Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
97,574 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 12,230 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOW | insider_sale_intent | Fipps Paul | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 17:52 UTC | 0.7d | +1.1% | +8.1% | -12.1% |
| OKYO | ownership_5pct | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 17:42 UTC | 0.7d | -3.0% | -5.5% | -17.4% |
| SNOW | insider_sale_intent | Slootman Frank | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 17:35 UTC | 0.7d | -4.1% | -1.0% | -15.1% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Oberg Kathleen K. | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 17:30 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | -3.4% | -2.6% |
| ETOR | insider_sale_intent | SHALEV EDDY | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 17:28 UTC | 0.7d | +3.4% | +0.2% | +19.4% |
| WTS | insider_sale_intent | Pagano Robert J Jr | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 16:47 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | -6.7% | -17.3% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Menon Rajeev | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 16:28 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | -3.4% | -2.6% |
| JNJ | insider_sale_intent | Schmid Timothy | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 16:14 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | +0.6% | -15.4% |
| ADIL | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 16:06 UTC | 0.7d | -1.9% | -16.6% | -16.5% |
| ENVA | insider_sale_intent | David Fisher | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 16:06 UTC | 0.7d | +1.6% | -1.7% | +5.2% |
| TPR | insider_sale_intent | Crevoiserat Joanne C. | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +4.7% | -2.0% | -18.9% |
| AB | insider_sale_intent | BERNSTEIN SETH P | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 15:31 UTC | 0.7d | -1.3% | -1.7% | -9.3% |
| INGR | insider_sale_intent | Zallie James P. | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 15:03 UTC | 0.6d | -0.2% | -1.1% | -21.9% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | Nelson Mark Wolfe | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 15:01 UTC | 0.6d | -1.7% | +2.5% | -19.6% |
| JG | ownership_5pct | Pacific Alliance Group Ltd | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 14:21 UTC | 0.6d | -5.3% | +3.6% | -30.9% |
| NHTC | activist_13d | Sharng Chris Tahjiun | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 13:25 UTC | 0.6d | -0.4% | -8.8% | -17.9% |
| GSIT | activist_13d | Galloway Capital Partners, LLC | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 12:51 UTC | 0.5d | +19.4% | -9.0% | +25.8% |
| ARM | insider_sale_intent | Child Jason | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 12:07 UTC | 0.5d | +1.1% | +9.5% | +94.0% |
| TEVA | insider_sale_intent | Francis Richard D | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 11:28 UTC | 0.5d | -2.3% | -11.1% | -8.3% |
| EWCZ | ownership_5pct | shane hilary | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 11:15 UTC | 0.5d | -0.3% | +6.3% | -6.4% |
| ITRN | ownership_5pct | Sheratzky Izzy | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 11:02 UTC | 0.5d | -1.8% | +5.3% | +13.1% |
| ITRN | ownership_5pct | KAHANE YEHUDA | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 11:01 UTC | 0.5d | -1.8% | +5.3% | +13.1% |
| BJDX | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:55 UTC | 1.1d | +2.8% | +6.8% | -18.9% |
| BDRX | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:55 UTC | 1.1d | -13.1% | -40.4% | -60.1% |
| MNTN | ownership_5pct | Douglas Mark Steven | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:55 UTC | 1.1d | -1.9% | -6.8% | -29.6% |
| ASTI | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:54 UTC | 1.1d | +4.4% | -15.1% | -33.6% |
| AGIO | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:54 UTC | 1.1d | +4.2% | +2.7% | -8.6% |
| AEMD | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:54 UTC | 1.1d | -2.7% | +11.1% | -6.8% |
| IVF | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:50 UTC | 1.1d | -0.7% | -22.7% | -73.2% |
| IMNN | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:50 UTC | 1.1d | -3.8% | -6.7% | -43.0% |
| HCWB | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:50 UTC | 1.1d | -9.5% | +27.8% | +294.7% |
| GCTK | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:49 UTC | 1.1d | +0.5% | -27.5% | -79.1% |
| WKSP | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:43 UTC | 1.1d | +0.0% | -6.1% | -46.9% |
| VSTM | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:43 UTC | 1.1d | -4.4% | -1.6% | -38.8% |
| VRAX | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:42 UTC | 1.1d | -2.5% | -17.8% | +33.5% |
| SOBR | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:41 UTC | 1.1d | +0.9% | +11.5% | +64.4% |
| REKR | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:41 UTC | 1.1d | +12.2% | +17.5% | -13.9% |
| GBLI | ownership_5pct | Essex Equity Joint Investment Vehicle, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:09 UTC | 1.1d | -1.4% | +8.0% | -11.6% |
| ADMA | insider_sale_intent | Grossman Adam S. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 02:02 UTC | 1.1d | -7.7% | -7.0% | -55.8% |
| DCBO | activist_13d | Chapnik Jason | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:43 UTC | 1.1d | +4.4% | +19.0% | -4.8% |
| IHS | ownership_5pct | International Finance Corp | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:36 UTC | 1.1d | -1.3% | +7.2% | -5.6% |
| MTSI | insider_sale_intent | OCAMPO SUSAN | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:23 UTC | 1.1d | +1.2% | -4.5% | +46.6% |
| SPRB | ownership_5pct | ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:16 UTC | 1.1d | +10.6% | +16.2% | -10.4% |
| OKUR | ownership_5pct | ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:15 UTC | 1.1d | +0.1% | +64.0% | +26.6% |
| QNRX | ownership_5pct | ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:14 UTC | 1.1d | -10.0% | -10.1% | -55.6% |
| ADGM | ownership_5pct | ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:13 UTC | 1.1d | +3.2% | +19.3% | -23.1% |
| AERO | ownership_5pct | Silver Point Capital L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 01:02 UTC | 1.0d | -3.8% | -34.5% | -34.4% |
| NAVN | ownership_5pct | Twig Ilan Ezra | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:58 UTC | 1.0d | +2.8% | -8.0% | +72.9% |
