Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,282 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,919 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNTH | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | -3.9% | -12.8% | -3.3% |
| CYH | ownership_5pct | Apollo Management Holdings GP, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -13.1% | -27.0% | -48.9% |
| TNDM | ownership_5pct | Sessa Capital (Master), L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -7.7% | -13.6% | -62.8% |
| RIVN | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT J SCARINGE | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -15.9% | -31.3% |
| PONY | ownership_5pct | Lou Tiancheng | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -33.5% | -22.8% |
| BSY | insider_sale_intent | Raymond B Bentley Generation Skipping Trust | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | +4.7% | +3.0% |
| XXII | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:12 UTC | 0.8d | -16.2% | -56.4% | -100.4% |
| MRP | ownership_5pct | Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -3.4% | +4.1% |
| CVLT | insider_sale_intent | SANJAY MIRCHANDANI | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +5.0% | -8.8% |
| MRAM | ownership_5pct | Lynrock Lake LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +3.2% | -2.7% | -10.6% |
| PONY | ownership_5pct | Peng Jun | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | -3.0% | -33.5% | -22.8% |
| CVLT | insider_sale_intent | GARY MERRILL | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +5.0% | -8.8% |
| APP | insider_sale_intent | Jansen Katie Kihorany | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -1.1% | +11.3% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | Marc Maurer | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -13.6% | -34.3% |
| SHLS | ownership_5pct | Encompass Capital Advisors LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | +7.8% | +14.6% |
| ETX | ownership_5pct | Rockefeller Capital Management L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +3.0% | -0.3% | -5.5% |
| CHWY | ownership_5pct | Holocene Advisors, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | +7.7% | -1.2% | -11.7% |
| POOL | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -3.2% | -11.6% | -10.9% |
| CB1A | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CRM | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -3.6% | -10.3% | -25.9% |
| NWS | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | -3.9% | -5.8% |
| BDX | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -3.1% | +2.1% |
| BDX | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -3.1% | +2.1% |
| ADSK | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -1.0% | -12.6% |
| QRVO | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | +0.1% | +2.3% |
| QRVO | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | -3.8% | +0.1% | +2.3% |
| KMTS | ownership_5pct | Endeavour Medtech Growth II LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -7.3% | -39.3% | -44.4% |
| PHGE | ownership_5pct | Centaurus Investments Ltd | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | -28.3% | -13.1% |
| STXS | ownership_5pct | Lagoda Investment Management, L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +9.1% | +24.5% |
| OLKR | ownership_5pct | Partum AG | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MSGM | activist_13d | Sharp Arrow Global Tech Ventures L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +9.0% | -2.0% | -4.7% |
| RLAY | ownership_5pct | COMMODORE CAPITAL LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +6.1% | +8.3% | +13.7% |
| STZ | ownership_5pct | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -3.2% | -18.5% | -24.3% |
| SEIC | insider_sale_intent | Peterson Michael | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| MMSI | insider_sale_intent | F ANN MILLNER | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | -6.6% | -22.6% |
| UTHR | insider_sale_intent | PAUL MAHON | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +3.3% | -6.6% | -6.9% |
| ALNY | insider_sale_intent | BONNEY MICHAEL W | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +4.2% | +7.6% | +50.4% |
| HTZ | new_position | Pershing Square | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | +8.4% | -13.0% | -31.4% |
| UBER | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -8.2% | -7.4% |
| UBER | new_position | Pershing Square | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -8.2% | -7.4% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | MARK PAPERMASTER | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | -3.3% | +7.9% | +40.5% |
| SFD | ownership_5pct | WH Group Ltd/ADR | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| SEI | ownership_5pct | MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +24.9% | +32.4% | +14.8% |
| WEX | ownership_5pct | PAR INVESTMENT PARTNERS LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | +1.5% | +14.1% |
| LAC | ownership_5pct | ORION RESOURCE PARTNERS (USA) LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:59 UTC | 0.8d | +3.3% | -7.7% | -5.9% |
| CLFD | ownership_5pct | MAIRS & POWER INC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:56 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | -1.8% | -28.1% |
| SPCB | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:29 UTC | 0.8d | +24.8% | +49.8% | +22.3% |
| PDSB | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | +13.8% | +13.5% | -22.5% |
| PCSA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | +4.7% | +10.2% | -17.3% |
| MKZR | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:21 UTC | 0.8d | -18.8% | -36.2% | -62.3% |
| LICYF | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:20 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| KAPA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:19 UTC | 0.8d | -5.7% | -8.0% | +78.6% |
| ANRO | ownership_5pct | K2 HealthVentures Equity Trust LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:19 UTC | 0.8d | +22.3% | -12.4% | +25.0% |
