider_buy | Schulte Dominique (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:29 UTC | 0.7d | -6.6% | -2.3% | -25.1% |
| GRNA | insider_buy | Builders Vision, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:12 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | -48.0% | -44.9% |
| GRNA | insider_buy | Builders Vision, LLC (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:12 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | -48.0% | -44.9% |
| GRNA | insider_buy | Walker Matthew Allen (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:03 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | -48.0% | -44.9% |
| GRNA | insider_buy | Walker Matthew Allen (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 17:03 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | -48.0% | -44.9% |
| GWAV | insider_buy | Plumlee John Bryan (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 16:32 UTC | 0.7d | +3.2% | -6.6% | -62.8% |
| CINC | insider_buy | Sofinnova Venture Partners X, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:46 UTC | 0.7d | +4.1% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| CINC | insider_buy | HEALY JAMES (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | +4.1% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| CINC | insider_buy | HEALY JAMES (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:45 UTC | 0.7d | +4.1% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| IOT | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | -5.2% | -14.9% | -32.3% |
| EQT | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +5.4% | +11.1% | -2.2% |
| UEO | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| EIX | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +0.6% | +4.3% | -7.9% |
| PANW | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +12.6% | +11.9% | +0.2% |
| DDOG | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | -5.3% | -6.8% | -23.5% |
| MRNA | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | -10.4% | -9.9% | +14.3% |
| AR | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +8.2% | +7.3% | -3.3% |
| PLTR | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | -13.7% | -8.6% | -9.2% |
| PLTR | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | -13.7% | -8.6% | -9.2% |
| CRWD | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +0.0% | -1.5% | -21.5% |
| CRWD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +0.0% | -1.5% | -21.5% |
| LLY | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | +8.9% | +22.7% |
| LLY | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:37 UTC | 0.7d | +5.6% | +8.9% | +22.7% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +10.9% | +15.9% | +67.1% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +10.9% | +15.9% | +67.1% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +10.9% | +15.9% | +67.1% |
| TPL | insider_buy | STAHL MURRAY (Director) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 15:14 UTC | 0.6d | +10.9% | +15.9% | +67.1% |
| PBHC | insider_buy | Rusnak Walter (Senior Vice President, CFO) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 14:38 UTC | 0.6d | +2.8% | +15.3% | +8.7% |
| JUVF | insider_buy | Wolf Michael W. (SVP/CFO) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 14:33 UTC | 0.6d | -0.3% | +6.3% | +2.4% |
| CINC | insider_buy | GENERAL ATLANTIC GENPAR (BERMUDA), L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 14:22 UTC | 0.6d | +4.1% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| CINC | insider_buy | GENERAL ATLANTIC, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 14:21 UTC | 0.6d | +4.1% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| SMM | insider_buy | Saba Capital Management, L.P. (10% Owner) | 2022-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2022-08-15 14:00 UTC | 0.6d | +7.9% | +10.4% | +8.9% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.