Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
97,575 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 12,230 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ | insider_sale_intent | Laura Felice | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +1.6% | -8.2% |
| CRBG | insider_sale_intent | Ditillo David | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -12.4% | -20.1% | -20.0% |
| SXI | insider_sale_intent | Dunbar David A. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | +5.7% | -10.2% |
| JNJ | insider_sale_intent | Broadhurst Vanessa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | +0.8% | -13.0% |
| MPA | ownership_5pct | RIVERNORTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +2.4% | -9.0% |
| CDNL | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +40.3% | +39.0% | +93.0% |
| CAVA | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +25.5% | +33.3% | +8.4% |
| FDSB | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +0.7% | -8.1% |
| FIP | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +5.7% | -15.3% | -36.4% |
| ROCK | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -8.0% | -20.4% | -43.0% |
| MANH | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -6.4% | +1.6% | -12.3% |
| MBBC | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +7.0% | +0.7% |
| RCKY | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +35.1% | +23.2% | -3.4% |
| STRT | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -15.6% | -32.3% |
| USCB | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -2.5% | -15.4% |
| CLYM | ownership_5pct | MPM BioImpact LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | +27.9% | +30.8% | +68.5% |
| R | insider_sale_intent | Fatovic Robert D | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | -9.8% | -4.2% |
| PDS | insider_sale_intent | Ruhr Darren | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | +14.1% | +5.5% |
| UOKA | ownership_5pct | INTRACOASTAL CAPITAL, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -41.8% | -92.4% | -103.2% |
| UPST | ownership_5pct | Jericho Capital Asset Management L.P. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -10.8% | -11.2% | -17.9% |
| SLDB | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +5.6% | +24.1% | -4.2% |
| META | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -1.8% | -13.2% |
| META | new_position | Pershing Square | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -1.8% | -13.2% |
| AMZN | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | +5.8% | +19.7% |
| BN | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -13.6% | -13.4% |
| VRE | ownership_5pct | H/2 CREDIT MANAGER LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +11.6% | +16.3% | +6.9% |
| GILD | insider_sale_intent | JOHANNA MERCIER | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | -3.2% | -21.0% |
| TSHA | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +1.9% | +4.6% |
| ELVN | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +10.0% | +17.8% | +45.4% |
| ACVA | ownership_5pct | Atreides Management, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -33.5% | -25.3% | -18.3% |
| BBIO | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS TRIMARCHI | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -11.0% | -1.4% | -17.6% |
| BA | insider_sale_intent | Schmidt Ann M | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -11.9% | -16.9% |
| DAWN | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -6.5% | +88.9% | +79.3% |
| CBIO | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +27.5% | +13.1% | +83.2% |
| HEPS | ownership_5pct | VR Advisory Services Ltd | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +3.6% | +4.6% | -3.1% |
| ACLX | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +63.8% | +69.5% | +59.8% |
| ANRO | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | +25.5% | +6.0% |
| NFE | ownership_5pct | Energy Transition Holdings LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -13.7% | -25.6% | -58.2% |
| JAKK | ownership_5pct | GATE CITY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +25.2% | +16.4% | +13.2% |
| FWONK | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -2.9% | -6.3% |
| NYT | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.5% | +11.5% | -7.0% |
| LLYVA | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +1.7% | -5.3% |
| LLYVK | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | +2.0% | -5.0% |
| RIOT | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +9.3% | -4.9% | +39.3% |
| FLR | new_position | Starboard Value | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +4.8% | -1.6% | -22.9% |
| CWAN | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +4.8% | -1.6% |
| CWAN | new_position | Starboard Value | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +4.8% | -1.6% |
| KVUE | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -3.8% | -15.0% |
| JMG | ownership_5pct | Ting Chun Kwok Stanley | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +3.9% | -6.9% |
| WM | insider_sale_intent | Smith Donald J | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +4.2% | -11.5% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | JEAN HU | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | +6.4% | +100.0% |
| ALK | insider_sale_intent | VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE E | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -28.2% | -42.1% |
| LITE | insider_sale_intent | WUPEN YUEN | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +20.7% | +33.8% | +42.9% |