| IVP | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:17 UTC | 0.8d | -6.1% | +4.4% | -54.2% |
| CRIS | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:15 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +15.7% | -24.6% |
| CELZ | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:12 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +10.3% | +53.3% |
| CBUS | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:10 UTC | 0.8d | -7.7% | -49.1% | -60.5% |
| BKYI | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:09 UTC | 0.8d | -2.7% | -3.9% | -16.1% |
| ZVSA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:09 UTC | 0.8d | +5.8% | +21.8% | -81.1% |
| BCYC | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:08 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | -6.2% | -16.7% |
| WKSP | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:08 UTC | 0.8d | -5.3% | +3.2% | -5.3% |
| BCLI | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:07 UTC | 0.8d | -15.6% | -10.4% | -62.8% |
| STAA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:07 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | -14.0% | +35.9% |
| ANRO | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:05 UTC | 0.8d | +22.3% | -12.4% | +25.0% |
| ANGO | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:04 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | +7.5% | -16.4% |
| CRGX | ownership_5pct | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +2.0% | +5.5% | -1.3% |
| AEMD | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 19:00 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -45.6% | -102.5% |
| EVH | ownership_5pct | CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:29 UTC | 0.8d | -15.8% | -4.4% | -7.6% |
| CRTO | ownership_5pct | CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:28 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BRZE | ownership_5pct | CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:26 UTC | 0.8d | -3.3% | -27.4% | -37.8% |
| FLYW | ownership_5pct | CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:25 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -5.6% | +1.6% |
| RSKD | ownership_5pct | PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:14 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -2.4% | -20.1% |
| MOFG | ownership_5pct | PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 18:11 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | -8.6% | -13.1% |
| WH | insider_sale_intent | Ballotti Geoffrey A | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 17:43 UTC | 0.7d | -2.3% | -9.6% | -8.3% |
| MNRO | ownership_5pct | COOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 17:28 UTC | 0.7d | -4.2% | +7.3% | +6.6% |
| VRM | ownership_5pct | BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 17:13 UTC | 0.7d | -4.1% | +14.7% | -1.2% |
| PATH | ownership_5pct | BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 17:04 UTC | 0.7d | -1.7% | -4.4% | -23.3% |
| CCL | insider_sale_intent | Bernstein David | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:54 UTC | 0.7d | -2.3% | -1.0% | +20.4% |
| MNRO | ownership_5pct | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:38 UTC | 0.7d | -4.2% | +7.3% | +6.6% |
| THRD | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:37 UTC | 0.7d | +2.5% | +4.5% | -5.9% |
| AVTX | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:36 UTC | 0.7d | -1.6% | +13.8% | +121.9% |
| GWAV | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:32 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -2.0% | -19.1% |
| CAR | ownership_5pct | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:31 UTC | 0.7d | +12.5% | +16.9% | +36.1% |
| BBNX | ownership_5pct | PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:30 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | +26.4% | +10.4% |
| MCS | ownership_5pct | ORBIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:28 UTC | 0.7d | +2.3% | +0.8% | -21.1% |
| OM | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:27 UTC | 0.7d | -5.4% | -3.4% | -39.7% |
| TRML | ownership_5pct | QVT Financial LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:22 UTC | 0.7d | -5.0% | +9.2% | +24.1% |
| XPRO | ownership_5pct | EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:19 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CLV | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CLV | new_position | Scion Asset Management | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| EL | position_increase | Scion Asset Management | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | +0.3% | +14.8% | +30.2% |
| NVDA | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | +5.9% | +24.6% |
| NVDA | new_position | Scion Asset Management | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:16 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | +5.9% | +24.6% |
| BCAX | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:13 UTC | 0.7d | -33.4% | -33.7% | -30.5% |
| PMTR | ownership_5pct | Linden Capital L.P. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:12 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| USFD | insider_sale_intent | Locascio Dirk J. | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:10 UTC | 0.7d | +1.5% | -1.9% | -9.3% |
| FSLR | ownership_5pct | SUSQUEHANNA SECURITIES, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:06 UTC | 0.7d | -8.7% | -19.9% | +13.1% |
| COIN | ownership_5pct | SUSQUEHANNA SECURITIES, LLC | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:06 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | -5.3% | +10.6% |
| DRS | insider_sale_intent | Lynn William III | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:03 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | +8.4% | -7.0% |
| NOVA | ownership_5pct | Newlight Partners LP | 2025-05-15 00:00 UTC | 2025-05-15 16:01 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.