Track record
Every signal this system has emitted, in the order the public could first have known about it. Nothing is ranked, reordered or removed for looking bad — the signals that went the wrong way afterwards are here too. Outcomes fill in as each horizon elapses, and a row is never edited once published. The one thing held back is data we are not licensed to republish, counted below.
Most of the outcome columns are still empty. That is the honest state of a record that was published before its results existed, which is the only kind worth reading — a track record assembled after the fact can always keep the winners.
Hypothetical. These are not trading results and no position was taken. Each figure is a price move computed after the fact, entered at the first session after public availability, measured against a benchmark, and stated before commissions, spread, slippage, borrow cost and tax. Real execution would differ, and past moves do not indicate future ones.
Research context, not investment advice.
97,786 signals · methodology v3-session-calendar · returns are excess vs benchmark, hover any figure for the raw move and entry date
A further 14,784 signals are withheld because their data source is not licensed for public redistribution (ats, borrow, earnsurp, shortint). The rule is the source's licence, fixed before any outcome was known — never the result. Withheld signals contain winners and losers in the same proportion as published ones.
| Ticker | Type | Actor | Event | Public at | Lag | 5d | 21d | 63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVRA | ownership_5pct | Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:33 UTC | 0.9d | +23.6% | +44.6% | +33.4% |
| NU | insider_sale_intent | VITOR GUARINO OLIVIER | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:32 UTC | 0.9d | +1.6% | +0.8% | +8.2% |
| VG | insider_sale_intent | FORY L MUSSER IV | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | -13.7% | -27.6% | +19.1% |
| KO | insider_sale_intent | MANUEL ARROYO | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:31 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -0.9% | +8.8% |
| EVMN | activist_13d | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | -19.0% | +44.9% |
| TRDA | insider_sale_intent | 5AM Ventures V, L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +16.3% | +31.6% | +31.9% |
| DBX | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW HOUSTON REVOCABLE TRUST | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | -4.1% | -19.6% |
| WBI | ownership_5pct | WBR Holdings LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -7.8% | -15.5% | +3.7% |
| STUB | ownership_5pct | Baker Eric Howard | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -6.8% | +8.3% | -36.4% |
| VNOM | ownership_5pct | Blackstone Holdings III L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | -1.4% | +6.0% | +20.3% |
| HTFL | ownership_5pct | BCLS Fund III Investments, LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:30 UTC | 0.9d | +16.4% | -1.3% | -12.0% |
| STOK | insider_sale_intent | Adrian Krainer | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | +12.1% | +21.1% | +24.7% |
| TYRA | insider_sale_intent | Daniel Bensen | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:29 UTC | 0.9d | +39.5% | +41.3% | +94.2% |
| INSW | insider_sale_intent | JAMES D. SMALL III | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:28 UTC | 0.9d | +1.2% | -7.7% | +24.4% |
| CRCL | insider_sale_intent | Fenway Summer Ventures LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:27 UTC | 0.9d | -5.5% | +2.5% | -22.0% |
| VG | insider_sale_intent | KEITH LARSON | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | -13.7% | -27.6% | +19.1% |
| AMC | ownership_5pct | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +0.9% | -17.0% | -46.6% |
| CRUS | insider_sale_intent | ANDREW BRANNAN | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:26 UTC | 0.9d | +0.7% | +3.1% | +18.7% |
| VRTX | insider_sale_intent | JEFFREY M LEIDEN | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -2.8% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| ARLO | insider_sale_intent | BRIAN C BUSSE | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:25 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | -2.3% | -16.9% |
| CYBR | ownership_5pct | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:23 UTC | 0.9d | -8.7% | -9.0% | -18.1% |
| NIQ | ownership_5pct | AI Global Investments (Netherlands) PCC Ltd | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:20 UTC | 0.9d | +4.0% | +11.0% | -21.8% |
| DSGN | insider_sale_intent | Logos Global Master Fund LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +15.8% | +18.4% | +35.5% |
| ALEC | ownership_5pct | TCG Crossover GP II, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +2.8% | +8.0% | +59.3% |
| COUR | ownership_5pct | Caledonia (Private) Investments Pty Ltd | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | -4.0% | -4.3% | -27.9% |
| VSH | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:18 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +15.1% | +54.0% |
| EQ | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -10.0% | +3.9% | +70.5% |
| CYH | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +12.2% | +5.5% | +14.1% |
| BHC | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -0.8% | +10.4% | -6.1% |
| SRTA | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | +14.4% | +0.5% |
| CORZ | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +6.0% | -9.1% | +18.7% |
| FND | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +6.4% | +5.7% | +13.6% |
| MTZ | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +5.3% | +7.3% | +39.7% |
| META | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.4% | +7.0% | +4.3% |
| UNP | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +1.1% | +6.9% | +16.9% |
| TPD | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| CASY | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +2.6% | +20.8% |
| CASY | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.4% | +2.6% | +20.8% |
| NSC | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.8% | +9.3% |
| NSC | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | +0.1% | +3.8% | +9.3% |
| MSFT | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -6.9% | -6.9% | -24.0% |
| MSFT | position_increase | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -6.9% | -6.9% | -24.0% |
| SPY | now_top10 | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SPY | new_position | Third Point | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PLRX | ownership_5pct | Woodline Partners LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:17 UTC | 0.9d | -5.3% | -26.9% | -24.0% |
| MRSN | ownership_5pct | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
