← Smart-Money Radar

Track record

Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.

Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.

Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.

Research context, not investment advice.

99,282 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date

A further 14,919 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.

TickerTypeActorEventPublic atLag5d21d63d
CCOIinsider_sale_intentDavid Schaeffer2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:45 UTC0.9d-2.7%-5.3%-35.2%
GCOownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:43 UTC0.9d-11.3%-10.3%-3.8%
MMLPownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:43 UTC0.9d+1.9%+2.8%+1.9%
FTVinsider_sale_intentLICO JAMES A2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:43 UTC0.9d-2.3%-5.4%-23.1%
ERNAownership_5pctKonar Shameek2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:42 UTC0.9d+4.3%-25.3%-61.9%
OLKRownership_5pctIndexAtlas AG2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:41 UTC0.9dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
NAMSinsider_sale_intentDouglas F Kling2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:40 UTC0.9d-4.2%-2.6%+24.8%
TLYSownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:40 UTC0.9d+3.0%+41.0%+73.6%
ZENAactivist_13dStar Financial Corp2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:39 UTC0.9d+2.9%+89.0%+88.6%
XIFRownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:39 UTC0.9d-8.3%-13.7%-6.6%
SPTownership_5pctArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:39 UTC0.9d-8.3%-14.6%-47.1%
HOUSownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:39 UTC0.9d-9.1%-2.1%+37.0%
ETSYownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:38 UTC0.9d+3.8%+15.4%+28.4%
BJRIownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:37 UTC0.9d-2.8%+0.5%-32.1%
OLKRownership_5pctHer Clique Inc.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:37 UTC0.9dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
BHCownership_5pctNOMURA HOLDINGS INC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:37 UTC0.9d-2.2%+22.1%+62.0%
AVBPownership_5pctINFINITUM ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:36 UTC0.9d+7.9%+28.5%-10.4%
MYGNownership_5pctDISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:36 UTC0.9d-2.8%+20.0%+28.5%
Rinsider_sale_intentROBERT FATOVIC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-2.7%-4.9%+4.4%
MBLYinsider_sale_intentOuriel Boaz2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+0.3%-6.7%-20.2%
MSTR 0.625 03/15/30new_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
SNDKnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-5.3%+8.5%+2.8%
OREURnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
GDXnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+11.6%+14.9%+15.6%
IWMnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-0.9%-0.9%-0.8%
EQIXnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+1.7%+1.2%-19.0%
CSCOnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+1.7%+2.1%-3.9%
ETSYnow_top10Elliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+3.8%+15.4%+28.4%
BMRNnow_top10Elliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-0.4%-7.8%-12.9%
IWDnow_top10Elliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+0.0%-1.3%-5.5%
IWDnew_positionElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d+0.0%-1.3%-5.5%
PSXnow_top10Elliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-6.6%-0.5%-7.2%
PSXposition_increaseElliott Investment Management2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:35 UTC0.9d-6.6%-0.5%-7.2%
DUOLinsider_sale_intentMATTHEW SKARUPPA2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:34 UTC0.9d+0.9%-10.5%-40.0%
IRDownership_5pctNantahala Capital Management, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:33 UTC0.9d+2.5%-10.0%+3.0%
MRSNownership_5pctSchonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:31 UTC0.9d+6.1%+3.4%-23.0%
RKTactivist_13dVA Partners I, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:31 UTC0.9d-1.7%-0.9%+24.9%
HLFownership_5pctNantahala Capital Management, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:31 UTC0.9d-3.1%+11.2%+20.1%
TCXownership_5pctMonega Kapitalanlagegesellschaft mbH2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:31 UTC0.8d+1.1%+4.7%-12.7%
SKYEownership_5pctSchonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:31 UTC0.8d+4.1%+10.1%+71.5%
FATEownership_5pctSchonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:30 UTC0.8d+10.9%+11.6%+2.4%
BDSXownership_5pctPERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:30 UTC0.8d+16.3%-6.1%+31.3%
TMCIownership_5pctGAGNON SECURITIES LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:30 UTC0.8d-10.0%-19.6%-5.0%
EXELinsider_sale_intentJEFFREY J HESSEKIEL2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:29 UTC0.8d-4.1%-9.5%-26.6%
AMZNinsider_sale_intentDAY 1 ACADEMIES2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:29 UTC0.8d+0.3%+3.9%+2.8%
PHGEownership_5pctAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:29 UTC0.8d-1.4%-28.3%-13.1%
CRWVownership_5pctNVIDIA CORP2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:27 UTC0.8d+30.5%+113.5%+10.8%
