Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
115,712 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,832 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRPL | insider_buy | Roddy Jack (Chief People Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 23:05 UTC | 1.0d | -0.7% | -18.9% | -24.4% |
| UPWK | insider_buy | HARVEY KEVIN (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 23:01 UTC | 1.0d | +0.5% | +16.7% | +4.6% |
| UPWK | insider_buy | HARVEY KEVIN (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 23:01 UTC | 1.0d | +0.5% | +16.7% | +4.6% |
| HMST | insider_buy | Patterson Mark Robert (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:57 UTC | 1.0d | +1.1% | -6.1% | -12.3% |
| HMST | insider_buy | Patterson Mark Robert (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:57 UTC | 1.0d | +1.1% | -6.1% | -12.3% |
| HASI | insider_buy | Eckel Jeffrey (President and CEO) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:50 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -0.8% | +3.4% |
| MIDD | insider_buy | FITZGERALD TIMOTHY JOHN (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -4.0% | +2.7% |
| SBUX | insider_buy | SCHULTZ HOWARD D (interim ceo) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | +6.5% | +15.6% |
| LPCN | insider_buy | Patel Mahesh V. (CEO and President) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:44 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -6.0% | -36.3% |
| ARHS | insider_buy | Reed John P (CEO and Chairman) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:43 UTC | 0.9d | -14.5% | -13.6% | +31.4% |
| MIDD | insider_buy | Nerbonne Robert A (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:42 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -4.0% | +2.7% |
| ARHS | insider_buy | Porter Jennifer E (Chief Marketing Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:39 UTC | 0.9d | -14.5% | -13.6% | +31.4% |
| TDW | insider_buy | ROBOTTI ROBERT (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | -3.3% | -28.5% |
| TDW | insider_buy | ROBOTTI ROBERT (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | -3.3% | -28.5% |
| TDW | insider_buy | ROBOTTI ROBERT (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | -3.3% | -28.5% |
| TELA | insider_buy | EW HEALTHCARE PARTNERS FUND 2, L.P. (Insider) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | -19.8% | -21.3% | -9.7% |
| TELA | insider_buy | EW HEALTHCARE PARTNERS FUND 2, L.P. (Insider) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | -19.8% | -21.3% | -9.7% |
| TELA | insider_buy | EW HEALTHCARE PARTNERS FUND 2, L.P. (Insider) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | -19.8% | -21.3% | -9.7% |
| ARLO | insider_buy | Summers Grady (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:20 UTC | 0.9d | -6.7% | -6.5% | -10.6% |
| ARLO | insider_buy | FAISON RALPH E (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:14 UTC | 0.9d | -6.7% | -6.5% | -10.6% |
| MEG | insider_buy | PRICE JAMES K (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MEG | insider_buy | PRICE JAMES K (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MEG | insider_buy | PRICE JAMES K (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MEG | insider_buy | PRICE JAMES K (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AMBC | insider_buy | PRIEUR C JAMES (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 22:06 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NR | insider_buy | Young Donald Win (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TRMB | insider_buy | Sweet Thomas W (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -6.5% | -0.0% |
| TRMB | insider_buy | Sweet Thomas W (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -6.5% | -0.0% |
| TRMB | insider_buy | Sweet Thomas W (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -6.5% | -0.0% |
| SSP | insider_buy | Klenzing Margaret Scripps (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -10.3% | -4.5% |
| UMH | insider_buy | QUIGLEY KENNETH K JR (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | -5.9% | -5.3% |
| FUND | insider_buy | GEORGE W WHITNEY (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +1.5% | +1.4% | -4.5% |
| FLR | insider_buy | ROSE MATTHEW K (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +6.4% | +9.7% | +4.1% |
| HMST | insider_buy | SMITH DOUGLAS IRVINE (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -6.1% | -12.3% |
| HASI | insider_buy | Lipson Jeffrey (Chief Financial Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -0.8% | +3.4% |
| FND | insider_buy | MARSHALL RYAN (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -3.4% | -4.9% | +28.0% |
| NNBR | insider_buy | HARMAN JERI J (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +18.8% | -1.7% |
| NNBR | insider_buy | HARMAN JERI J (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +18.8% | -1.7% |
| cmpo | insider_buy | Bleichroeder LP (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +8.8% | -14.8% | -14.0% |
| NNBR | insider_buy | FELCHER, JR. MICHAEL C. (SVP, Chief Financial Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +18.8% | -1.7% |
| AMH | insider_buy | BENHAM DOUGLAS N (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| NNBR | insider_buy | Veltman Warren A (President and CEO) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +18.8% | -1.7% |
| WAL | insider_buy | Ardrey J. Kelly Jr. (Chief Accounting Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -0.5% | +7.0% |
| LFT | insider_buy | HOULIHAN WILLIAM A (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| MKTW | insider_buy | Stansberry Frank Porter (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +38.0% | +18.2% |
| MKTW | insider_buy | Stansberry Frank Porter (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +38.0% | +18.2% |
