Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,670 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,959 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSX | insider_sale_intent | Mitchell Kevin J | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:20 UTC | 0.8d | -3.1% | -8.4% | -13.2% |
| GPGI | insider_sale_intent | Fitzsimmons Timothy Walter | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | +9.8% | +18.5% |
| FISV | insider_sale_intent | Chiarello Guy | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:19 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | +3.2% | +18.6% |
| ATR | insider_sale_intent | XIANGWEI GONG | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:18 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +2.7% | +11.6% |
| CMI | insider_sale_intent | SHARON BARNER | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | -1.0% | +13.9% |
| DVA | insider_sale_intent | Michael Staffieri | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +7.7% | -4.7% |
| INSP | insider_sale_intent | RANDALL A BAN | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | +7.9% | -15.8% |
| UPST | insider_sale_intent | Gu Paul | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | +12.7% | +0.8% | +75.7% |
| GPGI | insider_sale_intent | Maes Gregoire | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +3.1% | +9.8% | +18.5% |
| SNEX | insider_sale_intent | Nguyen Xuong | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | +1.0% | +11.6% |
| ATKR | insider_sale_intent | DAVID P JOHNSON | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +6.4% | -9.8% | -11.6% |
| PTLO | insider_sale_intent | Scarpino Nicholas Anthony | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 20:06 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | +8.8% | -12.6% |
| MA | insider_sale_intent | Mastercard Foundation | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:56 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | +5.3% | +3.8% |
| PEG | insider_sale_intent | Linde Tamara Louise | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:40 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +4.3% | +1.4% |
| SKY | insider_sale_intent | LYALL JONATHAN WADE | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:38 UTC | 0.8d | +2.8% | +4.4% | +2.0% |
| ELS | insider_sale_intent | Waite Patrick | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:27 UTC | 0.8d | -1.4% | +4.2% | -4.8% |
| IR | insider_sale_intent | Reynal Vicente | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:25 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +1.7% | +5.8% |
| LCII | insider_sale_intent | GERO JAMES | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:18 UTC | 0.8d | +4.3% | +5.7% | -6.0% |
| PGR | insider_sale_intent | Murphy John Jo | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:18 UTC | 0.8d | +0.9% | +7.3% | +1.8% |
| PEGA | insider_sale_intent | TREFLER ALAN | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:13 UTC | 0.8d | +1.5% | -4.1% | +22.4% |
| PH | insider_sale_intent | Joseph Scaminace Revocable Trust U/A DTD 04/22/2002, Joseph Scaminace Trustee | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 19:07 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | +2.4% | +12.8% |
| CAH | insider_sale_intent | Mayer Jessica L | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 18:46 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | -0.2% | +3.5% |
| QRVO | insider_sale_intent | BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 17:21 UTC | 0.7d | +2.5% | -11.6% | -47.7% |
| QRVO | insider_sale_intent | Brown Grant | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 16:58 UTC | 0.7d | +2.5% | -11.6% | -47.7% |
| APA | insider_sale_intent | Rabun Daniel Wayne | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 16:38 UTC | 0.7d | -4.1% | -15.3% | -29.3% |
| MBIN | insider_sale_intent | Rogers Mary H. | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 16:38 UTC | 0.7d | +4.8% | +2.7% | -14.7% |
| CRWD | insider_sale_intent | Henry Shawn | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 16:31 UTC | 0.7d | +2.0% | +0.8% | +23.8% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | HAAS ALESIA J | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 16:25 UTC | 0.7d | +1.6% | -22.5% | +28.4% |
| NWSA | insider_sale_intent | PANUCCIO SUSAN | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 15:27 UTC | 0.6d | +1.3% | -5.1% | -0.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | DE WILD TAMARA F. | 2024-08-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-15 11:07 UTC | 0.5d | -1.7% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| ALKT | insider_sale_intent | ALEX SHOOTMAN | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 22:39 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | -5.2% | +12.3% |
| SCI | insider_sale_intent | THOMAS L RYAN | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 22:29 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| NU | insider_sale_intent | Rua California Ltd. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 22:07 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +6.3% | +5.2% |
| VSAT | insider_sale_intent | WP Triton Co-Invest, L.P. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -23.9% | -63.0% |
| DFH | insider_sale_intent | Zalupski Patrick O. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +7.0% | +19.1% | -9.0% |
| BEKE | insider_sale_intent | BLOSSOM SOUTH LIMITED | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -13.7% | +23.4% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Brian Armstrong | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -19.8% | +36.1% |
| RBLX | insider_sale_intent | Michael Guthrie | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | +6.5% | +12.4% | +22.9% |
| WMS | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL HUEBERT | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:34 UTC | 0.9d | +4.7% | -2.1% | -19.0% |
| THC | insider_sale_intent | Sutaria Saumya | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +2.9% | +4.3% | -3.3% |
| GPGI | insider_sale_intent | Gourbault Amanda Mandy | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +4.2% | +10.3% | +16.3% |
| EXPE | insider_sale_intent | Dzielak Robert J | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:57 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +0.9% | +28.1% |
| PWR | insider_sale_intent | Austin Earl C. Jr. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:56 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -0.4% | +13.7% |