| AMPY | ownership_5pct | PERGA CAPITAL PARTNERS, LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | +2.2% | -12.2% | +3.6% |
| CDRE | activist_13d | KANDERS WARREN B | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | -3.5% | -4.7% | +0.5% |
| OMI | activist_13d | Coliseum Capital Management, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:15 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SI | ownership_5pct | Presidio Management Group XII, L.L.C. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:14 UTC | 0.9d | +3.0% | +4.5% | -10.7% |
| MNDR | activist_13d | Teoh Pui Pui | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:10 UTC | 0.9d | +64.3% | -34.8% | -46.8% |
| MUC | ownership_5pct | Karpus Management, Inc. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -0.6% | -1.2% | 0.0% |
| FLYYQ | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| ARVN | ownership_5pct | D. E. SHAW & CO, L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | +6.2% | +5.3% | +9.8% |
| SEG | now_top10 | Pershing Square | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:09 UTC | 0.9d | -4.7% | -8.7% | -8.1% |
| RG6 | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| RIOT | position_increase | Starboard Value | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -0.5% | -7.5% | +14.0% |
| BILL | now_top10 | Starboard Value | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +6.5% | -8.9% |
| BILL | new_position | Starboard Value | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:08 UTC | 0.9d | -1.0% | +6.5% | -8.9% |
| TENX | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +22.0% | +59.5% | +66.3% |
| DSP | ownership_5pct | Capital V LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:07 UTC | 0.9d | +3.4% | +17.6% | -8.2% |
| ATHA | ownership_5pct | Baselake Partners, LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:06 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| IBIO | ownership_5pct | Vestal Point Capital, LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.5% | +71.0% | +119.9% |
| AMD | insider_sale_intent | MARK PAPERMASTER | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -11.1% | -18.5% | -18.3% |
| MNRO | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +10.3% | +29.8% | +34.9% |
| CTRI | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -0.2% | +21.9% | +52.9% |
| IFF | position_increase | Icahn Carl C | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +3.1% | -0.1% | +22.5% |
| ECHO | now_top10 | Icahn Carl C | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +5.5% | +49.9% | +68.8% |
| ECHO | new_position | Icahn Carl C | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +5.5% | +49.9% | +68.8% |
| FLY | ownership_5pct | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | -13.9% | -5.7% | +7.7% |
| AIV | ownership_5pct | Newtyn Management, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| CARL | ownership_5pct | B CAPITAL GROUP MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +12.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% |
| GOOGL | now_top10 | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +11.3% | +3.2% | +3.4% |
| GOOGL | new_position | Berkshire Hathaway | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:05 UTC | 0.9d | +11.3% | +3.2% | +3.4% |
| CW | insider_sale_intent | Bamford Lynn M | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:03 UTC | 0.9d | +0.0% | -2.7% | +26.4% |
| JEQ | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| KRMN | insider_sale_intent | Beaudoin Jonathan | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | +9.2% | +10.6% | +49.0% |
| ARCO | ownership_5pct | LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -1.6% | -0.7% | +19.8% |
| IIF | ownership_5pct | CITY OF LONDON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LTD | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:02 UTC | 0.9d | -1.1% | -0.8% | -5.9% |
| HTFL | ownership_5pct | Hayfin Special Opportunities Fund II LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:01 UTC | 0.9d | +16.4% | -1.3% | -12.0% |
| AVBH | ownership_5pct | ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -0.1% | +10.0% | +16.9% |
| USAU | ownership_5pct | Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | +5.8% | +13.7% | +14.3% |
| ETSY | ownership_5pct | Elliott Investment Management L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | -4.1% | -14.7% |
| DK | ownership_5pct | Ion Asset Management Ltd. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.2% | -22.0% | -17.2% |
| FIG | ownership_5pct | ICONIQ Strategic Partners VII, L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.6% | -0.9% | -33.6% |
| NTSK | ownership_5pct | ICONIQ STRATEGIC PARTNERS II, L.P. | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.4% | -5.2% | -42.5% |
| UNIT | ownership_5pct | PACIFIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LLC | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 21:00 UTC | 0.9d | -5.9% | +13.1% | +29.3% |
| STNG | insider_sale_intent | BUGBEE ROBERT L | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:55 UTC | 0.9d | -2.7% | -16.7% | +14.8% |
| BOXL | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:43 UTC | 0.9d | -11.3% | -25.8% | -76.9% |
| LRCX | insider_sale_intent | Bettinger Douglas R | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:34 UTC | 0.9d | +1.5% | +4.4% | +58.4% |
| EMPD | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:33 UTC | 0.9d | -3.0% | -18.5% | -29.6% |
| NCEL | activist_13d | Revel Michel | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:30 UTC | 0.8d | -4.2% | -24.1% | -23.5% |
| LMFA | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:26 UTC | 0.8d | unmeasured | unmeasured | unmeasured |
| SMID | ownership_5pct | SMITH RODNEY I | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:24 UTC | 0.8d | -7.8% | +1.2% | -9.2% |
| SLS | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:15 UTC | 0.8d | +9.5% | +48.8% | +183.7% |
| SILO | ownership_5pct | Anson Funds Management LP | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:08 UTC | 0.8d | +3.8% | -2.7% | -30.6% |
| BLSH | ownership_5pct | EFM Asset Management | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:02 UTC | 0.8d | +12.5% | +13.8% | -14.8% |
| UTHR | insider_sale_intent | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 20:00 UTC | 0.8d | +0.7% | +7.4% | -1.0% |
| VST | insider_sale_intent | Kirby Carrie Lee | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 19:47 UTC | 0.8d | -0.4% | -9.4% | -4.3% |
| AIRG | ownership_5pct | SUEN JACOB | 2025-11-14 00:00 UTC | 2025-11-14 19:43 UTC | 0.8d | +2.5% | -2.4% | +25.4% |
not due means the horizon has not elapsed yet. unmeasured means it has, and we could not measure it — missing price coverage on our side, not a pending result. The two are shown differently on purpose. How the returns are computed is on the methodology page.