Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,465 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAIR | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -9.0% | -16.6% | -45.3% |
| UPB | ownership_5pct | TCG Crossover GP I, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | +9.0% | +10.2% |
| EQH | insider_sale_intent | MARK PEARSON | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +2.7% | -0.4% |
| SMC | insider_sale_intent | J. HEATH DENEKE | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | -8.7% | -35.7% |
| TRAW | ownership_5pct | Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -28.0% | -38.0% | -71.1% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | THE AF LIVING TRUST | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -7.0% | -2.8% | -2.2% |
| FBRX | ownership_5pct | ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -13.7% | -30.2% | -30.8% |
| QLYS | insider_sale_intent | SUMEDH THAKAR | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -7.5% | -3.3% | -4.9% |
| ELVA | ownership_5pct | Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | +16.5% | +35.5% |
| FAF | insider_sale_intent | GILMORE DENNIS J | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +4.5% | +10.2% | -1.6% |
| DDOG | insider_sale_intent | 2019 Shah Family Trust | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -9.2% | -12.8% | -8.4% |
| JCI | insider_sale_intent | GEORGE R OLIVER SR. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -1.3% | +10.9% |
| IPI | insider_sale_intent | INTREPID PRODUCTION CORPORATION | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | +16.7% | +37.0% |
| BALL | insider_sale_intent | Participayoes lndustriais do Nordeste S.A. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +6.3% | +11.6% | +11.8% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | IRIE FOUNDATION | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -5.1% | -5.6% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | STEVEN RAYMOND BEAUCHAMP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -5.1% | -5.6% |
| CSCO | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD SCOTT HERREN | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | +1.9% | +2.1% |
| DBI | ownership_5pct | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -9.2% | -16.9% | -26.7% |
| CVNA | insider_sale_intent | MARK JENKINS | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -19.3% | -30.9% | +9.7% |
| ROKU | insider_sale_intent | THE WOOD REVOCABLE TRUST U/A DTD 12/01/2017 | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | -7.7% | -17.4% | -23.6% |
| CSCO | insider_sale_intent | CHARLES ROBBINS | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | +1.9% | +2.1% |
| NU | insider_sale_intent | GUILHERME MARQUES DO LAGO | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -14.4% | -4.5% | -0.8% |
| CARR | insider_sale_intent | Kyle Crockett | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | +8.9% | +16.7% |
| VWFB | ownership_5pct | Van Wert Federal Savings Bank Employee Stock Ownership Plan Trust | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -3.6% | -20.4% |
| WOLF 0.25 02/15/28 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| WOLF 1.875 12/01/29 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CRMD | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | +10.4% | +22.4% |
| XOP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -1.9% | +3.7% | -7.2% |
| NVDA | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -6.3% | -8.4% | -0.3% |
| XLI | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.6% | +6.8% |
| XLI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.6% | +6.8% |
| NDQ | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VIK | ownership_5pct | Select Equity Group, L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | -15.4% | -6.8% |
| PX | ownership_5pct | Souder Family LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| AVR | ownership_5pct | PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -14.3% | -21.0% | -51.5% |
| CADL | ownership_5pct | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | -9.1% | +0.7% | -37.7% |
| CCL | insider_sale_intent | Bernstein David | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | -4.9% | -10.9% | -6.7% |
| PRVA | insider_sale_intent | Mountcastle David | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | +1.7% | +2.3% |
| FROG | insider_sale_intent | Landman Yoav | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -9.7% | -11.2% | +3.9% |
| KROS | ownership_5pct | ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +6.1% | +15.4% | +36.0% |
| ADPT | insider_sale_intent | Chad Robins | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | -1.3% | +13.7% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | TOBY WILLIAMS | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -5.1% | -5.6% |
| C | insider_sale_intent | MARK A.L. MASON | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -4.8% | -8.3% | -6.9% |
| RDDT | ownership_5pct | COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -11.7% | -34.0% | -39.9% |
| IMVT | insider_sale_intent | MARK S LEVINE | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -2.1% | -27.0% |
| ICHR | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS M ROHRS | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -7.7% | -11.3% | -44.4% |
| CMPX | ownership_5pct | MPM BioImpact LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -21.5% | -31.0% |
| MRP | activist_13d | LENNAR CORP /NEW/ | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | +16.4% | +27.8% |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | Perotti Daniel Stanley | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +3.8% | +5.0% | +1.5% |
