Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,465 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENG | ownership_5pct | CROSSLINK CAPITAL INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | -5.4% | -13.4% |
| OSPN | ownership_5pct | Global X Management CO LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:45 UTC | 0.9d | -14.6% | -10.6% | -14.6% |
| ANY | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:44 UTC | 0.9d | -10.2% | -29.2% | +17.6% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | Peterson Douglas L. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:43 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -1.5% | -1.0% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT SMALL | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:42 UTC | 0.9d | +5.5% | +12.8% | +13.2% |
| UPB | ownership_5pct | Decheng Capital Global Life Sciences Fund IV, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:38 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | +9.0% | +10.2% |
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | ANUTTHARA BHARADWAJ | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:37 UTC | 0.9d | -7.1% | -19.9% | -29.6% |
| MBIO | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:31 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -42.0% | -56.4% |
| IPDN | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:30 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -20.9% | -53.7% |
| INTS | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:29 UTC | 0.9d | +7.3% | +0.8% | -77.8% |
| GLBS | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | +7.1% | +2.2% | -16.8% |
| DPRO | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | -18.9% | +5.6% | -40.1% |
| BTAI | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:27 UTC | 0.9d | -17.9% | +11.7% | -34.1% |
| BPTH | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:26 UTC | 0.9d | -18.7% | -7.0% | -2.5% |
| UPC | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | -29.5% | +3.9% |
| ARWR | activist_13d | Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -17.1% | -20.6% |
| FBLA | ownership_5pct | PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | +1.5% | +8.7% | +3.9% |
| CSAN | ownership_5pct | BlackRock, Inc. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:21 UTC | 0.9d | -6.6% | +9.8% | -0.1% |
| COIN | ownership_5pct | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:19 UTC | 0.9d | -16.9% | -21.1% | +2.2% |
| RNAZ | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -57.1% | -85.7% | -95.3% |
| TTAN | ownership_5pct | Battery Ventures XI-A, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -3.9% | +1.8% | +30.8% |
| SEDG | ownership_5pct | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | +13.4% | +7.5% | +25.1% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | -11.2% | -8.1% |
| IREN | ownership_5pct | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:13 UTC | 0.9d | -29.5% | -37.2% | -31.7% |
| TTC | ownership_5pct | KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:12 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -5.3% | -4.1% |
| TTAN | ownership_5pct | 15 Angels II LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | -3.9% | +1.8% | +30.8% |
| GUTS | ownership_5pct | BVP VII SPECIAL OPPORTUNITY FUND LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -10.4% | +41.0% |
| MRKR | ownership_5pct | Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -9.9% | -25.6% |
| FSCO | ownership_5pct | Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +10.1% | +8.4% |
| XRTX | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:04 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | +18.1% | +3.4% |
| OSS | ownership_5pct | BARCLAYS PLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | -6.3% | -25.5% | -29.5% |
| CBLL | ownership_5pct | Red Tree GP, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:02 UTC | 0.9d | +19.1% | +1.2% | -16.4% |
| VRCA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -8.2% | -9.8% |
| AKTX | ownership_5pct | Huh Hoyoung | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -6.8% | +31.4% | +27.9% |
| HIT | ownership_5pct | Johnson Tim Donald | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | +10.7% | -81.4% | -87.5% |
| HIT | ownership_5pct | Qian LinLin | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | +10.7% | -81.4% | -87.5% |
| SION | ownership_5pct | VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -12.0% | -23.5% | -25.2% |
| TISI | ownership_5pct | BARCLAYS PLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | -12.2% | +18.6% |
| TOON | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:57 UTC | 0.9d | -7.5% | +1.5% | +34.1% |
| SNTI | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | -8.1% | -7.2% | -21.0% |
| RSF | ownership_5pct | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +6.4% | +2.4% |
| SHPH | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | -8.4% | -32.3% | -67.1% |
| FLWS | ownership_5pct | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | -11.1% | -26.9% | -44.4% |
| QNRX | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | +3.9% | -23.9% |
| DXLG | ownership_5pct | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | -7.5% | -12.6% | -54.7% |
| BOW | ownership_5pct | AMERICAN FAMILY MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANY, S.I. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +7.8% | +23.7% | +23.7% |