| JBIO | ownership_5pct | Bellevue Group AG | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +1.2% | +44.4% |
| PCSC | ownership_5pct | Holocene Advisors, LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -6.3% | -17.5% | -27.9% |
| BGIN | ownership_5pct | Li Qiuhua | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | +5.1% | +22.5% |
| BGIN | ownership_5pct | Wu Qingfeng | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | +5.1% | +22.5% |
| SKBL | ownership_5pct | Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SUPX | ownership_5pct | Anatole Investment Management Ltd | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -10.9% | -43.7% | -38.5% |
| BALL | new_position | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -6.9% | -23.6% |
| MHK | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -6.7% | -21.2% | -34.9% |
| OC | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -9.1% | -18.7% | -26.0% |
| EWY | new_position | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +11.0% | +5.3% | +24.0% |
| AAL | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -6.5% | -19.5% | -21.4% |
| MSFT | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | +1.4% | -2.2% |
| META | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -1.8% | -13.2% |
| MU | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +9.4% | +59.1% |
| MU | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +9.4% | +59.1% |
| GOOG | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +4.5% | +19.8% |
| MTX | ownership_5pct | NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:52 UTC | 0.9d | -4.4% | -3.6% | -3.6% |
| MBUU | ownership_5pct | NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:52 UTC | 0.9d | -7.8% | -16.4% | -28.9% |
| KALU | ownership_5pct | NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:51 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | -15.8% | +10.5% |
| FFBC | ownership_5pct | NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:51 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -7.7% | -8.1% |
| AORT | ownership_5pct | NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:50 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | +1.2% | -46.3% |
| ADM | insider_sale_intent | Weber Jennifer L | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | +5.5% | +10.7% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Capuano Anthony | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:29 UTC | 0.8d | -3.4% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
| PEGA | insider_sale_intent | TREFLER ALAN | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | -4.6% | +0.5% | -31.9% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | Bunnage Mark E. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +1.3% | -14.6% |
| FBLA | ownership_5pct | Fidelity Bank Employee Stock Ownership Plan Trust | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| IR | insider_sale_intent | Keene Kathleen M. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | -5.3% | -11.6% | -36.4% |
| RBC | insider_sale_intent | Richard Edwards | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | +1.9% | -4.5% |
| BJRI | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -5.3% | -13.9% | -8.3% |
| ACET | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | +4.0% | +4.0% | -4.2% |
| QNRX | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -11.2% | -8.9% | -52.3% |
| OVID | ownership_5pct | ADAR1 Capital Management, LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:17 UTC | 0.8d | +10.0% | +61.4% | +57.5% |
| AIRS | ownership_5pct | Parian Ultreia LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -5.8% | +47.8% | +150.2% |
| IIF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -9.4% | -20.0% |
| KF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +12.9% | +3.8% | +21.9% |
| XRAY | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -6.0% | -28.9% |
| BRSL | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +0.9% | -27.4% |
| ASA | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +10.7% | -14.3% | -18.9% |
| HLT | insider_sale_intent | NASSETTA CHRISTOPHER J | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | -1.8% | -7.0% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Pinto Drew | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -3.4% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
| ARKO | ownership_5pct | CIBC Private Wealth Group LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:55 UTC | 0.8d | -5.5% | -12.4% | +8.4% |
| ARCO | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:54 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | -5.4% | -11.4% |
| ELWT | ownership_5pct | Maxim Cerith LLC | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:52 UTC | 0.8d | +24.0% | +13.0% | +25.4% |
| JNJ | insider_sale_intent | Swanson James D. | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:52 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +0.8% | -13.0% |
| IMMX | ownership_5pct | Saturn V Capital Management LP | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:50 UTC | 0.8d | +11.6% | +28.4% | +7.1% |
| REG | insider_sale_intent | MAS MICHAEL J | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:49 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +6.1% | -3.8% |
| PNC | insider_sale_intent | Bynum Richard Kevin | 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC | 2026-02-17 19:48 UTC | 0.8d | -5.6% | -9.3% | -14.6% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.