Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,470 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | HAAS ALESIA J | 2024-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 14:55 UTC | 0.6d | -5.6% | -13.7% | -30.0% |
| WT | insider_sale_intent | Ziemba Peter M | 2024-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 14:34 UTC | 0.6d | +3.5% | -8.4% | -22.2% |
| SRDX | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2024-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 13:37 UTC | 0.6d | -0.8% | +1.5% | -13.6% |
| VBFC | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2024-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 13:37 UTC | 0.6d | -1.6% | +0.3% | -0.9% |
| NCI | insider_sale_intent | Neo-concept (BVI) Ltd | 2024-11-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 11:21 UTC | 0.5d | -23.5% | -26.5% | -26.2% |
| CPSS | insider_sale_intent | William B. Roberts | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 02:26 UTC | 1.1d | -1.0% | +3.5% | -2.6% |
| KVYO | insider_sale_intent | Summit Partners Growth Equity Fund IX-B, L.P. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 02:20 UTC | 1.1d | +5.5% | +21.1% | +18.0% |
| KVYO | insider_sale_intent | Summit Partners Growth Equity Fund IX-A, L.P. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 02:15 UTC | 1.1d | +5.5% | +21.1% | +18.0% |
| KVYO | insider_sale_intent | Summit Partners Co-Invest (Kiwi), LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 02:12 UTC | 1.1d | +5.5% | +21.1% | +18.0% |
| CAVA | insider_sale_intent | Theodoros J Xenohristos | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 02:11 UTC | 1.1d | +2.3% | -14.3% | -23.7% |
| DSP | insider_sale_intent | Lawrence Madden | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 01:03 UTC | 1.0d | +3.5% | +11.1% | +17.2% |
| KF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 00:54 UTC | 1.0d | +1.7% | -2.7% | +6.6% |
| STVN | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 00:54 UTC | 1.0d | +10.5% | +26.8% | +15.3% |
| ASA | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 00:53 UTC | 1.0d | -3.5% | -3.4% | +22.2% |
| SCSC | insider_sale_intent | BAUR MICHAEL L | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-15 00:07 UTC | 1.0d | +3.3% | -0.2% | -27.0% |
| TWN | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:41 UTC | 1.0d | -1.3% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | ADAMS STREET CO-INVESTMENT FUND II LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:30 UTC | 1.0d | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| SWZ | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:25 UTC | 1.0d | -2.6% | -3.5% | +11.2% |
| GF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:24 UTC | 1.0d | -4.7% | -3.5% | +3.9% |
| CAF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:23 UTC | 1.0d | -5.6% | -2.3% | -0.8% |
| MXF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:22 UTC | 1.0d | -3.7% | -2.0% | +4.6% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | ADAMS STREET 2008 DIRECT FUND LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:22 UTC | 1.0d | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| MCS | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:22 UTC | 1.0d | -0.4% | -3.0% | -5.3% |
| HD | insider_sale_intent | Padilla Hector A | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:22 UTC | 1.0d | +1.2% | -2.6% | -7.4% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | Adams Street 2007 Direct Fund L P | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:20 UTC | 1.0d | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| EZPW | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:19 UTC | 1.0d | +4.0% | -2.5% | +11.6% |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | ADAMS STREET 2006 DIRECT FUND LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:19 UTC | 1.0d | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| HD | insider_sale_intent | Roseborough Teresa Wynn | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:10 UTC | 1.0d | +1.2% | -2.6% | -7.4% |
| HD | insider_sale_intent | Campbell Ann Marie | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:04 UTC | 1.0d | +1.2% | -2.6% | -7.4% |
| IIF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 23:02 UTC | 1.0d | +0.6% | +1.8% | -8.1% |
| JOF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:55 UTC | 0.9d | -1.2% | +1.1% | +4.7% |
| JEQ | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:46 UTC | 0.9d | -1.7% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| DKNG | insider_sale_intent | Matthew Kalish | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:39 UTC | 0.9d | +6.5% | -1.0% | +19.6% |
| AEF | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:37 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | +0.9% | +6.0% |
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | ANUTTHARA BHARADWAJ | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:32 UTC | 0.9d | +6.9% | +9.2% | +19.8% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | The Lawrence Page Trust | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:29 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | +10.3% | +2.6% |
| STZ | insider_sale_intent | Newlands William A | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:29 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -5.0% | -31.6% |
| FRHC | insider_sale_intent | Yerdessov Azamat | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:28 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +9.4% | +28.0% |
| GRAB | insider_sale_intent | SUTHEN THOMAS PARADATHETH8 SINARAN DR | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | +5.5% | +5.5% | -3.4% |
| STZ | insider_sale_intent | Sabia James A. Jr. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -5.0% | -31.6% |
| MSI | insider_sale_intent | Gregory Q Brown | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -8.5% | -15.5% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | STAGGS THOMAS O | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +0.3% | +34.4% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | The Lawrence Page Trust II | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:23 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | +10.3% | +2.6% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Sutphen Mona | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +0.3% | +34.4% |