| FBIN | ownership_5pct | HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | +0.6% | -17.4% |
| ATMU | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | +4.9% | -0.8% |
| HOOD | insider_sale_intent | JASON WARNICK | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -21.2% | -21.9% | +8.8% |
| VRNOF | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -18.8% | -22.0% |
| MHN | ownership_5pct | Karpus Management, Inc. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +4.0% | -1.5% |
| CRLBF | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | -11.5% | -16.9% |
| MOGO | ownership_5pct | Amplify ETF Trust | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | -11.6% | -4.9% | +11.9% |
| BYON | ownership_5pct | Amplify ETF Trust | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -13.9% | -35.8% | -22.4% |
| TDTH | ownership_5pct | Lee Soon Tai | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| TDTH | ownership_5pct | Lim Soon Huat | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| NRIX | ownership_5pct | COMMODORE CAPITAL LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | -9.7% | -40.7% |
| GTBIF | ownership_5pct | EMINENCE CAPITAL, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | -2.0% | -15.9% |
| YXT | ownership_5pct | HSG Holding Ltd | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -36.3% | -43.5% |
| KLC | ownership_5pct | Partners Group Holding AG | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -9.5% | -39.1% |
| DPZ | ownership_5pct | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +4.3% | +7.0% |
| PAG | insider_sale_intent | CLAUDE H DENKER III | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | -4.3% | +0.5% |
| PONY | ownership_5pct | HSG Venture VI Holdco, Ltd. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -3.8% | -24.2% | -5.2% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | MARK PAPERMASTER | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | +0.2% | +2.8% |
| SEG | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -13.9% | -20.7% | -31.6% |
| BIGC | ownership_5pct | Lynrock Lake LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -8.0% | -24.3% |
| IMCR | ownership_5pct | Jallal Bahija | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +5.6% | +8.6% |
| RIOT | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -16.6% | -25.4% | -20.0% |
| IJH | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| HR | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +7.9% | -5.0% |
| HR | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +7.9% | -5.0% |
| PFE | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +7.4% | +9.8% | -5.8% |
| PFE | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +7.4% | +9.8% | -5.8% |
| KVUE | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +9.1% | +14.2% | +12.5% |
| KVUE | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +9.1% | +14.2% | +12.5% |
| MTCH | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | -3.5% | -12.1% |
| FLXS | insider_sale_intent | DITTMER JERALD K | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.7% | -13.9% | -32.0% |
| ULCC | insider_sale_intent | James Dempsey | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -16.4% | -28.5% | -54.4% |
| THS | ownership_5pct | Sessa Capital (Master), L.P. | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +8.9% | -3.7% | -20.6% |
| ATUS | ownership_5pct | Empyrean Capital Partners, LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| POOL | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +4.3% | +1.4% | -3.0% |
| DPZ | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +4.3% | +7.0% |
| CB1A | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| KR | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +3.1% | +7.6% | +8.6% |
| ASA | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:52 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | +18.4% | +16.4% |
| LAZ | insider_sale_intent | Russo Evan L | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:44 UTC | 0.9d | -7.7% | -7.6% | -12.4% |
| BPRN | ownership_5pct | SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:43 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| VIRT | insider_sale_intent | Stephen Cavoli | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:41 UTC | 0.9d | -4.2% | +6.7% | +14.8% |
| KF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:39 UTC | 0.9d | +3.2% | +8.3% | +5.8% |
| CPHC | ownership_5pct | SAMPSON RANDALL D | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | +5.3% | -0.0% | -12.4% |
| VIRX | ownership_5pct | FORWARD VENTURES V LP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +55.0% | +54.5% | -3.1% |
| ATAT | ownership_5pct | OLP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Ltd | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -5.1% | +4.0% | -1.7% |
| IGT | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| EGHT | ownership_5pct | Boston Partners | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | -11.6% | -20.4% | -39.4% |
| ENS | insider_sale_intent | Shaffer David M | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +3.9% | +3.6% | +0.1% |
| ITRG | ownership_5pct | GMT CAPITAL CORP | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | -9.2% | +4.8% | +36.8% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | CANO NESTOR | 2025-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-02-14 20:04 UTC | 0.8d | +5.6% | +6.1% | -4.5% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.