| DAN | ownership_5pct | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -7.7% | -1.5% |
| MBLY | ownership_5pct | MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | -12.1% | -15.8% | -14.3% |
| PTN | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:49 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| LAZ | insider_sale_intent | JACOBS KENNETH M | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:49 UTC | 0.9d | -7.7% | -7.6% | -12.4% |
| MYNZ | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -10.3% | -21.6% | -60.7% |
| MTVA | ownership_5pct | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | +3.6% | -55.2% |
| ELMD | insider_sale_intent | SKARVAN KATHLEEN | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:45 UTC | 0.9d | -6.6% | -9.7% | -23.1% |
| PCG 6 12/01/27 A | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PCG 4.25 12/01/27 | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| 75Z | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PRMB | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | +5.8% | +5.3% | -0.5% |
| DFSEUR | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| WDAY | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | +2.3% | +5.3% |
| EQT | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -6.4% | +6.9% | +6.0% |
| FTV | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -0.6% | -8.7% |
| CRS | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | -0.1% | +17.1% |
| COF | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -7.6% | -0.2% |
| TMO | new_position | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | +6.4% | -18.4% |
| TSLA | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -11.7% | -26.1% | -1.0% |
| TDS | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -7.2% | -4.7% | -11.5% |
| FERG | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | -4.0% | +1.7% |
| LPLA | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -5.2% | +3.9% |
| J | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| BN | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| META | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | -11.2% | -8.1% |
| RBRK | ownership_5pct | Nithrakashyap Arvind | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:44 UTC | 0.9d | -15.4% | -1.9% | +13.5% |
| RBRK | ownership_5pct | Sinha Bipul | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | -15.4% | -1.9% | +13.5% |
| CAE | activist_13d | CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PTEN | insider_sale_intent | Drummond Robert Wayne Jr | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:41 UTC | 0.9d | -8.0% | +1.0% | -31.6% |
| ADCT | ownership_5pct | ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | +15.6% | +41.7% |
| SERA | activist_13d | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +10.5% | +13.1% | -38.2% |
| RAPT | ownership_5pct | ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +3.1% | -16.9% |
| IKT | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -11.0% | +2.3% | -25.6% |
| SNTI | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -8.1% | -7.2% | -21.0% |
| ASPS | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | +25.9% | +17.0% |
| APYX | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -20.1% | +1.8% |
| EB | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -24.1% | -32.2% |
| RUN | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -17.6% | +29.9% |
| IKNA | ownership_5pct | Deep Track Capital, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -4.9% | -22.6% |
| HNI | insider_sale_intent | Bridges Marshall H | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | -3.1% | 0.0% |
| GRO | ownership_5pct | BHARTI STALIN | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -14.2% | +27.2% | -46.1% |
| NRIX | ownership_5pct | Deep Track Capital, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -9.7% | -40.7% |
| SNTI | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Partners Limited Partnership | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -8.1% | -7.2% | -21.0% |
| KRUS | ownership_5pct | 12 West Capital Management LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -17.5% | -29.1% | -18.4% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Chesky Brian | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -9.0% | -14.3% | -12.5% |
| MRP | activist_13d | MILLER STUART A | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | +16.4% | +27.8% |
| MRP | activist_13d | MP Alpha Holdings LLLP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | +16.4% | +27.8% |
| CCTG | ownership_5pct | CCSC Investment Ltd | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -16.8% | -2.5% | -39.2% |
| FVR | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | -10.1% | -29.6% |
| QNCX | ownership_5pct | Sofinnova Partners SAS | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | +3.7% | -30.2% |
| ELVA | ownership_5pct | Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | +16.5% | +35.5% |
| STRW | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +11.5% | -11.0% |
| UHAL | position_increase | Trian Fund Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:27 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | -6.5% | -10.4% |
| MRKR | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -9.9% | -25.6% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.