Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
99,670 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,959 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | +0.4% | -9.0% |
| FTRE | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -5.1% | -5.0% | -13.4% |
| NWSA | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | -6.8% | -3.3% |
| NWSA | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +0.4% | -6.8% | -3.3% |
| CRM | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -4.0% | +21.9% |
| GLYC | ownership_5pct | Weinstein Benjamin | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:13 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| PCTY | insider_sale_intent | TOBY WILLIAMS | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:11 UTC | 0.8d | -2.4% | -1.1% | +27.4% |
| RTO | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -22.2% | -26.5% |
| RTO | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +1.4% | -22.2% | -26.5% |
| UHAL | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | +4.2% | -5.1% |
| UHAL | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | +4.2% | -5.1% |
| UHAL/B | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| UHAL/B | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SOLV | now_top10 | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | +20.2% | +10.7% |
| SOLV | new_position | Trian Fund Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:10 UTC | 0.8d | +1.0% | +20.2% | +10.7% |
| APH | insider_sale_intent | CRAIG LAMPO | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:09 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -6.0% | +1.5% |
| REGN | insider_sale_intent | MURPHY ANDREW J | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -3.7% | -39.9% |
| HEI/A | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ULTA | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | +1.7% | +4.7% | -3.7% |
| SIRIEUR | position_increase | Berkshire Hathaway | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RYAN | insider_sale_intent | Jeremiah Brickham | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:03 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | -1.8% | +3.1% |
| BEKE | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -2.5% | -13.7% | +23.4% |
| NVDA | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.1% | -6.7% | +10.8% |
| LYFT | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +5.5% | +6.3% | +56.2% |
| KWEB | position_increase | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | -5.1% | +7.0% |
| FXI | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.3% | -1.1% | +8.8% |
| ADBE | now_top10 | Appaloosa | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.0% | -7.7% | -12.2% |
| NKE | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -4.6% | -15.1% |
| NKE | new_position | Pershing Square | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -4.6% | -15.1% |
| BN | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +6.8% | +15.8% |
| BN | new_position | Pershing Square | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +6.8% | +15.8% |
| CMG | position_increase | Pershing Square | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | -1.5% | +5.1% | +1.5% |
| BSY | insider_sale_intent | Keith A Bentley 2012 Gift Trust FBO Jennifer Frank | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 19:57 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -2.9% | -11.2% |
| RGP | insider_sale_intent | MURRAY DONALD B | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 19:51 UTC | 0.8d | -2.2% | -2.7% | -21.4% |
| EXLS | insider_sale_intent | Kapoor Rohit | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 19:09 UTC | 0.8d | -0.8% | +0.2% | +20.7% |
| TBRG | activist_13d | Ocho Investments LLC | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 18:52 UTC | 0.8d | -1.8% | -3.5% | +16.1% |
| BLTE | insider_sale_intent | Chiu, Ching Chen | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 18:38 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -4.0% | +56.5% |
| GEHC | insider_sale_intent | Kenneth Stacherski | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:57 UTC | 0.8d | -1.7% | -0.2% | -9.6% |
| MDB | insider_sale_intent | Gordon Michael Lawrence | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:56 UTC | 0.8d | -1.6% | +14.7% | +12.5% |
| CUBE | insider_sale_intent | MARTIN TIMOTHY M | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:39 UTC | 0.7d | +3.2% | +10.4% | -7.3% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | DAVID E O'REILLY TTEE DAVID E O'REILLY TRUST | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:05 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | AUSTIN AND DAVID O'REILLY TTEE U/A/D 8-21-2003, AS AMENDED AUSTIN DAVID LEE O'REILLY | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:05 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | LINDSAY FRENCH, DAVID O'REILLY TTEE U/A/D 08-21-2003 AS AMEND LINDSAY O'REILLY FRENCH SETTLR | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:04 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW, DAVID O'REILLY TTEEU/A/D 08-21-2003, AS AMENDED MATTHEW D O'REILLY SETTLOR | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 17:03 UTC | 0.7d | +0.5% | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| IVVD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -16.1% | +7.8% | -22.7% |
| IM8N | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GPCR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +6.7% | +7.8% | -8.7% |