| GOOGL | insider_sale_intent | The Lawrence Page Trust III | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | +10.3% | +2.6% |
| IBOC | insider_sale_intent | DENNIS NIXON | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:13 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | -7.5% | -10.8% |
| WWD | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS G CROMWELL | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:13 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | -1.2% | +7.8% |
| TPIC | ownership_5pct | Erste Asset Management GmbH | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | -8.6% | -47.9% | -37.3% |
| PLNT | insider_sale_intent | JENNIFER SIMMONS | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:05 UTC | 0.9d | +4.9% | +3.7% | +0.0% |
| SLGN | insider_sale_intent | ALLOTT ANTHONY J | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:04 UTC | 0.9d | +3.9% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
| CLB | ownership_5pct | DISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | +7.3% | -5.2% | -18.1% |
| PASG | ownership_5pct | Erste Asset Management GmbH | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:01 UTC | 0.9d | -4.4% | +26.0% | +1.4% |
| VERX | insider_sale_intent | DeStefano David | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | +8.0% | +5.7% | -12.0% |
| DYN | insider_sale_intent | ForDyne B.V. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:59 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | -11.0% | -55.3% |
| FULC | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +6.5% | +47.9% | +23.6% |
| APRE | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -13.1% | -0.4% | -17.2% |
| STKS | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +11.9% | -6.8% | -0.3% |
| PTON | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +21.4% | +33.2% | +12.2% |
| TELA | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -8.7% | -7.3% |
| TITN | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +3.2% | -1.1% | +29.2% |
| BNTC | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | +16.4% | +3.8% |
| VSTM | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +12.1% | +35.0% |
| XTNT | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -9.7% | -18.8% | +33.1% |
| EHTH | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +57.9% | +113.2% |
| CLMT | insider_sale_intent | Straumins Jennifer | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +0.1% | -30.5% |
| EVR | insider_sale_intent | HYMAN EDWARD S | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | -6.0% | -18.5% |
| AUR | insider_sale_intent | GREYLOCK 15 LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | +28.4% | +58.4% | +62.0% |
| ALRM | ownership_5pct | DISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +10.2% | -3.4% |
| CRMD | insider_sale_intent | Hurlburt Elizabeth | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:42 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -20.5% | +0.2% |
| CRAI | insider_sale_intent | Paul A. Maleh | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | +8.0% | +9.0% |
| MTCH | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| MTCH | new_position | Starboard Value | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| ADSK | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +5.7% | -1.9% | -7.3% |
| ADSK | new_position | Starboard Value | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +5.7% | -1.9% | -7.3% |
| STZ | insider_sale_intent | Sabia James A. Jr. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -5.0% | -31.6% |
| CTRI | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -3.5% | -8.1% |
| BYD | insider_sale_intent | BOYD WILLIAM S | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | -1.8% | -0.9% | +5.3% |
| SHOP | insider_sale_intent | KASRA NEJATIAN | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:27 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | +7.0% | +9.3% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | SIEVERT G MICHAEL | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -9.2% | +8.5% |
| EXLS | insider_sale_intent | Kapoor Rohit | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | -1.2% | +8.3% |
| RGTI | insider_sale_intent | Bessemer Venture Partners X L.P. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +21.7% | +686.2% | +708.9% |
| DBX | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW HOUSTON REVOCABLE TRUST | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | +1.8% | +10.7% | +13.3% |
| CVX | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL K WIRTH | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -10.5% | -4.1% |
| QLYS | insider_sale_intent | SUMEDH THAKAR | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +3.7% | -2.9% | -8.8% |
| SHOP | insider_sale_intent | Tobyn Shannan | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | +7.0% | +9.3% |
| SEG | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -11.8% | -21.0% |
| SEG | new_position | Pershing Square | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -11.8% | -21.0% |
| NKE | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| BN | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| RGTI | insider_sale_intent | Bessemer Venture Partners X Institutional L.P. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +21.7% | +686.2% | +708.9% |
| INSG | activist_13d | North Sound Trading, LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -10.5% | +0.8% |
| CWST | insider_sale_intent | CASELLA JOHN W | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | -3.2% | +4.0% |
| CDRE | insider_sale_intent | Nicolas Sokolow | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +6.7% | +3.2% |
| CCO | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | -10.8% | -15.4% |
| HE | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +1.5% | -4.1% | +2.2% |
| TDS | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.5% | +5.2% | +22.8% |
| AKX | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CVS | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.4% | -20.4% | +19.3% |
| TSLA | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +8.3% | +46.5% | +6.0% |
| CRS | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.1% | -4.8% | +14.1% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.