Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
100,994 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 15,146 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | insider_sale_intent | Atlassian Foundation Pty Ltd ATF Atlassian Foundation | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -9.1% | -19.9% |
| TMO | insider_sale_intent | CASPER MARC N | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +2.9% | +2.4% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | DONNELLY SCOTT C | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +6.3% | -2.3% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | Connor Frank T | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:12 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +6.3% | -2.3% |
| STEP | insider_sale_intent | SANCTUARY BAY LLC | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -8.2% | +0.5% |
| BLBD | insider_sale_intent | Horlock Phil | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +2.4% | +58.0% |
| IPGP | insider_sale_intent | Shcherbakov Eugene A | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| PTC | insider_sale_intent | James E Heppelmann | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +1.3% | -3.0% |
| USB | insider_sale_intent | CECERE ANDREW | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -1.8% | -5.4% |
| CMI | insider_sale_intent | SHARON BARNER | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | MARK PAPERMASTER | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +0.8% | -11.7% |
| TDG | insider_sale_intent | SMALL ROBERT J | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | +2.3% | +1.2% | +6.4% |
| DECK | insider_sale_intent | Powers David | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | +1.8% | -3.4% |
| CRL | insider_sale_intent | Parisotto Shannon M | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 21:04 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +5.2% | -15.9% |
| CORT | insider_sale_intent | Maduck Sean | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:45 UTC | 0.9d | +0.6% | +3.2% | +17.4% |
| PBH | insider_sale_intent | Mekhail Adel | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:32 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +2.8% | -12.8% |
| FANG | insider_sale_intent | Stice Travis D. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | +5.6% | +6.8% |
| EW | insider_sale_intent | Szyman Catherine M. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:21 UTC | 0.8d | -1.2% | +6.0% | -2.8% |
| AMZN | insider_sale_intent | Selipsky Adam | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:14 UTC | 0.8d | +1.8% | +0.2% | +2.6% |
| LLY | insider_sale_intent | LILLY ENDOWMENT INC | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 20:05 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -4.8% | -7.7% |
| CROX | insider_sale_intent | Bickley Ian | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 19:48 UTC | 0.8d | -0.5% | +7.1% | +12.1% |
| TMUS | insider_sale_intent | SIEVERT G MICHAEL | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 19:24 UTC | 0.8d | +0.9% | -3.0% | -3.7% |
| ALGM | insider_sale_intent | OEP SKNA, L.P. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 18:58 UTC | 0.8d | +0.5% | -16.2% | -11.2% |
| GPN | insider_sale_intent | Sacchi Guido Francesco | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 18:21 UTC | 0.8d | -1.9% | -5.5% | -24.8% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | OREILLY DAVID E | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 18:11 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | +4.4% | -10.0% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | OREILLY DAVID E | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 18:09 UTC | 0.8d | -0.3% | +4.4% | -10.0% |
| STC | insider_sale_intent | Morris Children Heritage Trust | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 18:01 UTC | 0.8d | -2.6% | -6.6% | -1.5% |
| DYN | insider_sale_intent | Atlas Venture Fund XI, L.P. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 17:29 UTC | 0.7d | +3.6% | +16.6% | +14.5% |
| SCHW | insider_sale_intent | Schwab Charles R. | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 17:27 UTC | 0.7d | -1.3% | +2.6% | +16.4% |
| AJG | insider_sale_intent | HOWELL DOUGLAS K | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 16:56 UTC | 0.7d | +0.7% | +2.8% | +1.6% |
| PI | insider_sale_intent | PHELAN CATHAL G | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 16:45 UTC | 0.7d | +0.2% | +13.6% | +62.5% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | LEIDEN JEFFREY M | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 16:19 UTC | 0.7d | +1.4% | -5.2% | -0.9% |
| CUBA | ownership_5pct | BLUE BELL PRIVATE WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 16:09 UTC | 0.7d | -0.5% | +5.0% | -5.8% |
| MLTX | insider_sale_intent | Santos da Silva Jorge | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 16:02 UTC | 0.7d | -14.3% | -19.1% | -40.0% |
| POWW | insider_sale_intent | WAGENHALS FRED W | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 15:23 UTC | 0.6d | -7.9% | +3.0% | -4.3% |
| SITM | insider_sale_intent | MEGACHIPS CORP /FI | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 13:12 UTC | 0.6d | -8.6% | -20.9% | +16.9% |
| PHVS | insider_sale_intent | Berndt Modig | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 13:03 UTC | 0.5d | -8.8% | -7.0% | -30.7% |
| ORLY | insider_sale_intent | DUMAS ROBERT ALLEN | 2024-02-15 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 10:28 UTC | 0.4d | -0.3% | +4.4% | -10.0% |
| BMR | insider_sale_intent | Marker II LP | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 01:56 UTC | 1.1d | -38.7% | -52.5% | -65.1% |
| UTI | insider_sale_intent | Coliseum Capital Management, LLC | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-15 01:30 UTC | 1.1d | +2.7% | -3.3% | -4.2% |
| SMCI | insider_sale_intent | CLEGG DON W | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 23:05 UTC | 1.0d | -15.5% | -2.8% | -15.6% |
| PBH | insider_sale_intent | Sacco Christine | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 23:04 UTC | 1.0d | +0.2% | +4.6% | -11.2% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Insight Venture Partners (Cayman) IX, L.P. | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:51 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Grace Software Cross Fund Holdings, LLC | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:48 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Insight Venture Partners (Delaware) IX, L.P. | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:46 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| PLUR | ownership_5pct | Gunn John A. | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:43 UTC | 0.9d | -4.1% | +20.3% | -3.9% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | IG Aggregator, L.P. | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:38 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| MNDY | insider_sale_intent | Insight Venture Partners IX, L.P. | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:34 UTC | 0.9d | -7.6% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| ARES | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT KIPP DEVEER III | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:17 UTC | 0.9d | -3.6% | -5.5% | +3.6% |