| SGP | ownership_5pct | Samsara BioCapital, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:23 UTC | 1.0d | -5.2% | -7.2% | -34.5% |
| SGP | activist_13d | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:21 UTC | 1.0d | -5.2% | -7.2% | -34.5% |
| GLTO | ownership_5pct | Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners III, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:17 UTC | 1.0d | -2.9% | -35.2% | -29.0% |
| NAVN | ownership_5pct | Lightspeed Venture Partners X, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:03 UTC | 1.0d | +2.8% | -8.0% | +72.9% |
| CXH | ownership_5pct | Almitas Capital LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-18 00:00 UTC | 1.0d | +0.0% | +5.8% | -12.7% |
| CMU | ownership_5pct | Almitas Capital LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:55 UTC | 1.0d | -1.0% | +3.8% | -12.1% |
| ANTX | ownership_5pct | Almitas Capital LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:54 UTC | 1.0d | +1.9% | +283.5% | +334.8% |
| PARK | ownership_5pct | AO Partners I, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:50 UTC | 1.0d | +7.5% | -12.9% | -6.5% |
| EXEL | insider_sale_intent | JULIE ANNE SMITH | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:47 UTC | 1.0d | -0.4% | -3.4% | +2.5% |
| EXEL | insider_sale_intent | CHRISTOPHER J SENNER | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:45 UTC | 1.0d | -0.4% | -3.4% | +2.5% |
| EXEL | insider_sale_intent | PATRICK JOSEPH HALEY | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:43 UTC | 1.0d | -0.4% | -3.4% | +2.5% |
| WLTH | ownership_5pct | DAG Ventures Management IV, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:42 UTC | 1.0d | -9.8% | -11.7% | +21.5% |
| LITE | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW SEPE | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:30 UTC | 1.0d | +20.7% | +33.8% | +42.9% |
| HELP | ownership_5pct | ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:20 UTC | 1.0d | +7.3% | -28.4% | -48.0% |
| FSM | ownership_5pct | Global X Management CO LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:15 UTC | 1.0d | +25.6% | -9.9% | -19.5% |
| UUUU | ownership_5pct | Global X Management CO LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:14 UTC | 1.0d | +4.9% | -12.2% | -31.1% |
| AERO | ownership_5pct | Apollo Management Holdings GP, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:12 UTC | 1.0d | -4.8% | -31.2% | -36.4% |
| NERV | ownership_5pct | Logos Global Management LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:12 UTC | 1.0d | -4.4% | +29.0% | -39.3% |
| BC | insider_sale_intent | RYAN M GWILLIM | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:01 UTC | 1.0d | -10.3% | -16.4% | -24.5% |
| RGNT | ownership_5pct | GELLER EHUD | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 23:00 UTC | 1.0d | -0.3% | -17.3% | -60.3% |
| MOD | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL LUCARELI | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:58 UTC | 1.0d | +4.8% | -3.8% | +5.5% |
| FSK | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 0.0d | -1.8% | -20.4% | -28.0% |
| HDB | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 0.0d | -4.6% | -17.8% | -34.2% |
| GLIBK | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 0.0d | -3.0% | -6.2% | -43.4% |
| OR | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 0.0d | +4.3% | -16.6% | -25.3% |
| XLE | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:52 UTC | 0.0d | -0.8% | +12.2% | +5.7% |
| KZIA | ownership_5pct | Ikarian Capital, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:47 UTC | 0.9d | +30.3% | +40.5% | +101.7% |
| JZXN | ownership_5pct | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:47 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -14.5% | -20.5% |
| KNX | insider_sale_intent | Kevin P. Knight | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:35 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | -5.9% | +8.7% |
| NXTC | ownership_5pct | Ikarian Capital, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -19.3% | -37.3% |
| PTGX | insider_sale_intent | LEWIS T WILLIAMS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +26.4% | +11.6% |
| NTIP | ownership_5pct | CANNELL CAPITAL LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:26 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +10.1% | -4.2% |
| AIV | ownership_5pct | Silver Point Capital L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -24.3% | -34.4% |
| GCTK | ownership_5pct | Ikarian Capital, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -29.0% | -72.9% |
| CNTB | ownership_5pct | Ikarian Capital, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | -12.6% | +1.8% | -32.2% |
| SHC | ownership_5pct | Sessa Capital (Master), L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:20 UTC | 0.9d | -8.4% | -18.4% | -19.6% |
| NAVN | ownership_5pct | AH Parallel Fund V, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:20 UTC | 0.9d | -8.9% | -6.1% | +80.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Stacey Friedman | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -11.2% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Marianne Lake | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -11.2% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Douglas Petno | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -11.2% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | West Erik Daniel | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| JPM | insider_sale_intent | Mary E. Erdoes | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.9% | -11.2% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | Spivey Jeremy Simmons | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| DAY | ownership_5pct | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | Rowe Michael Bruce Jr. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | MCKINNEY MARK | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | BERNER ROSS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| TWST | insider_sale_intent | Green Paula | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -10.7% | -14.6% | -16.8% |
| ZBH | ownership_5pct | HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -4.7% | -19.3% |
| WTW | ownership_5pct | HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -1.0% | -22.4% |
| BLLN | ownership_5pct | Tsao David | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -22.9% | -13.6% | -15.1% |
| BLLN | ownership_5pct | Atay Oguzhan | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -22.9% | -13.6% | -15.1% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.