| MKTW | insider_buy | Stansberry Frank Porter (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +38.0% | +18.2% |
| TRMB | insider_buy | Sweet Thomas W (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:59 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -6.5% | -0.0% |
| SYNL | insider_buy | Hutter Christopher Gerald (President and CEO) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:53 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XPEL | insider_buy | BOGART STACY L (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:53 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +0.7% | +68.0% |
| EYE | insider_buy | Hepner Virginia A (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| EYE | insider_buy | Brandman Jared (SVP, GC and Secretary) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:47 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| EYE | insider_buy | TEHLE DAVID M (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| SXT | insider_buy | Winder Investment Pte Ltd (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +3.6% | -1.6% | -0.0% |
| SXT | insider_buy | Winder Investment Pte Ltd (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +3.6% | -1.6% | -0.0% |
| SXT | insider_buy | Winder Investment Pte Ltd (10% Owner) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +3.6% | -1.6% | -0.0% |
| EYE | insider_buy | Moore Patrick R. (SVP, Chief Financial Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:43 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| COTY | insider_buy | Goudet Olivier (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:43 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | +13.1% | +13.6% |
| EYE | insider_buy | FAHS L READE (Chief Executive Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:41 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| ENVX | insider_buy | HEJLEK EDWARD J (See Remarks) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:40 UTC | 0.9d | +8.1% | +29.3% | +131.6% |
| EYE | insider_buy | PEELER D RANDOLPH (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:40 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +4.6% | +27.5% |
| FDBC | insider_buy | MCDONALD MICHAEL J (Vice Chairman) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:39 UTC | 0.9d | +6.2% | +15.4% | +9.8% |
| ENVX | insider_buy | MCCRANIE J DANIEL (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | +8.1% | +29.3% | +131.6% |
| ENVX | insider_buy | MCCRANIE J DANIEL (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | +8.1% | +29.3% | +131.6% |
| DO1USD | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MSTR 0 02/15/27 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TWTR 0 03/15/26 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XBI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | -0.3% | +20.4% |
| HYG | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +4.3% | +6.9% | -2.4% |
| XRT | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | -10.0% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| XRT | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | -10.0% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| SU | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +7.2% | -19.8% |
| SU | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +7.2% | -19.8% |
| XLE | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +2.9% | -11.7% |
| IYR | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | -0.0% | +0.8% |
| BTU | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | +10.4% | +8.7% | -3.4% |
| IVVD | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -10.5% | -6.8% | +26.4% |
| WDC | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -14.0% | -26.2% |
| CVE | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +6.4% | +5.9% | -19.5% |
| IR | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +4.1% | +12.4% |
| MOS | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -7.8% | -12.0% | -22.1% |
| SU | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +7.2% | -19.8% |
| OVV | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +7.3% | +17.6% | -2.5% |
| AA | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | -11.4% | -22.8% |
| ZEN1EUR | position_increase | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| IQV | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +5.3% | +11.5% |
| CSX | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| CSX | new_position | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| EQT | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +9.8% | +1.1% | +6.4% |
| EQT | position_increase | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +9.8% | +1.1% | +6.4% |
| UNH | now_top10 | Third Point | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +4.5% | +3.1% | +6.1% |
| ECVT | insider_buy | Bitting Kurt (See Remarks) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | +6.8% | +5.8% | -2.6% |
| CTOS | insider_buy | EIN MARK (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ATLC | insider_buy | JAMES DENNIS H JR (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | +0.9% | -8.3% |
| CTOS | insider_buy | BARRETT RAYMOND TODD (Chief Accounting Officer) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CSX | insider_buy | WAINSCOTT JAMES L (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| CSX | insider_buy | WAINSCOTT JAMES L (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| CTOS | insider_buy | Heinberg Marshall (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CTOS | insider_buy | Heinberg Marshall (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FRPT | insider_buy | Basto J David (Director) | 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC | 2022-05-16 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | -9.9% | -11.3% | -37.7% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.