Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
100,903 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,146 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMP | insider_sale_intent | CRACCHIOLO JAMES M | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:22 UTC | 0.9d | +1.0% | +3.6% | +2.5% |
| BMR | insider_sale_intent | Marker II LP | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:21 UTC | 0.9d | -33.3% | -50.5% | -62.6% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +2.2% | -7.5% |
| UTZ | insider_sale_intent | Roger K. Deromedi | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | -3.1% | -6.5% | -9.8% |
| COIN | insider_sale_intent | Fred Ehrsam | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | +12.9% | +43.1% | +22.9% |
| WMS | insider_sale_intent | Mark Haney | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:16 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +2.5% | +3.5% |
| STEP | insider_sale_intent | SANCTUARY BAY LLC | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:15 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| ENTG | insider_sale_intent | Haris Clinton M. | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:11 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | -4.1% | -8.9% |
| SNAP | insider_sale_intent | Young Eric | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 22:00 UTC | 0.9d | -2.5% | -2.8% | +43.0% |
| IQV | insider_sale_intent | Knightly Kevin C | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +2.5% | -9.0% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | LI SUSAN J | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:56 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +2.2% | -7.5% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Bosworth Andrew | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +2.2% | -7.5% |
| EQIX | insider_sale_intent | SCOTT H CRENSHAW | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:55 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -8.1% | -13.5% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Clegg Nicholas | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:54 UTC | 0.9d | +1.3% | +2.2% | -7.5% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Fang Andy | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | +5.1% | +14.3% | -8.4% |
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT KIPP DEVEER III | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -3.7% | +2.7% |
| ALL | insider_sale_intent | Merten Jesse E | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | -2.2% | -3.6% | -1.3% |
| MC | insider_sale_intent | NAVID MAHMOODZADEGAN | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:45 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | -4.6% | -3.1% |
| BANC | insider_sale_intent | WAGNER MATTHEW P | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -2.7% | -5.7% |
| ENVA | insider_sale_intent | Fisher David | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -2.1% | -6.2% |
| CMI | insider_sale_intent | MARK A. SMITH | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +5.3% | +2.4% |
| PEGA | insider_sale_intent | KENNETH STILLWELL | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -5.4% | -7.9% |
| CRDO | insider_sale_intent | CHUNG (BVI) CO LTD | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:27 UTC | 0.9d | +0.8% | -8.5% | -17.9% |
| CMI | insider_sale_intent | LUTHER EARL PETERS | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | +5.3% | +2.4% |
| MA | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL MIEBACH | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | +2.9% | -5.2% |
| CSCO | insider_sale_intent | CHARLES ROBBINS | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:22 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| EQIX | insider_sale_intent | KEITH D TAYLOR | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -8.1% | -13.5% |
| EQIX | insider_sale_intent | CHARLES J MEYERS | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:19 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | -8.1% | -13.5% |
| TOST | insider_sale_intent | Vassil Jonathan | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:16 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | +3.7% | +16.7% |
| CVS | insider_sale_intent | PREM S SHAH | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | -2.1% | -1.6% | -31.1% |
| GT | insider_sale_intent | DARREN R WELLS | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -6.2% | +1.0% | -5.3% |
| NTRA | insider_sale_intent | HERMAN ROSENMAN | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +6.1% | +26.8% | +44.0% |
| WEX | insider_sale_intent | Smith Melissa D | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:59 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | +2.0% | -19.0% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | POWELL CATHERINE C | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:49 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +6.1% | -8.2% |
| DVA | insider_sale_intent | James O. Hearty | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:38 UTC | 0.9d | +1.7% | +7.7% | +7.5% |
| UNH | insider_sale_intent | THOMPSON BRIAN R | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -9.9% | -7.4% |
| CFR | insider_sale_intent | Bracher Paul | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:28 UTC | 0.8d | -0.7% | -5.0% | -9.0% |
| MRNA | insider_sale_intent | Bancel Stephane | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:16 UTC | 0.8d | +8.5% | +13.4% | +55.1% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Harrison Deborah Marriott | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 20:01 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -0.3% | -7.9% |
| MAR | insider_sale_intent | Brown William P | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 19:47 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | -0.3% | -7.9% |
| AFL | insider_sale_intent | Crawford Frederick John | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 19:44 UTC | 0.8d | -0.2% | +2.8% | +4.3% |
| DOW | insider_sale_intent | Fitterling James R | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 19:33 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +2.6% | +2.6% |
| ENTG | insider_sale_intent | Woodland Daniel D. | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 19:29 UTC | 0.8d | -4.7% | -4.1% | -8.9% |
| BYD | insider_sale_intent | JOHNSON MARIANNE BOYD | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 19:24 UTC | 0.8d | -0.1% | -2.5% | -18.3% |
| GFS | insider_sale_intent | Reeder David | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 18:54 UTC | 0.8d | -3.9% | -8.9% | -8.0% |
| DOW | insider_sale_intent | Gregorio Mauro | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 17:53 UTC | 0.8d | +0.8% | +2.6% | +2.6% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | Nelson Mark Wolfe | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 17:37 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| WEX | insider_sale_intent | Rapkin Hilary A | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 17:16 UTC | 0.7d | -2.0% | +2.0% | -19.0% |
| MEDP | insider_sale_intent | Medpace Investors, LLC | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:57 UTC | 0.7d | +3.0% | -1.2% | -3.6% |
| ENTG | insider_sale_intent | Rice Susan G. | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:43 UTC | 0.7d | -4.7% | -4.1% | -8.9% |
