Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,470 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,934 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPLA | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +2.4% | +1.7% | +16.3% |
| FERG | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | -10.6% | -14.3% |
| BN | new_position | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| LYV | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.1% | +3.7% | +13.5% |
| LYV | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.1% | +3.7% | +13.5% |
| ICE | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -4.7% | +3.0% |
| ICE | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -4.7% | +3.0% |
| SMPL | insider_sale_intent | Ratzan Brian K. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +4.6% | +5.1% | -3.5% |
| MDB | insider_sale_intent | Gordon Michael Lawrence | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +17.2% | -8.4% | -0.9% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Soderstrom Gustav | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +0.3% | +34.4% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | McCARTHY BARRY | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +0.3% | +34.4% |
| KVYO | insider_sale_intent | Chaves Allen | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | +19.6% | +21.3% |
| SOLV | ownership_5pct | 3M CO | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | -1.5% | +5.8% |
| IPI | ownership_5pct | GATE CITY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | -15.5% | -7.5% |
| SRTA | insider_sale_intent | Robert S Wiesenthal | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| DVA | insider_sale_intent | Michael Staffieri | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -11.1% | -13.5% |
| POOL | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | -3.4% | -8.8% |
| DPZ | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +3.6% | +1.0% | +5.4% |
| SIRI | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.0% | -16.6% | -5.9% |
| SPOT | insider_sale_intent | Berg Katarina | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +0.3% | +34.4% |
| IQV | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +3.1% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| H | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | 0.0% | -9.2% |
| XLB | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | -6.8% | -5.8% |
| EQIX | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +2.7% | +3.9% | +0.2% |
| ALK | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | +13.9% | +35.1% |
| HLT | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -2.4% | +3.3% |
| MAR | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | +0.9% | -1.3% |
| TXN | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.2% | -9.6% | -2.4% |
| XLU | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -6.4% | -2.5% |
| WDC | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +4.1% | -0.2% | +9.0% |
| XLF | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -4.7% | -1.1% |
| LUV | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -2.5% | -10.2% |
| LUV | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -2.5% | -10.2% |
| SPY | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SPY | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WYNN | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -1.8% | -1.5% |
| LVS | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | +8.7% | -10.2% |
| NRA | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VST | new_position | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +12.2% | -4.8% | +10.4% |
| LYFT | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -9.0% | -25.9% | -30.3% |
| LYFT | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -9.0% | -25.9% | -30.3% |
| JD | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | +3.3% | +13.1% |
| JD | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | +3.3% | +13.1% |
| PDD | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -13.9% | -13.3% | +4.6% |
| EXPE | insider_sale_intent | Soliday Lance A | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | -3.6% | +8.6% |
| SCHW | insider_sale_intent | Crawford Peter B. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:56 UTC | 0.9d | -0.9% | -8.0% | -2.7% |
| FTRE | ownership_5pct | BECK MACK & OLIVER LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | -0.8% | -23.8% |
| TWN | activist_13d | PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF OHIO | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | -1.3% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
| AI | ownership_5pct | Voya Financial, Inc. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:37 UTC | 0.9d | +42.3% | +61.7% | +10.5% |
| UNM | insider_sale_intent | O HANLEY RONALD P | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | +1.9% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| PAM | insider_sale_intent | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +9.5% | +15.6% | +2.1% |
| SDHC | ownership_5pct | BECK MACK & OLIVER LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:27 UTC | 0.8d | +8.4% | +2.1% | -26.6% |
| MODD | ownership_5pct | Solas Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -20.5% | -29.7% | -51.9% |
| MTB | insider_sale_intent | Wisler Michael A. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.3% | -11.3% | -12.0% |
| GGG | insider_sale_intent | O'Shea Peter J | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 20:07 UTC | 0.8d | -0.0% | -7.0% | -6.9% |
