Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
97,574 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 12,230 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | insider_sale_intent | RODNEY M SHURMAN | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:59 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -4.6% | +7.7% |
| KRNT | ownership_5pct | DISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -5.3% | -17.2% |
| VOYG | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.4% | +30.7% |
| VERU | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | -1.5% | -19.7% |
| NAVN | ownership_5pct | GREENOAKS CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | -8.9% | -6.1% | +80.0% |
| ZETA | ownership_5pct | Contour Asset Management LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | +11.7% | +12.6% | +8.6% |
| PHD | ownership_5pct | Almitas Capital LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +3.9% | -6.9% |
| ERII | ownership_5pct | Amundi | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -34.4% | -53.2% |
| CNO | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW ZIMPFER | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -3.4% | +2.0% |
| JEQ | ownership_5pct | Almitas Capital LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| XIFR | ownership_5pct | Anchorage Capital Advisors, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +2.3% | -1.0% |
| TII | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +7.4% | -13.8% | -35.6% |
| SPRB | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:52 UTC | 0.9d | +8.8% | +14.3% | -16.7% |
| SOC | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:51 UTC | 0.9d | +4.9% | +102.7% | +69.9% |
| ELVN | insider_sale_intent | Kintz Samuel | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +17.8% | +45.4% |
| ECL | insider_sale_intent | Nicholas J. Alfano | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | -10.6% | -25.7% |
| CNO | insider_sale_intent | GARY BHOJWANI | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -3.4% | +2.0% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | JOEL REISS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -5.5% | -17.3% |
| SW | insider_sale_intent | SKG Employee Trust | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -12.3% | -24.9% | -37.4% |
| LPX | insider_sale_intent | William B. Southern | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | -12.4% | -29.2% |
| PAYC | ownership_5pct | HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +4.1% | +7.0% |
| CRWV | insider_sale_intent | BRANNIN MCBEE | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -11.6% | -2.3% |
| PSX | insider_sale_intent | Donald Baldridge | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | +17.2% | +9.0% |
| MTSI | insider_sale_intent | JOHN F KOBER III | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -5.1% | +38.6% |
| TWST | insider_sale_intent | Finn Patrick John | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -10.7% | -14.6% | -16.8% |
| BHC | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -2.3% | -14.9% | -21.0% |
| CTEV | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -38.1% | -31.0% | -38.1% |
| SPRY | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | -8.8% | -31.0% |
| CSX | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -3.1% | +4.5% |
| TMO | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -4.5% | -19.6% |
| PGR | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +3.6% | -7.1% |
| APG | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -2.9% | -13.8% |
| BABA | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | -16.0% | -19.8% |
| DHR | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -5.0% | -26.6% |
| CEG | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +9.8% | +11.6% | -18.0% |
| CMG | new_position | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | -11.1% | -21.6% |
| RKT | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -7.1% | -16.7% | -38.2% |
| MTZ | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | +7.0% | +22.2% | +38.8% |
| LYV | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +2.8% | -2.3% |
| TDS | now_top10 | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -3.0% | -13.7% |
| BN | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -13.6% | -13.4% |
| TPD | now_top10 | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| UNP | now_top10 | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -7.3% | -3.9% |
| UNP | position_increase | Third Point | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | -7.3% | -3.9% |
| HOOD | insider_sale_intent | SHIV VERMA | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +2.5% | -8.3% |
| GTLB | insider_sale_intent | SYTSE SIJBRANDIJ REVOCABLE TRUST | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -11.4% | -17.1% | -19.1% |
| APPF | insider_sale_intent | WILLIAM SHANE TRIGG | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -6.7% | -1.8% | -16.5% |
| BBIO | insider_sale_intent | RANDAL SCOTT | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -11.0% | -1.4% | -17.6% |
| ELVN | insider_sale_intent | Collins Helen Louise | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +17.8% | +45.4% |
| GM | insider_sale_intent | MARK L REUSS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -8.0% | -20.1% |
| FSLY | insider_sale_intent | THE PER ARTUR BERGMAN REVOCABLE TRUST | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | +44.3% | -20.0% |
| JOBY | insider_sale_intent | THE JOBY TRUST U/A DTD 11/01/2007 | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -0.1% | -7.8% |