| FIX | insider_sale_intent | BRIAN E LANE | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:55 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | +2.0% | +23.9% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:55 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -2.4% | -0.3% |
| LAD | insider_sale_intent | DEBOER SIDNEY B | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:54 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -5.7% | +20.4% |
| NU | insider_sale_intent | Olivier Vitor Guarino | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:53 UTC | 0.9d | +2.5% | +6.3% | +5.2% |
| ACVA | insider_sale_intent | Bessemer Venture Partners IX Institutional L.P. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:52 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | +3.2% | -1.1% |
| MSI | insider_sale_intent | BROWN GREGORY Q | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | +3.5% | +9.7% |
| INTA | insider_sale_intent | THAD JAMPOL | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:48 UTC | 0.9d | +7.3% | +16.9% | +36.0% |
| ACVA | insider_sale_intent | Bessemer Venture Partners IX L.P. | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:48 UTC | 0.9d | -4.5% | +3.2% | -1.1% |
| WAB | insider_sale_intent | Gebhardt Eric | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:44 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +5.8% | +17.4% |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | MAZZELLA JOSEPH F | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:39 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +17.1% | -3.5% |
| VKTX | insider_sale_intent | SINGLETON J MATTHEW | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | +12.3% | +15.9% | -11.7% |
| TRGP | insider_sale_intent | PBHTWO LP ,LPC/O JEP GP, L.L.C. &JBP GP, L.L.C. PARTNERS | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:35 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +3.7% | +27.4% |
| BLTE | insider_sale_intent | Hao-Yuan Chuang | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -2.6% | -4.0% | +56.5% |
| TRGP | insider_sale_intent | JOE BOB PERKINS AND JEANNE E. PERKINS | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:31 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +3.7% | +27.4% |
| CTRI | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +2.3% | +8.4% | +19.1% |
| CZR | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -2.5% | +4.1% | -2.8% |
| CZR | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -2.5% | +4.1% | -2.8% |
| AEP | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | +6.9% | -10.7% |
| BLTE | insider_sale_intent | Yu-Hsin Lin | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -4.0% | +56.5% |
| HOOD | insider_sale_intent | BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR BHATT LIVING TR U/T/A DTD 11/30/2017 | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | +1.2% | +11.8% | +54.9% |
| GTLB | insider_sale_intent | SYTSE SIJBRANDIJ REVOCABLE TRUST | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +2.4% | +15.9% | +27.7% |
| TRGP | insider_sale_intent | Muraro Robert | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | -0.6% | +3.7% | +27.4% |
| FTNT | insider_sale_intent | KEN QING XIE | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +0.9% | +2.2% | +25.0% |
| PLTR | insider_sale_intent | DAVID GLAZER | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:25 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +14.5% | +86.1% |
| SIG | insider_sale_intent | OEYSAN LTD | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.9% | +15.8% | +17.3% |
| DT | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +1.9% | +3.6% | +1.3% |
| MU | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -3.1% | -20.3% | -14.8% |
| MSCI | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | 0.0% | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| HES | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -6.8% | -3.2% |
| LYV | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +1.1% | +5.7% | +26.2% |
| ROP | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | +0.1% | -3.7% |
| KBH | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +6.3% | -10.2% |
| CNK | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +3.0% | +5.4% | +11.6% |
| UBER | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +0.2% | -3.4% | -10.5% |
| APH | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -6.0% | +1.5% |
| TSM | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -4.9% | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| TSM | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -4.9% | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| AAPL | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -5.5% | -8.0% |
| AAPL | new_position | Third Point | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:23 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -5.5% | -8.0% |
| BR | insider_sale_intent | CHRISTOPHER J PERRY | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:22 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.7% |
| SCI | insider_sale_intent | TAMMY MOORE | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| PK | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +3.7% | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| HST | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +3.5% | +4.5% | +2.5% |
| W 3.5 11/15/28 | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ARM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | +4.3% | -4.8% |
| SNAP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -1.1% | +1.9% | +11.2% |
| UAL | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -3.4% | +18.6% | +102.1% |
| LBRDK | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -4.9% | -4.0% | +38.4% |
| AAL | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | +5.4% | +30.5% |
| BHP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | +2.8% | -6.2% |
| GDX | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +3.4% | +5.2% | -12.9% |
| LUV | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.9% | +6.4% | +14.4% |
| IWM | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | +0.9% | +3.0% |
| ETSY | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | -1.5% | -8.9% |
| RSP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +1.7% | -0.1% |
| MTCH | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -3.1% | -22.1% |
| MTCH | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +1.6% | -3.1% | -22.1% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.