| SILC | ownership_5pct | Kent Lake PR LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:53 UTC | 0.8d | -2.9% | +1.9% | +10.9% |
| MDRX | ownership_5pct | Kent Lake PR LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:47 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | -14.1% | -54.5% |
| UEIC | ownership_5pct | Kent Lake PR LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:39 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +2.0% | -20.4% |
| STIM | ownership_5pct | Kent Lake PR LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:32 UTC | 0.8d | +23.0% | +79.9% | +571.5% |
| VREX | ownership_5pct | SHAPIRO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:24 UTC | 0.8d | +19.8% | +7.5% | -10.8% |
| WRBY | insider_sale_intent | Warby Parker Impact Foundation | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 19:10 UTC | 0.8d | +6.1% | +10.1% | +13.4% |
| CHTR | insider_sale_intent | Rutledge Thomas | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 18:49 UTC | 0.8d | -2.0% | -7.9% | -11.4% |
| TWKS | ownership_5pct | Think Investments LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 18:44 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CHN | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 18:19 UTC | 0.8d | -7.1% | -3.6% | +3.2% |
| HCA | insider_sale_intent | Akdamar Erol R | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 18:19 UTC | 0.8d | -6.9% | -13.2% | -10.6% |
| HCA | insider_sale_intent | Billington Phillip G | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 18:17 UTC | 0.8d | -6.9% | -13.2% | -10.6% |
| SEZL | insider_sale_intent | Paradis Paul | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:53 UTC | 0.8d | +18.8% | -21.3% | -24.4% |
| QTWO | insider_sale_intent | Adams Street 2007 Direct Fund L P | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:51 UTC | 0.7d | +7.8% | +4.5% | -11.2% |
| QTWO | insider_sale_intent | ADAMS STREET 2006 DIRECT FUND LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:50 UTC | 0.7d | +7.8% | +4.5% | -11.2% |
| KYN | ownership_5pct | Voya Financial, Inc. | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:21 UTC | 0.7d | +5.0% | -6.6% | -0.1% |
| GRDN | ownership_5pct | J. Goldman & Co LP | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:14 UTC | 0.7d | +8.6% | +4.5% | -8.5% |
| NOVA | ownership_5pct | Erste Asset Management GmbH | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:10 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PXLW | ownership_5pct | BAIRD ROBERT W & CO INC /WI/ | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 17:00 UTC | 0.7d | -9.3% | -14.5% | +0.4% |
| REYN | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD A. NOLL REVOCABLE TRUST | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:59 UTC | 0.7d | +0.3% | -0.7% | -15.1% |
| AIOT | ownership_5pct | DISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:56 UTC | 0.7d | +17.8% | +13.5% | +24.7% |
| CONNQ | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | -100.7% | -3.2% | -4.5% |
| IMAX | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | +2.4% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| OPTN | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | +8.7% | +1.9% | -12.6% |
| NTCT | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | -1.9% | -0.8% | +6.6% |
| OSPN | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | +5.3% | +12.1% | +5.2% |
| FSLY | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | +21.4% | +73.6% | +17.3% |
| CGNT | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:53 UTC | 0.7d | +11.3% | +30.6% | +33.6% |
| RDWR | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:52 UTC | 0.7d | -1.2% | -3.0% | -3.1% |
| MITK | ownership_5pct | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:52 UTC | 0.7d | +3.4% | +19.8% | -0.7% |
| AVPT | insider_sale_intent | Lu Zhijian | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:36 UTC | 0.7d | +16.4% | +13.9% | +10.1% |
| AAMI | insider_sale_intent | Hart Richard Jonathan | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:36 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | -2.7% | -16.9% |
| STVN | ownership_5pct | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:14 UTC | 0.7d | +1.8% | +21.4% | +3.2% |
| GGG | insider_sale_intent | Chambers Caroline M | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:08 UTC | 0.7d | -0.0% | -7.0% | -6.9% |
| PI | insider_sale_intent | DOSSETT JEFFREY | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:02 UTC | 0.7d | +6.6% | -19.3% | -47.4% |
| HLIO | ownership_5pct | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 16:02 UTC | 0.7d | +4.8% | -3.2% | -24.2% |
| ARM | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +4.0% | +7.8% | +12.6% |
| RARE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +3.9% | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| WDC | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +4.1% | -0.2% | +9.0% |
| PCVX | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +0.3% | +0.3% | -9.6% |
| XPO | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | +5.2% | -13.7% |
| SBUX | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +2.5% | -9.6% | +11.2% |
| TRP | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +0.1% | -9.1% | -9.9% |
| SPRY | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | -1.7% | -19.2% | -20.5% |
| FCNCA | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +5.3% | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| ABCB | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-11-14 15:48 UTC | 0.7d | +1.4% | -9.3% | -11.1% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.