| DASH | insider_sale_intent | Sherringham Tia | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:12 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | +0.1% | -13.7% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | Sanna Bastiano | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:11 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | -6.0% | -2.3% |
| META | insider_sale_intent | Zuckerberg Mark | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:11 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | +0.3% | -7.8% |
| TSCO | insider_sale_intent | Kersey Melissa | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +5.6% | +11.1% |
| REGN | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Van Plew | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 22:08 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | -1.9% | -4.3% |
| GTLB | insider_sale_intent | SYTSE SIJBRANDIJ REVOCABLE TRUST | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -6.8% | -27.9% | -29.4% |
| QLYS | insider_sale_intent | SUMEDH SHRINAND THAKAR | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:58 UTC | 0.9d | -5.0% | -4.4% | -17.6% |
| NSSC | insider_sale_intent | RICHARD SOLOWAY | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:52 UTC | 0.9d | -2.0% | -17.2% | -6.1% |
| PBH | insider_sale_intent | P'Pool William | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | +4.6% | -11.2% |
| FLYX/WS | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FLYX | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +31.4% | +112.5% | -21.5% |
| BMRN | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -7.6% | -18.5% |
| EQT | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +6.6% | -5.2% | +12.8% |
| MCK | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | +2.4% | +4.4% |
| APO | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -5.4% | -6.0% |
| BAC | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +4.0% | +10.3% |
| FLT1EUR | new_position | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| VST | position_increase | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | +35.2% | +100.3% |
| AIG | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +5.2% | +6.9% |
| USX1 | now_top10 | Third Point | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:50 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| WMS | insider_sale_intent | TIM MAKOWSKI | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:48 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -3.2% | -0.4% |
| BWA | insider_sale_intent | Lissalde Frederic | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:47 UTC | 0.9d | -4.6% | -0.3% | +14.3% |
| MSTR | insider_sale_intent | PHONG LE | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:46 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | +106.8% | +94.9% |
| AJG | insider_sale_intent | HOWELL DOUGLAS K | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:43 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +3.2% | +0.8% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | RITA KARACHUN | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:40 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -5.9% | -1.6% |
| STEP | insider_sale_intent | SANCTUARY BAY LLC | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:35 UTC | 0.9d | -0.4% | -6.7% | +1.3% |
| AEP | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -1.5% | +9.2% |
| AEP | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | +0.2% | -1.5% | +9.2% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | CAROLINE A LITCHFIELD | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -5.9% | -1.6% |
| XYL | insider_sale_intent | RODNEY O AULICK | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +0.3% | +9.4% |
| ABNB | insider_sale_intent | Blecharczyk Nathan | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -4.3% | +0.2% | -12.3% |
| MRK | insider_sale_intent | ROBERT M. DAVIS | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | -5.9% | -1.6% |
| TALO | ownership_5pct | Sourcerock Group LLC | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:24 UTC | 0.9d | -1.5% | -2.3% | -13.3% |
| AAMI | insider_sale_intent | Rana Suren | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | -0.3% | +1.3% |
| MSTR | insider_sale_intent | WEI-MING SHAO | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | +106.8% | +94.9% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | Connor Frank T | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:13 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +5.6% | -4.1% |
| TXT | insider_sale_intent | DONNELLY SCOTT C | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +5.6% | -4.1% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | LEIDEN JEFFREY M | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:11 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | -6.0% | -2.3% |
| NLOP | ownership_5pct | J. Goldman & Co LP | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -2.4% | -16.9% | -15.6% |
| EQIX | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | -3.6% | -13.8% |
| XBI | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | -2.8% | -6.4% |
| SNAP | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -8.1% | -7.1% | +32.5% |
| MTCH | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -3.3% | -9.2% | -22.4% |
| ETWOGBP | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| FIS | position_increase | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +7.0% | +16.9% |
| 8CW | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ETSY | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -6.0% | -17.5% | -23.2% |
| BMRN | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -7.6% | -18.5% |
| XME | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -2.9% | -3.9% | +4.6% |
| XRT | new_position | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.3% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| IWM | now_top10 | Elliott Investment Management | 2024-02-14 00:00 UTC | 2024-02-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -3.4% | -4.0% | -3.7% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.