| PEGA | insider_sale_intent | Alan Trefler | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | +0.5% | -31.9% |
| JOBY | insider_sale_intent | JOEBEN BEVIRT 2020 DESCENDANTS TR U/A DTD 12/26/2020 | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -0.1% | -7.8% |
| GRO | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | +16.9% | +37.5% | -11.5% |
| PTON | insider_sale_intent | ELIZABETH CODDINGTON | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | -2.2% | +14.2% |
| EA | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW WILSON FAMILY TRUST | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:37 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | +4.2% | -6.1% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | JOHN KENT WALKER JR, TTEE OF THE ARETE TRUST, UAD 8/22/2001 | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +5.1% | +20.9% |
| EA | insider_sale_intent | LAURA KAREN MIELE | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | +4.2% | -6.1% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | GLENN D FOGEL & AMY J ROBERTS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +4.4% | -16.4% |
| CPAY | insider_sale_intent | Jeffrey S. Sloan | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -6.4% | -14.7% | -8.6% |
| GLTO | ownership_5pct | Jain Global LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +4.9% | -33.2% | -28.1% |
| PVLA | ownership_5pct | First Light Asset Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +60.6% | +47.0% | +30.3% |
| ZWS | insider_sale_intent | JAHNKE TIMOTHY J | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -10.0% | -16.2% |
| CEPT | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CRWV | insider_sale_intent | Brannin J. McBee 2022 Irrevocable Trust | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -11.6% | -2.3% |
| EHTH | ownership_5pct | Palo Alto Investors LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +20.9% | -0.0% | +6.6% |
| AZ | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -6.7% | +0.2% | -4.5% |
| HASI | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY W. ECKEL REVOCABLE TRUST | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| ADGM | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | +8.6% | -22.0% |
| MNRO | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -27.4% | -38.4% |
| MNRO | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -27.4% | -38.4% |
| CTRI | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | +2.3% | -13.2% |
| CRWV | insider_sale_intent | CANIS MAJOR 2025 GRAT | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -11.6% | -2.3% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| GRAL | ownership_5pct | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -50.4% | -48.8% | -47.3% |
| ADCT | ownership_5pct | TCG Crossover GP II, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | +1.7% | -30.9% |
| RCL | insider_sale_intent | LAURA BETHGE | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -10.8% | -29.4% |
| ALKS | ownership_5pct | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -7.5% | +8.6% |
| GDOT | ownership_5pct | No Street GP LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -3.7% | -2.5% |
| ON | insider_sale_intent | SIMON KEETON | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -12.2% | +43.1% |
| HESM | ownership_5pct | Harvest Fund Advisors LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +10.0% | +4.3% |
| IDXX | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL G ERICKSON | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | -4.8% | -20.8% |
| ELME | ownership_5pct | HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -3.0% | -14.7% |
| QSR | ownership_5pct | EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | +11.5% | +3.1% |
| AMT | insider_sale_intent | RODNEY SMITH | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | +1.8% | -7.8% |
| LECO | insider_sale_intent | JENNIFER ANSBERRY | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -7.3% | -18.8% |
| WTS | insider_sale_intent | KENNETH R LEPAGE | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -7.1% | -17.0% |
| MGA | insider_sale_intent | UweGeissinger | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -17.4% | -18.0% |
| WDC | insider_sale_intent | BRIAN SCOTT DAVIS | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +10.8% | +46.9% |
| CLF | insider_sale_intent | Smith Clifford T | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -18.6% | -10.7% |
| YUM | insider_sale_intent | Tracey Skeans | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +0.2% | -13.1% |
| GTLB | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -11.4% | -17.1% | -19.1% |
| LPX | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | -12.4% | -29.2% |
| HWM | insider_sale_intent | Giacobbe Ken | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +3.1% | -2.7% | -5.3% |
| APEI | ownership_5pct | No Street GP LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +2.1% | +27.1% | +14.1% |
| NVRI | ownership_5pct | Newtyn Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -8.0% | -1.2% | -7.0% |
| LITE | insider_sale_intent | VINCENT D RETORT | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +20.7% | +33.8% | +42.9% |
| ZTS | insider_sale_intent | PECK KRISTIN C | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -6.3% | -45.8% |
| BJ | insider_sale_intent | Laura Felice | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +1.6% | -8.2% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.