RBLXinsider_sale_intentMANUEL BRONSTEIN2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:26 UTC0.8d+3.8%+23.9%+37.8%
MODDownership_5pctAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:26 UTC0.8d-9.5%-19.6%-37.5%
SNAinsider_sale_intentALDO PAGLIARI2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:26 UTC0.8d-0.6%-7.3%-8.4%
ASAownership_5pctSessa Capital (Master), L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:25 UTC0.8d+12.6%+17.2%+12.0%
BKNGinsider_sale_intentGLENN D FOGEL & AMY J ROBERTS JT TEN2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:25 UTC0.8d+2.8%-0.7%-4.7%
ELUTownership_5pctAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:25 UTC0.8d+2.5%+2.4%+7.7%
RDDTinsider_sale_intentTHE XYZ REVOCABLE TRUST2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:24 UTC0.8d-8.5%+17.6%+103.7%
SFMinsider_sale_intentNeal John Scott2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:24 UTC0.8d-0.6%-5.0%-24.1%
PCTYinsider_sale_intentSTEVEN RAYMOND BEAUCHAMP2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:24 UTC0.8d-0.5%-12.5%-21.1%
Rinsider_sale_intentJOHN DIEZ2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:24 UTC0.8d-2.7%-4.9%+4.4%
ARESinsider_sale_intentBAR HOLDINGS, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:24 UTC0.8d-3.3%-2.8%+6.8%
PFGCinsider_sale_intentCRAIG HOSKINS2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:23 UTC0.8d-1.4%-3.2%+2.3%
ARESinsider_sale_intentTRENTLY HOLDINGS, LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:23 UTC0.8d-3.3%-2.8%+6.8%
ATSownership_5pctEdgePoint Investment Group Inc.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:22 UTC0.8d-5.7%+10.2%-11.1%
OTLYownership_5pctHILLHOUSE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LTD.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:22 UTC0.8d+18.6%+27.3%+64.3%
ARESinsider_sale_intentATTICUS ENTERPRISES LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:22 UTC0.8d-3.3%-2.8%+6.8%
XYZnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d+4.4%+9.3%+23.3%
SMHnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d-1.1%+5.6%+10.7%
AVGOnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d+2.6%+8.5%+25.3%
LHXnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d+5.7%+8.9%+8.9%
UBERnow_top10Appaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d-1.9%-8.2%-7.4%
UBERposition_increaseAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d-1.9%-8.2%-7.4%
AAPLnow_top10Appaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d-5.0%-8.0%-0.4%
AAPLnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d-5.0%-8.0%-0.4%
SPYXnow_top10Appaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d+0.0%-0.2%-1.2%
SPYXnew_positionAppaloosa2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:21 UTC0.8d+0.0%-0.2%-1.2%
ALGSownership_5pctAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:20 UTC0.8d-3.3%+28.4%+40.4%
UPWKinsider_sale_intentHAYDEN L BROWN2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:20 UTC0.8d-6.1%-21.9%-28.6%
EQHinsider_sale_intentMARK PEARSON2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:20 UTC0.8d-0.8%-3.3%-7.2%
Wownership_5pctAlyeska Investment Group, L.P.2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-6.1%+21.4%+89.8%
DFINinsider_sale_intentDANIEL LEIB2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+0.2%+7.0%-9.6%
NGNEownership_5pctBAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-1.4%+1.8%+3.9%
PINSnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-2.6%+5.5%+1.1%
75Zposition_increaseThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
RBAnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+1.6%-3.3%-2.9%
Tnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+1.5%-0.8%-4.4%
TLNnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+1.8%+16.2%+44.1%
CASYnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+0.3%+10.7%+1.7%
USX1new_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8dunmeasuredunmeasuredunmeasured
CSGPnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-1.4%+3.2%+4.7%
NVDAnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-0.5%+5.9%+24.6%
LPLAnow_top10Third Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-0.6%-2.2%-17.3%
APOnow_top10Third Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-6.5%-8.5%-10.9%
APOposition_increaseThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-6.5%-8.5%-10.9%
CPAYnow_top10Third Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-4.5%-6.7%-19.0%
KVUEnow_top10Third Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+0.7%-11.9%-21.7%
KVUEnew_positionThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+0.7%-11.9%-21.7%
TDSnow_top10Third Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-1.4%-5.3%+2.3%
LYVposition_increaseThird Point2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d+0.7%-2.0%0.0%
ILMNposition_increaseIcahn Carl C2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-1.4%+6.4%+10.4%
JBLUposition_increaseIcahn Carl C2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:19 UTC0.8d-0.2%-17.5%-7.6%
ITOSownership_5pctTANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:15 UTC0.8d+12.1%+27.7%+19.7%
TYRAownership_5pctVestal Point Capital, LP2025-05-15 00:00 UTC2025-05-15 20:14 UTC0.8d-4.5%-4.6%-1.6%
← Newer37801–37900 of 99,282Older →

not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.