| TLSI | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -5.7% | -22.5% | -31.9% |
| BLDR | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +1.2% | +12.2% | +0.9% |
| EQT | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | +3.8% | +28.5% |
| SE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +3.8% | -1.0% | +24.1% |
| TPD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| WULF | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +33.0% | +7.7% | +95.7% |
| LYV | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +1.1% | +5.7% | +26.2% |
| YPF | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -5.6% | +7.8% | +33.6% |
| GGAL | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -5.3% | +25.8% | +50.0% |
| BMA | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -9.2% | +15.3% | +30.1% |
| ARGT | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -3.9% | +6.2% | +12.1% |
| ADBE | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +0.0% | -7.7% | -12.2% |
| BCS | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +1.0% | -0.6% | +4.5% |
| NVDA | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +0.1% | -6.7% | +10.8% |
| DAKT | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | -19.4% | -12.0% |
| SWTXUSD | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| GEV | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | +20.0% | +68.2% |
| OPCH | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -2.3% | -1.4% | -38.2% |
| MLB1 | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CPT | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +0.4% | +2.5% | -4.6% |
| GTM | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +2.8% | +13.4% | +6.2% |
| MAA | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -0.0% | +6.9% | -2.1% |
| MAA | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -0.0% | +6.9% | -2.1% |
| KMI | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -1.1% | -0.1% | +20.1% |
| KMI | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | -1.1% | -0.1% | +20.1% |
| 4I1 | now_top10 | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| 4I1 | new_position | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| COHR | position_increase | Duquesne Family Office | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 15:58 UTC | 0.7d | +9.3% | +3.8% | +35.8% |
| NKE | insider_sale_intent | PARKER MARK G | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:54 UTC | 0.6d | +0.5% | -4.6% | -15.1% |
| BCABGBP | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BCABGBP | new_position | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ACIC | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -3.5% | -5.8% | +6.8% |
| REAL | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -7.1% | -0.3% | +42.2% |
| BIDUN | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| BIDUN | position_increase | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| MOH | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -1.2% | +2.5% | -18.9% |
| MOH | new_position | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -1.2% | +2.5% | -18.9% |
| FOUR | now_top10 | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -3.9% | +0.0% | +15.5% |
| FOUR | new_position | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | -3.9% | +0.0% | +15.5% |
| BABA | position_increase | Scion Asset Management | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 14:25 UTC | 0.6d | +3.7% | +3.3% | +7.4% |
| CBL | insider_sale_intent | LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 13:02 UTC | 0.5d | +0.6% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| GE | insider_sale_intent | General Electric Pension Trust | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 12:32 UTC | 0.5d | -0.7% | +5.0% | -0.1% |
| TEVA | insider_sale_intent | Daniell Richard | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 11:06 UTC | 0.5d | -0.2% | -3.2% | -15.9% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | WILBANKS CARL DAVID | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 08:56 UTC | 0.4d | +0.5% | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| NVMI | insider_sale_intent | Wolfing Shay | 2024-08-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 06:16 UTC | 0.3d | -6.1% | -21.7% | -28.2% |
| MELI | insider_sale_intent | Meliga No.1 Limited Partnership (MELI) | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-14 01:39 UTC | 1.1d | -0.9% | +3.7% | -11.6% |
| IT | insider_sale_intent | HILLTOP SECURITIES INC. | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 23:03 UTC | 1.0d | -2.6% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| NU | insider_sale_intent | Duggal Jagpreet Singh | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | +4.5% | +6.8% | +8.3% |
| NABL | insider_sale_intent | O'Brien Tim James | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 22:06 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | -5.6% | -24.1% |
| FICO | insider_sale_intent | MCMORRIS MARC F | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 22:03 UTC | 0.9d | -6.3% | -0.1% | +19.6% |
| NFLX | insider_sale_intent | HYMAN DAVID A | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | +2.0% | +13.7% |
| COP | insider_sale_intent | Timothy Allen Leach | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -8.7% | -8.2% |
| TTD | insider_sale_intent | Kathryn Falberg | 2024-08-13 00:00 UTC | 2024-08-13 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | +2.6% | +4.1% | +22.8% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.