| AON | insider_sale_intent | Davies Christa | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:41 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | -1.8% | -14.0% |
| LKNCY | insider_sale_intent | Zhou Weiming | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:40 UTC | 0.7d | -6.0% | -0.4% | -22.0% |
| ALL | insider_sale_intent | Rizzo Mario | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:38 UTC | 0.7d | -2.2% | -3.6% | -1.3% |
| CBRE | insider_sale_intent | Dhandapani Chandra | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:34 UTC | 0.7d | -2.1% | +0.0% | -7.9% |
| MHO | insider_sale_intent | SCHOTTENSTEIN ROBERT H | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:30 UTC | 0.7d | +1.3% | +3.3% | +3.9% |
| AFL | insider_sale_intent | LAKE CHARLES D II | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:27 UTC | 0.7d | -0.2% | +2.8% | +4.3% |
| AFL | insider_sale_intent | Koide Masatoshi | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 16:02 UTC | 0.7d | -0.2% | +2.8% | +4.3% |
| CVLG | insider_sale_intent | PARKER DAVID RAY | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 15:53 UTC | 0.7d | -3.1% | -18.3% | -16.7% |
| CC | insider_sale_intent | CRAWFORD CURTIS J | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 15:15 UTC | 0.6d | +0.4% | -8.4% | -3.7% |
| NOC | insider_sale_intent | Caylor Mark A | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 15:03 UTC | 0.6d | -0.7% | -1.0% | -3.3% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | Katz Michael J. | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 14:53 UTC | 0.6d | -0.5% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | Jassy Andrew R | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 14:41 UTC | 0.6d | +1.8% | +1.5% | +2.8% |
| RNW | insider_sale_intent | Vaswani Kailash | 2024-02-16 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 13:33 UTC | 0.6d | -2.0% | -7.5% | -13.7% |
| ALRM | insider_sale_intent | DANIEL KERZNER | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-16 00:28 UTC | 1.0d | +7.2% | +1.3% | -7.2% |
| BMR | insider_sale_intent | Marker II LP | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 23:55 UTC | 1.0d | -38.7% | -52.5% | -65.1% |
| CBRE | insider_sale_intent | ValueAct Capital Master Fund, L.P. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 23:04 UTC | 1.0d | -4.7% | -3.2% | -8.3% |
| PFSI | insider_sale_intent | Perotti Daniel Stanley | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 23:01 UTC | 1.0d | -4.2% | -5.1% | -0.6% |
| SHAK | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Meyer | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:55 UTC | 1.0d | +1.6% | +3.6% | -5.4% |
| MSTR | insider_sale_intent | STEPHEN GRAHAM | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:54 UTC | 0.9d | +12.6% | +99.1% | +120.2% |
| CDNS | insider_sale_intent | BECKLEY THOMAS P | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:24 UTC | 0.9d | +3.3% | +3.9% | -6.8% |
| SMCI | insider_sale_intent | KAO GEORGE | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:12 UTC | 0.9d | +7.8% | +9.8% | +4.2% |
| NET | insider_sale_intent | Michelle Zatlyn | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | -0.7% | -7.0% | -30.0% |
| ONON | insider_sale_intent | David Allemann | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:10 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +4.3% | +13.8% |
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT KIPP DEVEER III | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:09 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -5.0% | +2.3% |
| CAT | insider_sale_intent | Fassino Anthony D. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +6.4% | +4.8% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:04 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +1.4% | -6.5% |
| BYD | insider_sale_intent | Bogich Ted | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 22:04 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -4.4% | -19.3% |
| FROG | insider_sale_intent | Simon Frederic | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -7.7% | -32.5% |
| FROG | insider_sale_intent | Landman Yoav | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:53 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -7.7% | -32.5% |
| PR | insider_sale_intent | Jensen Brent P | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:52 UTC | 0.9d | +3.2% | +12.9% | +7.4% |
| RGA | insider_sale_intent | CARSON LAWRENCE S | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +5.4% | +19.9% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Fang Andy | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | +2.0% | +9.2% | -5.1% |
| CART | insider_sale_intent | a16z Seed-III, LLC | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | +16.0% | +34.6% | +22.3% |
| MHO | insider_sale_intent | CREEK PHILLIP G | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:39 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +0.2% | +1.9% |
| SPGI | insider_sale_intent | DOUGLAS PETERSON | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:38 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | -3.3% | -1.8% |
| UTHR | insider_sale_intent | PAUL MAHON | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:36 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | +7.9% | +21.4% |
| CART | insider_sale_intent | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund I, L.P. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | +16.0% | +34.6% | +22.3% |
| BYD | insider_sale_intent | JOHNSON MARIANNE BOYD | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -4.4% | -19.3% |
| CRSP | insider_sale_intent | SAMARTH KULKARNI | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | -16.1% | -38.0% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | DAVID IAN GOULDEN | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -7.1% | -9.0% | -6.3% |
| MRVL | insider_sale_intent | MATTHEW AND LAURA MURPHY FAMILY TRUST | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -5.4% | +2.3% |
| BKNG | insider_sale_intent | GLENN D FOGEL & AMY J ROBERTS JT TEN | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -7.1% | -9.0% | -6.3% |
| WDC | insider_sale_intent | MICHAEL RAY | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +4.4% | +7.2% | +27.2% |
| COUR | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY MAGGIONCALDA | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -19.2% | -56.0% |
| PEP | insider_sale_intent | KIRK TANNER | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:21 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +0.5% | +4.0% |
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | Atlassian Foundation Pty Ltd ATF Atlassian Foundation | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -9.1% | -19.9% |
| TMO | insider_sale_intent | CASPER MARC N | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +2.9% | +2.4% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | DONNELLY SCOTT C | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +6.3% | -2.3% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | Connor Frank T | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +6.3% | -2.3% |
| STEP | insider_sale_intent | SANCTUARY BAY LLC | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -8.2% | +0.5% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.